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The Truth on the CBO Budget Projections

If you want to understand Barack’s economic fantasy, here is the data from the Congressional Budget Office. The numbers are there in black-and-white. Click on the image to see the full-sized version.

cbo-budget-projection

Let me point out a couple of the relevant details.

The first thing you should understand is that there are some basic assumptions built in to the CBO analysis. The numbers in the chart above are a reasonable sunny, optimistic scenario.

Second, let’s not forget that poor, little Barack has inherited a terrible, awful budget deficit. The deficit has created big, big problems for the Golden Child. So, what is Barack’s solution? INCREASE THE DEFICIT. Swell. That makes no sense, but what the hell.

So look carefully at the CBO numbers: Barack Obama is going to spend more money every year compared to what George Bush spent in 2008. Bush’s discretionary spending in 2008 was 1.133 trillion dollars. That is an average of $3777 per every man, woman and child. Barack, by contrast, is slated to spend at least $51 billion more per year than Bush.

How does Barack cut the budget deficit in half? Real simple. He increases personal income taxes, which will produce an additional $350 billion in 2011 and $426 billion in 2012. Couple of points to consider. If the economy is starting to turn around in 2011 this size of income tax increase dramatically increases the likelihood that a recession will be reignited. The majority of the money being raised by taxes will be used to pay for debt, not to “stimulate” the economy. It takes money out of the pockets of people who would normally spend those funds on goods and service.

The cost of the Bush tax cut, over a ten year period, was $1.45 trillion dollars. Okay? Here’s the link. Go look it up. Notice that Barack Obama is proposing to try to recover 50% of the Bush tax cuts in a two year period. It may feel good in terms of political demagoguery but as an economic policy in the midst of a fragile economy it is nuts.

I think the press corps did a better job tonight of starting to ask some tough questions of the Messiah. It was a good first step. Let’s hope in the next go round that some member of press are better schooled in the specifics of the Barack budget legerdemain. We might actually teach the American people a thing or two.

  • Diana

    Larry there is only one link to Bush’s. There is no links/nothing for Obama’s PDF a larger image. I can’t read that little picture you have embedded.

  • HARP

    Whats with passing the blackberry around?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sJa0qVLStA

  • http://www.marklevinshow.com/ Seattle Moss

    The CBO has said that the deficit will represent 4-5% of GDP in a few years.
    Can you imagine…5% of everything we produce in this country will go to pay the debt.

    What’s that word?

    UNSUSTAINABLE!!!

  • Doc99

    Here are a few thousand words which makes the impact of Obamanomics crystal clear.

  • http://www.dwarfhamster.com dst

    Like taking a pale of water from one sie of a pool and pouring it back in the other side and expecting the water level to rise but also paying accumulating interest on every pale. After watching for a while one has reason to look pail!

  • http://www.marklevinshow.com/ Seattle Moss

    Notice that after 2012 the deficit starts to rise again to the level it will be this year. I’m sure that is because of the interest and health care for boomers.

  • WMCB

    Let’s hope in the next go round that some member of press are better schooled in the specifics of the Barack budget legerdemain.

    There WERE knowledgeable business/economic/financial reporters in that room, and 0bama called on none of them for questions.

  • WMCB

    Word is they were looking at real time focus group results, but I don’t know that for sure.

  • I’m a Linda too

    LJ wrote:

    Second, let’s not forget that poor, little Barack has inherited a terrible, awful budget deficit. The deficit has created big, big problems for the Golden Child. So, what is Barack’s solution? INCREASE THE DEFICIT. Swell. That makes no sense, but what the hell.

    Exactly, so how can Weary Barry complain about the deficit he was aware of before running or when he took office, when he is in fact looking to do much more damage than what he is complaining of?

  • diane

    you have to read this
    “when america ruled the world!”
    http://www.poorrichardsalmanac.biz
    this guy shows how all of this happened by tracking our decline since ww2!
    a must read!

  • arran

    Diane–The trade deficit in the mid-1940s was off-set by the high number of Americans’ saving accounts. I haven’t tracked it, but we probably stopped saving in the late 1970s and, along with our government, began running up huge debts.

  • I’m a Linda too

    They’re hiding the reality until he gets re-elected. And then he will “correct” proujections.

  • http://www.marklevinshow.com/ Seattle Moss
  • Lyn

    did you click on the little graph?

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  • TeakwoodKite

    He increases personal income taxes, which will produce an additional $350 billion in 2011 and $426 billion in 2012.

    LJ, it is hard to increase tax revenue when you make no income and the financial sector has been sent out on the street like a cross dressing whore at the enterance to the Holland Tunnel.

    I won’t apoligize for being PISSED.

