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WATCH FRONTLINE TONIGHT on PBS * open thread

“FRONTLINE investigates the causes of the worst economic crisis in 70 years and how the government responded. The film chronicles the inside stories of the Bear Stearns deal, Lehman Brothers’ collapse, the propping up of insurance giant AIG, and the $700 billion bailout. Inside the Meltdown examines what Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke didn’t see, couldn’t stop and haven’t been able to fix.”

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FRONTLINE has provided THREE VIDEOS to embed on their new investigative documentary, “INSIDE THE MELTDOWN.”

Since the three PBS Frontline videos are too wide for our writing area, I have placed all three below the fold. I apologize that they run a bit over into the other columns, but I tried various tricks, and couldn’t solve the problem. But I think you’ll be able to enjoy the videos anyway, and if you’d prefer, you can go to the home page of the Frontline special to view them. OF NOTE: YOU CAN VIEW the entire program on your computer.

BELOW, THREE VIDEOS + THE PRESS RELEASE:

HERE THEY ARE:

Release below:

Check Local ListingsProgram Reminders

FRONTLINE investigates the causes of the worst economic crisis in 70 years and how the government responded. The film chronicles the inside stories of the Bear Stearns deal, Lehman Brothers’ collapse, the propping up of insurance giant AIG, and the $700 billion bailout. Inside the Meltdown examines what Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke didn’t see, couldn’t stop and haven’t been able to fix.

 

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FRONTLINE INVESTIGATES HOW THE ECONOMY WENT SO BAD SO FAST

FRONTLINE Presents
Inside the Meltdown
Tuesday, February 17, 2009, at 9 P.M. ET on PBS

www.pbs.org/frontline/meltdown

On Thursday, Sept. 18, 2008, the astonished leadership of the U.S. Congress was told in a private session by the chairman of the Federal Reserve that the American economy was in grave danger of a complete meltdown within a matter of days. “There was literally a pause in that room where the oxygen left,” says Sen. Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.).

FRONTLINE producer Michael Kirk goes behind closed doors in Washington and on Wall Street to investigate how the economy went so bad so fast and why emergency actions by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson failed to prevent the worst economic crisis in a generation on Inside the Meltdown, airing Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2009, at 9 P.M. ET on PBS (check local listings).

As the housing bubble burst and trillions of dollars’ worth of toxic mortgages began to go bad in 2007, fear spread through the massive firms that form the heart of Wall Street. By the spring of 2008, burdened by billions of dollars of bad mortgages, the investment bank Bear Stearns was the subject of rumors that it would soon fail.

“Rumors are such that they can just plain put you out of business,” Bear Stearns’ former CEO Alan “Ace” Greenberg tells FRONTLINE.

The company’s stock had dropped from $171 to $57 a share, and it was hours from declaring bankruptcy. Ben Bernanke acted. “It was clear that this had to be contained. There was no doubt in his mind,” says Bernanke’s colleague economist Mark Gertler.

Bernanke, a former economics professor from Princeton, specialized in studying the Great Depression. “He more than anybody else appreciated what would happen if it got out of control,” Gertler explains.

To stabilize the markets, Bernanke engineered a shotgun marriage between Bear Sterns and the commercial bank JPMorgan, with a promise that the federal government would use $30 billion to cover Bear Stearns’ questionable assets tied to toxic mortgages. It was an unprecedented effort to stop the contagion of fear that seemed to be threatening the rest of Wall Street.

While publicly supportive of the deal, Secretary Paulson, a former Wall Street executive with Goldman Sachs, was uncomfortable with government interference in the markets. That summer, he issued a warning to his former colleagues not to expect future government bailouts, saying he was concerned about a legal concept known as moral hazard.

Within months, however, Paulson would witness the virtual collapse of the giant mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and preside over their takeover by the federal government.

