[Updates, Incl. Harold Ickes Memo] Hillary’s FIVE New Superdelegates + Lead in Gallup National and Indiana Polls
By SusanUnPC on May 1, 2008 at 12:54 PM in Barack Obama, Electability, Hillary Clinton, Indiana
___________________
GALLUP NAT’L POLL TODAY: “Gallup Daily: Clinton 49%, Obama 45%”
|
Video courtesy of V4Hill. |
INDIANA POLL (HRC is +10): “Indiana Poll Shows Clinton With Big Lead Over Obama”
The results of a statewide survey indicate a dramatic shift of support from Sen. Barack Obama in favor of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton … The survey, conducted by Indianapolis-based TeleResearch Corp. and released exclusively to RTV6, showed Clinton with a 10-point lead over Obama — 48 percent to 38 percent [14 percent undecided] … |
The matching contribution drive has been extended. DONATE HERE, and your donation is automatically doubled. (You also get to write a short note to the person who is matching your donation.)
___________________
BREAKING/ JUST IN: FIFTH superdelegate in Connecticut endorses Hillary (press release below).
Four New York Automatic Delegates Back Hillary: Cuomo, Fields, DiNapoli, Arroyo named NY Automatic Delegates Today [UPDATE with Harold Ickes Memo at end of story.]
The Clinton Campaign announced the support of four New York automatic delegates today, after the New York State Democratic Committee elected its automatic delegates to the Democratic National Convention.
The automatic delegates include New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, former Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields, New York Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli and New York Assemblywoman Carmen Arroyo.
::::::::::::
UPDATE: FIFTH SUPERDELEGATE TODAY ENDORSES HRC:
Connecticut Automatic Delegate John Olsen Endorses Hillary
Connecticut automatic delegate John Olsen announced his support for Hillary Clinton today.
“Hillary Clinton is the champion working families need,” Olsen said. “She is a fighter and a doer who will stand up for the middle class and deliver quality, affordable health care for every American. She is the strongest candidate to beat John McCain in the general election and win back the White House.”
A DNC member since 1996, Olsen is President of the Connecticut AFL-CIO and former Democratic State Party Chair.
::::::::::::
UPDATE:
MEMO: HRC Strongest v. McCain
To: Automatic Delegates
Date: May 1, 2008
RE: HRC Strongest v. McCain
A spate of new public polls out this week confirms what we have been arguing for some time: Hillary Clinton is the strongest candidate to beat John McCain in November.
The data shows that Clinton not only outperforms Obama in head-to-head matchups, but is also stronger in the all important subcategories that serve as bellwethers for a candidate’s overall strength. In addition, new data out today in three swing states vital to Democratic prospects in November show Clinton beating McCain.
HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH MCCAIN: In a hypothetical general election match-up with McCain, Clinton wins handily (50-41) while Obama is virtually tied with McCain (46-44), according to the AP-Ipsos poll released Monday. A new poll from CBS/NYT show Clinton beating McCain by five points (48-43), while Obama ties McCain (45-45). The new Fox poll has Clinton beating McCain by one point (45-44), while Obama trails McCain by three points (43-46). And in Gallup’s daily tracking poll, Clinton leads McCain by one point (46-45) while Obama trails McCain by two points (44-46).
SWING STATES: New Quinnipiac polls out today show Clinton dramatically outperforms Obama in the critical swing states of Ohio in Florida. In Ohio, Clinton beats McCain by ten points (48-38), while Obama loses to him by one point (43-44). In Florida, Clinton beats McCain by 8 (49-41), while Obama loses to him by one point (42-43). Hillary also tops McCain by 14 points in Pennsylvania (51-37), while Obama’s lead over McCain is in single digits.
CLINTON BEATS MCCAIN AMONG INDEPENDENT VOTERS; OBAMA TIES HIM: The new AP poll has Clinton leading McCain among independents (50-34) while Obama is tied with him (42-42). The NBC/WSJ poll notes that Obama’s negative ratings among independents are they highest they have ever been.
CLINTON IS THE CANDIDATE VOTERS TRUST WITH THE ECONOMY: The economy is the top issue among voters and is likely to remain so through November. In the CBS/NYT poll, Hillary beat both Obama and McCain as the candidate who is talking about the economy most by a margin of 25% to Obama’s 13% and McCain’s 7%.
OBAMA UNFAVORABLES RISING QUICKLY: In the CBS/NYT poll, Obama’s unfavorables increased by ten points in the last month (24 to 34%) while his favorables decreased by four points. In the CBS/NYT poll, Obama’s unfavorables among independents rose to 31%. The Fox poll shows that in the last two months, Obama’s unfavorables have increased by nine points (33 to 42%) while his favorables decreased by seven points (54 to 47%). In the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, Obama’s negative ratings increased by five points in the last month (32 to 37%) while his positive ratings decreased by three points in the last month (49 to 46%).