    My daughter came upon the realization today, that my granddaughter will be 4 years old when these clowns are up for parole and she will represent the collateral for the loans BO is making. What a horrible bondage is this?

    All I hear ringing in my head is Cheney saying “deficits don’t matter” after the 2006 elections. BO’s ego could swallow a galaxy like a blackhole and not even blink.

    If oil is trade is done with the international currency , the dollar will be as worthless as BO’s gallows humor words.

  • http://www.marklevinshow.com/ Seattle Moss

    How’s it going Teak?

    I’m avoiding people I know voted for Obama. I just don’t feel like talking with them right now
    Let it seep in just a little more what they actually voted for…

    Jonathan Lebed, who puts out the widely read Lebed.biz newsletter, wrote that “the upcoming gold boom will be bigger than the dot-com and real estate booms combined because the dollar bubble is much larger than the previous bubbles at their peaks combined, and as the dollar starts to collapse in a downward spiral, gold could literally go to infinity. When I predict gold goes to $5,000 per ounce over the next few years, this is only if (Federal Reserve Chairman) Ben Bernanke, Obama and the Congress reverse course immediately. Every day that goes by where Congress distracts Americans with nonsense while the Federal Reserve prints trillions in new dollars, the odds increase that we will see hyperinflation and gold will go much higher than $5,000 per ounce.”

    Lebed correctly predicted the imminent collapse of the real estate market in 2005.

  • Retired

    I think Barry’s fantasy is to be having at it with the Obama Girl, with her screaming, “Tax me, Barry! Oh, please tax me!” at the peak of passion.

    No wonder Michelle is such a nasty, frustrated witch. Old Barry just needs more taxes than she can provide.

    Sorry. For a numbers guy, looking at the CBO figures just drives you over the brink.

  • http://www.marklevinshow.com/ Seattle Moss

    Reminds me of a famous phrase last year..

    Don’t Tase me Bro!

    Don’t tax me Bro!

  • Diana

    Yes several times, I even tried saving it and blowing it up, but it’s working now so thank you.

  • Peter Martin

    Well, you arrogant imbecile, so what is your solution. Budget forecasts are mere predictions and too many conservative pundits think they have found the holy grail to destroy the Obama Presidency. Who knows how good or bad things will be in 1-2 years. Most Americans don’t care about 10-year projections. What should be done for the next 3 federal budgets in light of the past, present and future are something you are not capable of debating. You and your publication are a complete waste of Internet space.

  • Sassy

    So is your comment!

  • E.Kramer

    To quote a great President, Obama’s whole budget and his projection of cutting the deficit in half is a complete “fairyTale”! I trust more people will wake up and demand some fiscal discipline.

  • JAB

    …I care about 10-year projections. I’m just guessing here, but you don’t have children, do you? I care about the debt my son will “inherit” (I’m sure you’re familiar with that mantra).

    No one knows what the future will bring, but I think we should rely on reports from people that actually know what they are talking about and not a bunch of ‘know it alls’.

  • Patience

    Larry — this story made http://www.realclearpolitics.com Best of the Blogs section! Congratulations!!!

  • politicalidentitycrisis

    I second that! Congratulations, Larry and No Quarter! I hope the entire country learns about No Quarter and reads the articles here. They will finally cath up on what we No Quarter Readers know.

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  • Lisabona

    Larry, something is wrong with your side. I try to go; noquarterusa.net and the side is blank. Only side I can get is the 24 of March but nothing for 25

  • to77

    Larry, I don’t understand how the link you provided comes to the conclusion that the Bush tax cuts for top givers cost the treasury an average of $75 billion a year when the upper tax cut was from 39%-35% (11% cut) when in 2009 we collected a total of $400 billion from the top bracket. 11% more of $400 billion is $44 billion. What am I missing?

    now this all supposes that the tax cuts don’t help stimulate economy and as a result increase government revenue. Revenue in 2001 was 1.9 trillion in 2008 it was 2.6 trillion. Now government spending in 2001 was 1.8 trillion and spending in 2008 was 2.9 trillion and went to 3.9 trillion in 2009. I think the issue might be spending not taxes.

  • http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/2009/03/25/barack-obama-the-trillion-dollar-dud-er-uh-man/ Barack Obama, The Trillion Dollar Dud er, uh, Man [Updated] : NO QUARTER

    [...] is why he is disingenuous. Go back and check out the chart from the CBO in my article yesterday (here). Please understand what the term “annual deficit” actually means. It is the amount the [...]

  • http://www.markdownmom.com markdownmom

    Would you want communism to fail?

    Jay Leno Blasts Obama

    Even Jay Leno is comparing Obama’s policies to communism. I want that to fail. Watch Leno blast Mr. O’s policies:

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