The episode sent shockwaves through the economy as confidence in Wall Street began to evaporate. Within days, in September 2008, another investment bank, Lehman Brothers, was on the brink of collapse. Once again, there were calls for Bernanke and Paulson to bail out the Wall Street giant. But Paulson was under intense political pressure from conservative Republicans in Washington to invoke moral hazard and let the company fail.

“You had a conservative secretary of the Treasury and conservative administration. There was right-wing criticism over Bear Stearns,” says Congressman Barney Frank (D-Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee.

Paulson pushed Lehman’s CEO Dick Fuld to find a buyer for his ailing company. But no company would buy Lehman unless the government offered a deal similar to the one Bear Stearns had received. Paulson refused, and Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy.

FRONTLINE then chronicles the disaster that followed. Within 24 hours, the stock market crashed, and credit markets around the world froze. “We’re no longer talking about mortgages,” says economist Gertler. “We’re talking about car loans, loans to small businesses, commercial paper borrowing by large banks. This is like a disease spreading.”

“I think that the secretary of the Treasury could not fully comprehend what that linkage was and the extent to which this would materialize into problems,” says former Lehman board member Henry Kaufman.

Paulson was thunderstruck. “This is the utter nightmare of an economic policy-maker,” Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman tells FRONTLINE. “You may have just made the decision that destroyed the world. Absolutely terrifying moment.”

In response, Paulson and Bernanke would propose—and Congress would eventually pass—a $700 billion bailout plan. FRONTLINE goes inside the deliberations surrounding the passage of the legislation and examines its unsuccessful implementation.

“Many Americans still don’t understand what has happened to the economy,” FRONTLINE producer/director Michael Kirk says. “How did it all go so bad so quickly? Who is responsible? How effective has the response from Washington and Wall Street been? Those are the questions at the heart of Inside the Meltdown.”

Inside the Meltdown is a FRONTLINE co-production with Kirk Documentary Group, Ltd. The writer, producer and director is Michael Kirk. The producer and reporter is Jim Gilmore. FRONTLINE is produced by WGBH Boston and is broadcast nationwide on PBS. Funding for FRONTLINE is provided through the support of PBS viewers. Major funding for FRONTLINE is provided by The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. Additional funding is provided by the Park Foundation. FRONTLINE is closed-captioned for deaf and hard-of-hearing viewers and described for people who are blind or visually impaired by the Media Access Group at WGBH. FRONTLINE is a registered trademark of WGBH Educational Foundation. The executive producer of FRONTLINE is David Fanning.

  • http://tfitz.wordpress.com/2009/02/17/tuesday-february-17-2009/ Tuesday, February 17, 2009 « Rising in Phoenix
  • Strawberry

    Frontline. One of the last bastions of journalistic integrity. Thanks for the heads up.

  • Peggy Sue

    Thanks for the heads up, Susan. I will definitely tune in to the PBS special tonight. As an aside, I would recommend another PBS special that aired last month, a two-hour overview of Niall Ferguson’s historical perspective on the current crisis. Oowawa alerted me to its availability online and I just viewed the 2-hours of programming. It’s incredibly informative for the less-than-stellar financial experts among us [myself included].

    Might be a good backup to tonight’s show. Information is power, as they say. Ferguson’s show is based on his book, “Ascent of Money,” which makes me want to read the full text all the more. PBS link can be found here:

    http://www.pbs.org/wnet/ascentofmoney/featured/watch-full-program-the-ascent-of-money/24/

    I found the two hours very well spent, highly informative and gut-wrenchingly depressing. Because the signs were there, for those willing to look in the rear view mirror.

    Anyway, thanks again!

  • beebop

    hmmmmm …. my sad sad sad IRA lost a further $14K today … can anyone top that?