CLINTON STRONGEST AMONG SWING VOTING BLOCS: The new AP-Ipsos poll shows Clinton leading McCain among seniors (51-39) but has McCain BEATING Obama (49-38). She runs stronger against McCain with those under 30 than Obama does, pulling two-thirds of the young vote while Obama gets 55% against McCain. And she wins the Catholic vote against McCain (58-35) while McCain beats Obama (46-43).
Read more press releases at HillaryClinton.com.
Thanks for the info.
This is OT but it sums up what this election is all about on a fundamental level to me:
Clinton = Systemic change and a chance for humanity to survive.
McCain = Treading water and we can’t afford this as we are almost at the point of no return.
Obama = Collective suicide like the Heaven’s Gate cult.
“Obama = Collective suicide like the Heaven’s Gate cult.”
LOL! Oh crap, I think you got that right. He sure scares me.
Thought you would like to know what your dead-ender friends have been doing on Joe Andrews’ Wikipedia page:
You Clinton fans are nothing if not classy folks.
A vote for Hillary Clinton is a vote to continue” a long, self-destructive Democratic campaign, Joe Andrew added in a letter designed to have an impact on the turbulent race nationally as well as in his home state of Indiana, site of a primary next week.
“A vote to continue this process is a vote that assists John McCain,” Andrew wrote.
**************
Leave it to an Obamabot to find the one juvenile comment. Your quote actually sounds like a comment Jeff would make…are you certain a Clinton supporter wrote that? Hillary Clinton has not helped McCain, but Andrew just might be. After all, he is calling for disenfranchising North Carolin, Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, Guam, Puerto Rico and of course, Michigan and Florida.
Andrew projects. His is the Heaven’s Gate** wing of the Democratic Party.
I liked Yttiks comment (above) so much I made it my own.
Andrew projects. His is the Heaven’s Gate** wing of the Democratic Party.
** Yttiks comment (above) is so good I made it my own. Say it loud; say it often.
You forgot Kentucky!
Clinton = Systemic change and a chance for humanity to survive.
McCain = Treading water and we can’t afford this as we are almost at the point of no return.
Obama = Collective suicide like the Heaven’s Gate cult.
That is so true you don’t know. Actually you do.
“Clinton = Systemic change and a chance for humanity to survive.”
Wow, that’s quite a tall order. No less than the survival of humanity depends on Clinton winning the Democratic nomination, huh? And I thought it was the “Obamabots” who behaved like a “cult”.
I was so excited, that when I looked at an e-mail from Harry Reid, I misread it to say “Give ‘Em Hell, Hillary!”
Ooooooh Nooooo! Where am I going to get a special track suit ?
Tyical Obama Supporter after Denver Convention…..
Damn I agree! It’s Hill or head for the hills!
yuhuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu
thank you thank you
come on everybody
lets call them and say thamk you to them
I’ll cry if I call - I’m gonna email.
All Obama’s lies have been investigated
by a group of people and reported for the world to see. It’s called the Truth vs. Obama.
http://savagepolitics.com/?page_id=326
The winner being self-evident!
All of his lies? Are you sure about that?
Not sure what you mean but of course not, not all of anyone’s lies ever see the light of day. That being said, if one believes in a deity, that deity would see everything.
It also implies that as a contest Obama is against the truth. Hey that plays about right! I wonder what David Axelrod’s going to do in the autumn?
lets do fundraising ….
i start
Contribution Details
Date: May 01, 2008 2:06 PM EDT
Contact:****** CA 9**70
714 ***-****
Amount: $100.00
Thank You for Your ContributionThank you. Your contribution has been processed.
We are at a critical stage in the campaign, and our online supporters like you are making the difference. The more people we reach, the more resources we will have to help Hillary win. Click here to send an email to your friends and family asking them to support our campaign by making a contribution.
If there is any problem with the information listed below, or if you have any questions about your contribution, please click here to contact us.
Contribution Details
Date: May 01, 2008 2:06 PM EDT
Contact:****** CA 9**70
714 ***-****
Amount: $100.00
COME ON EVERYONE
DIGG DEEPER ,,,DEEPER …$5 $10 $20 $100 OR ANY AMOUNT
FOR OUR BETTER FUTURE ,,,,LETS INVEST WITH A WINNER
Well, I’m a little tight this month, but I’ll sure do what I can. Here goes:
Contribution Details
Date: May 01, 2008 2:19 PM EDT
Contact:****** CA 8**90
512 ***-****
Amount: $0.10
see you maxed out your credit card Obama not paying you enough
Oh wait, I found some more under my mattress:
Contribution Details
Date: May 01, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
Contact:****** CA 8**90
512 ***-****
Amount: $1,000,000.10
you stupid ,,,,
first u threw ur granny under the bus
now u throwing urself under the bus ,,,u fraud
u don,t even have a credit card ,,,
remember u were still waiting for ur welfare check to buy soap to take shower
honey ,,,
don,t get mad at my son
its not him
its the kool aid and the cult effect
don,t worry
he will wake up once he falls on his face into the shitt hole,,,ewwwwwwwwwwwwww,,my baby
They let you have a mattress?
