They plan to disrupt the convention and pull the walls down if they don’t get their way:

http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=917

Peace out!

Without the youth, the white males, the Indies, or the Reagan Dems, he can’t win squat in November.

Thousands of Democrats are refusing to donate to the DNC anymore because of Florida and Michigan fiascos.

And it’s not just voters in those 2 states, either.

Tad ironic, isn’t it, that the very same Bill Richardson, who said superdelegates should follow the “will of the people of their state,” now turns on the majority of New Mexico voters who chose Hillary Clinton, and endorses Barak Obama.

I’m beginning to think Obama is more like George W. Bush than we thought: What he SAYS and what he DOES are not one and the same.

Rasmussen’s poll after Wright showed that even 58% of African Americans found the tapes and the hate speech in them to be racially divisive and offensive.

Black don’t really vote in a block.

This is just a meme to push Hillary out early, before Obama loses even more of his previous supporters.

Now, if one actually applies some sort of weighting strategy to the counting of delegates (e.g., weighting that awards delegates for each state based on the likelihood of that state going Democratic, Republican, or a toss-up), things get even WORSE for Obama since many of his victories have been in states where the results of the Democratic primary/caucus will be the LAST TIME to hear the name of that state in the SAME BREATH with the word “Democrat”. (And I am NOT suggesting we apply this weighting since it would disenfranchise entire states in the primary process, but it is a useful exercise for super delegates who are left wondering what is best for the party.)

BTW, does anyone else “roll their eyes” when these so-called “political analysts” claim that Obama is likely to be seriously competitive in Southern Republican strongholds like Mississippi, if he becomes the Democratic nominee for president? Certainly, Jimmy Carter managed to accomplish that, but he’s the ONLY Democrat since Adlai Stephenson to actually “take the South”. And in the case of Carter, he was a “son of the South”, and Obama is certainly anything BUT that!

I think with the Wright tapes circulating, Obama is at the beginning of a long Eagleton moment.

Indeed! And the Eagleton moment combined with other similar events led to the evolution of the super delegates with the idea being that Democratic insiders would be able to move in and “save” the party from just such a catastrophe.

Obama’s speech may have staunched the bleeding, but if anyone actually believes that those videos will not be played and replayed over the course of the general election campaign, then he/she is smoking something other than tobacco. After all, it was just in 2000 when rumors of McCain’s “black” child (adopted child from Bangladesh) undermined his effort in the South Carolina primary.

My friends that support Obama have all warned that there will be hell to pay if Hillary wins the nomination even if Obama has won more pledged delegates and/or a greater popular vote. I am not so sure that this will be the case if another Wright bombshell is awaiting us. My white friends who support Obama seem to believe that blacks, who certainly form a major Democratic constituency, would stay home rather than vote for Hillary Clinton for president. But one has to wonder if this is a valid concern were Hillary to put Obama on the ticket, which seems reasonably likely–far more likely than Obama selecting Hillary as a running mate.

Also, Gallup polls nationally and tends to re-use many of its subjects. He lost sizable overall leads from prior times to a margin of error spike.

If all of America can vote in Pennsylvania next week, then the Gallup poll might matter.

The contempt that Barack Obama has for the process is clear, the contempt the obamatons have for anyone who isn’t them is even more clear. It is a huge reason why I won’t be voting for him in November.

I’ve said it before, there is only one way he can get my vote in November, to immediately call for the impeachment and incarceration of George Walker Bush, Richard Head Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Condoleeza Rice, Alberto Gonzales, and Nancy Pelosi. (yes I know Rumsy and Gonzo are ‘retired’ so incarcerate them).

other than that, he can’t possibly get my vote now. I have no loyalty to a party that doesn’t deserve it.

In WA and TX both caucuses and primaries were held. In WA, Obama did 16% better in the caucus than in the primary. So the first thing to do is discount his caucus delegates nationwide by 16% and increase Hillary’s by 16%. (The TX difference might be worth looking at too, if they ever finish counting the caucus results.)

For turnout, I’ve seen figures from several states as to how many people turned out for the caucuses vs how many turned out for the last primary, or for some other recent election.