  • Peggy Sue

    Okay, I just watched the Frontline show. Thought it was a very good overview of what we’ve witnessed since the spring of last year. Makes we realize how far out in unknown waters we seem to be. I’m not sure about anyone else, but I had a strange sympathy for Paulson, who really put personal ideology aside, trying to do what he thought was best for the country [right or wrong]. It also brought home how systemic this whole problem is, how the risks these investment bankers took were so far off the charts, and how our economic futures, worldwide, are really hanging on a very thin string.

    But I’d rather know than not know. So again, Susan, thanks for the “heads up.” I might have missed this one and it was definitely worth watching.

    Not exactly going to improve my sleep tonight, but still worth an hour of my time. Thanks!

  • http://noquarterusa.net/ SusanUnPC

    Thanks, Peggy! It’s not on here for another 35 minutes. I can’t wait. Well, actually maybe i’ll wait until I can finish my blog stuff and then go in the bedroom, lie down and really concentrate on it.

    If YOU say it’s good, that’s good enough for me — i’ll be watching. Hope it doesn’t freak me out too much.

  • cynic

    I just saw the same program and also came away feeling more sympathy for Paulson than I had before. There was the suggestion that Paulson may have made an error when Lehman Brothers was allowed to fail, but the whole situation was already hair-triggered; if Lehman hadn’t been the spark dropped into the powder, it probably would have been something else.

    Much as we might disapprove of the massive government intervention that followed, it seems pretty obvious that there was no alternative. What would have happened without that intervention very likely would have been nothing short of the sudden total disaster Paulson and Ben Bernanki were warning about.

    Something else seems clear to me now: Neither republican nor democratic political ideology was specifically responsible for the situation that necessitated government intervention. The fault lies with the way people in the financial industries were conducting business, and how they collectively reacted when they finally realized the extent of the problems that conduct had created. The entire system came very close to totally self-destructing.

  • anon

    I watched the program this evening. I found it misleading in that it suggested that Lehman Bros. weren’t bailed because of Paulson’s vindictive feelings towards Lehman’s CEO. Also misleading is that the piece implies that if Lehman’s had been bailed out the meltdown might have stopped there.

    It was also misleading in its minimization of the role of Credit Default Swaps and incorrect in its description of the same. CDS are still out there and the problem is not solved or gone but merely hovering outside of the limelight.

    It also failed to include the pertinent fact that over $500 billion was drawn out of U.S. money markets over a two hour period on Sept. 15 which broke the buck. That incident caused the Federal Reserve to emergency close the U.S. money market and extend FDIC insurance to money market accounts. There’s a lot more to this economic meltdown and Frontline’s piece is misleading.

  • Peggy Sue

    I came away with similar reactions, cynic. Kind of reminds me of the “after reports” of the Cuban Missle crisis. People knew it was bad but no one knew how close they really came to being “crispy critters.” Of course, that was revealed years later. This is mere months. And some of the financial vehicles these banks and investment firms were dealing in were wa-a-ay out there.

    I also had the sense that Lehman Brothers may have been a mistake but the die was already cast. The cards were going to come tumbling down, one way or the other. I guess what I wasn’t aware of was the tight intermingling of all these firms, both here and abroad. With this wide open system we have now, one goes and everything is affected, for the good or bad.

    An eye-opener, for me at least. The more I read and watch, the more I sense how truly vulnerable we all are. The sand is moving under everyone’s feet.

    Scary times!

  • Peggy Sue

    Well, I think you’re right, anon. It’s obvious the credit default swaps are still out there and they’re a “huge” problem. It just makes the scope of what the economy is facing all the more heart-stopping.

    Unlike you, I did not think that the piece overly emphasized Paulson’s vindictiveness towards Lehman’s CEO. They stated the relationship but the anger that Paulson demonstrated seemed [to me at least] out of absolute frustration at the scope of the problem and the mess that Lehman had gotten itself into. I also did not take from the piece that had Lehman been bailed out, the economic fallout would have been averted. Might have been delayed but I think the train had left the station at that point.

    But the money market item, you mentioned, is certainly one that should be explored. Still, I thought this was a decent overview. The more I read and watch, the more I’m learning.