It wasn’t his credit card.
Gee Jeff, that’s so sweet. I know you’ve donated most of your paper route earnings to Obama, so I do understand things must be tight for you now. But, every little bit helps.
To help everyone out, I just wanted to offer my receipt as your copy and paste option when bragging about “donating” to the Hillary campaign. It’ll save you the time it usually takes you to fabricate one of your own.
Your level of discourse sinks daily, Obama follower. Thanks for reinforcing my will to work against all Obama supporters.
Don’t over-estimate Jeff’s abilities…he’s just a boy.
the Andrews Judas act is merely the flicker just before the lights go out permanently!
You know it’s funny…..In the South these betrayals are takin PERSONALLY.
There isn’t the tradition of It’s just business…..Bill Clinton is from the South and Hillary is a good mix of midwestern pragmatism tinged with an adopted southern characterstic of a long memory…..
These Judases will regret these hasty and unethical actions….
I just had a thought:
The SD that just flipped from Hillary to Obama may not be such a good thing for Obama. By doing that, the floodgates could be opening up and Obama delegates might flip to Hillary since flipping is in the air. Let the games begin.
I just made this commet to a friend. This makes it fair game. There have to many OBSD who have buyer’s remorse.
I agree. I hope the trolls have flood insurance.
he’s not the first to flip. he won’t be the last. how many have flipped in favor of hrc?
nada. zero. nilch.
but please, don’t let me interrupt your delusions. carry on!
Thank you for the info. This made my day even brighter.
“Specifically, Andrews pointed to Clinton’s proposal for a gas-tax holiday — an idea derided by economists but, likely, welcomed by voters — as evidence that her candidacy promised not principle, but merely the opportunity to ‘play the political theater better than anyone else.’
‘The idea that we would step back from the real energy policy and environmental policy…for half a tank of gas,’ he said. ‘Is something that really was the straw that broke the camels back for me.’”
He is an idiot. I would agree with him if that was the only solution she had proposed but that is not the case. She has also proposed a well thought out long term energy solution. What is wrong with doing something short term when middle and working class people are hurting so badly?
Another out of touch elitist.
Most Americans filling their gas tanks at $4 would like to save nearly 20 cents for a month or two. How the heck does he think people are going to manage vacations? Do any of them have a CLUE what it is like out here for REAL people? No wonder he’s supporting Obama! They can eat their arugula salads with goat cheese from Whole Foods together!
Exactly! Out of touch is what they are. The Obamas’interview on Today’s show was the most vanity-filled vacuous charade I have ever seen. In everything Clinton says she is always thinking about others needs and the president’s role is. These Obama people, they don’t have a clue.
He’s prince charleton and she’s princess graceless.
While Obama was doing a vacuous interview to play up to CRACKERS…..Hillary Clinton was having a kitchen table discussion
with a family in NC. and then took a ride with a typical trucker to fill up his gas tank…..Who is listening to voters ?
asshole is confirming Limbaugh’s Democrat stereotype.
Hillary Gets 4 New Delegates and has Nice Poll Showings
by D. Cupples | No Quarter reports that 4 automatic delegates from New York are supporting Hillary Clinton: New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, former Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields, New York Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli and New York…
This was in Slate just before Pennsylvania ….
If Clinton pulls off a narrow victory in Pennsylvania, all eyes will turn to Indiana as the next battleground. It looks to be a fair fight: Indiana has a large population of Clinton-friendly working-class whites, while Obama has a near-home court advantage. Recent polls show Obama leading there, but not irreversibly so. North Carolina, meanwhile, is a lock for Obama, which will only extend his pledged delegate lead. But right now the race is about superdelegates. And it’s Indiana where the remaining uncommitted supers will be looking for signs that Clinton lives.
How is it that every time some one sets a bar, she out performs and he can’t do the minimum?
Hopeychangey just doesn’t hold up against an articulate and well expressed stump speech.
This is the email I sent to Mr. Andrew this morning. I doubt he’ll read it or care, but maybe someone will read it to him.