  • cynic

    MSNBC’s housing bubble program “House of Cards” is also worth seeing, if you get a chance. It’s astonishing what went on in plain view without too many questions being asked. I guess no one wanted to question what was at the bottom of a booming economy.

  • Peggy Sue

    I’ll try to check it out, cynic. Thanks for the suggestion. I keep going, I might begin to understand this mess [a little, at least].

  • diane b

    This program aired by FrontLine did not explain what the credit default swaps were. They did not explain that they were not backed by real estate, these default swaps are backed by absolutely nothing. Yes, folks absolutely nothing.

    They would take a piece of property create the first loan, and then a hundred exact copies of that loan, but now called a credit default swap but not backed by the original property. They used different names on these swaps it was gambling.

    The big boys all new what was going on. They created trillions of these derivatives.

    No, this show was a real farce.

  • cynic

    Didn’t they cover the credit default swap issue in connection with the AIG? I believe they attributed most of AIG’s problems to CDSs, but I may be misremembering.

  • diane b

    they might have mentioned it in passing but they did not state that there was any property backing these derivatives. Nothing and then AIG gives them insurance. I ask, Insurance on what a piece of paper. This is what this deregulation scam allowed and these guys Paulson and Bernanke to do to allow these guys knew exactly what they were doing, they knew all the details to make this happen the way it ddi, they PLANNED this!!!

    Remember where Paulson came from; Goldman Saks. CEO. Talk about the fox gaurding the chicken coop!! ’nuff said!

    To get a the real explanation of this ‘crisis’ check the article “The End” by Michael Lewis:

    http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom?tid=true

  • Ellen D

    Who was behind the $500 billion drawdown from U.S. money markets? That’s what I’d like to know.

  • anon

    That would be an important piece of information, wouldn’t it. $500 billion in 2 hours cannot be a run by many, many investors. Had to be sovereign funds or hedge funds. Other than foreign nation treasuries, who might have that much money in cash, I wonder hmm?

  • anon

    Cynic, the “interconnected web” they mentioned in the Frontline piece IS the CDS’. All the CDS taken together exceed all the money in the world quite a few times over. I’ve seen values quoted as high as $72 Trillion.

    I don’t know, but I suspect, that the reason Ford has not needed and has not taken bailout money is because they did not invest in CDS, they are not in the chain of dominoes.

  • anon

    Thanks for the link, that’s a good piece from the personal experience perspective. If you really want to understand CDS and the domino effect go to wikipedia and search Credit Default Swap.

  • anon

    I don’t think and didn’t say the piece overly emphasized Paulson’s supposed antipathy for Lehman’s CEO. It was suggested though. In doing so the piece misdirects the viewer’s understanding of the cause and implies that bailing out Lehman’s might have stemmed the meltdown. This is false.

    Coupled with the mere mention of the role of CDS and only in connection with AIG steers the viewer away from the inescapable domino effect of the CDS market. Its a misdirection, purposeful or not, I wouldn’t know.

  • Bazooka

    Paulson let ideology get in the way. He did not necessarily make the best decisions.

  • Bazooka

    I don’t think the program says at all that if Lehman was bailed-out the crisis would not have happened. What it does say is that Lehman was way more interconnected than people may have thought. The systemic risk related to Lehman was way greater than what people were anticipating.

    Hard to know in hindsight if saving Lehman would have made a difference, but it certainly kept the dominos falling. The Lehman decision is very controversial and greatly debated. No clear answers.

  • anon

    Go learn about Credit Default Swaps if you want to understand Lehman’s (and everyone else’s) interconnectedness. Once you learn that you’ll understand that the systemic risk remains.

  • diane b

    That doesn’t share anything about credit default swaps. You are buying nothing there is no property behind the debt.

  • http://link Mark34

    Britain was soon followed by the other countries of Europe. ,

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