Mr. Andrew,
A man as busy as yourself may not have seen the very popular TV series “Survivor” but surely you have heard of it. Time and time again, the winner of the game is one who picks the right group with which to align. Those that turn on their alliances are never trusted by any side in the game and soon enough, they too are voted off the island.
Count me as one of those Democrats (a former elected official as well) that will be first in line to change my party affiliation to Independent if you manage to steal this nomination for someone clearly so illprepared. And for the record, I will not be “falling in line” behind Mr. Obama should you prevail.
Good luck, sir.
Ouch. This guy will regret whatever deal he made with the devil. Thanks for sharing!
Good Letter! I like it!
You were much nicer than I would have been.
I’m so proud to be voting for Hillary. I have donated, called and blogged and I don’t regret any of it. I feel like the time and money I have spent will be well worth it when she becomes President.
Let’s please try to ignore the trolls. If we leave them alone they will get bored and go away. Thanks!
Ellen:
I am with you. I invested my tax return in her campaign. It feels like an investment in my future. I know that if she is in the WH at 3 AM I will sleep better.
“I invested my tax return in her campaign.”
Wow, I am really sorry about that. I could never, ever trust that kind of money to a campaign that burned through $100 million so fast it was broke by February, with nothing to show for it.
Nothing except beating Gutter Ball’s ass.
Right … after spending like the money was his in Pennsylvania and calling closing to within 10 percentage points a victory?
hahahahahahahaha
keep it up friend
and lets make it happen
We should ignore the trolls but every good garden does need manure?
u r just great
good one
http://www.newsday.com/news/local/politics/ny-uscamp0501,0,4906121.story
pls blog here too
I have an office topic question:
what sort of reaction has Hillary’s “umbrella of deterrence” policy garnered from the foreign policy experts, such as they are.
I’m having an email debate with a professor on this subject. He claims that there is no support among experts for her proposal.
Is that really true?
Um.. lol, that was supposed to be *off* topic.
Politico’s Simon cropped Wright quote, claiming he “made it legitimate” to use Obama’s middle name
http://mediamatters.org/items/200804300002
In his April 30 Politico column discussing Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr., Sen. Barack Obama’s former pastor, chief political columnist Roger Simon pointed to conservative radio host Bill Cunningham’s repeated references to “Barack Hussein Obama” at a February 26 rally for Sen. John McCain, writing: “Remember how, to his credit, John McCain strongly denounced the talk show host who repeatedly used Obama’s middle name at a speech? Well, McCain doesn’t have to denounce that in the future. Wright made it legitimate.” As evidence, Simon selectively quoted from Wright’s April 27 address at the Fight for Freedom Fund Dinner hosted by the Detroit chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People: ” ‘Please run and tell my stuck-on-stupid friends that Arabic is a language; it’s not a religion,’ Wright said at a speech to the NAACP on Sunday. ‘Barack HUSSEIN Obama. Barack HUSSEIN Obama. Barack HUSSEIN Obama.’ ” But Simon omitted the portion of Wright’s remarks that immediately followed the part he quoted, in which Wright appeared to criticize those who use Obama’s middle name. As Media Matters for America has noted, Wright actually said:
WRIGHT: Please run and tell my stuck-on-stupid friends that Arabic is a language; it’s not a religion. Barack Hussein Obama. Barack Hussein Obama. Barack Hussein Obama. There are Arabic-speaking Christians, Arabic-speaking Jews, and Arabic speaking atheists. Arabic is a language; it’s not a religion. Stop trying to scare folks by giving them an Arabic name as if it’s some sort of a disease. [emphasis added]
Can Obama Win Over Clinton Supporters?
Posted by KYLE TRYGSTAD | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author
According to a new New York Times/CBS News poll, half of Clinton’s supporters would be dissatisfied if Obama wins the Democratic nomination.
From the New York Times:
I know which half we are in.
dissatisfied.
ergo?
wonder how much they paid for that?
I will only be about one twentieth dissatisfied. Unfortunately for Sen. Obama it’s the one twentieth I,m going to use to mark my ballot.
On the April 28 edition of MSNBC’s Hardball, host Chris Matthews asserted of Sen. Barack Obama and his former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr.: “They’re different faces of the same guy.” Indeed, earlier in the program Matthews illustrated his point by conflating Obama with Wright. While referring to Obama and mentioning “his middle name,” Matthews seamlessly transitioned to refer to Wright’s security detail as “defend[ing] him,” and “standing behind him,” and saying, “And didn’t he get security from [Nation of Islam leader Louis] Farrakhan today?” prompting Matthews’ guest Rev. Eugene Rivers to ask, “Who are we talking about — Wright? Are we talking about Jeremiah?”
use this to contact superds-see how much bambi is being paid-
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Superdelegate_Transparency_Project
This is the contact information for Joe Andrew. The new Judus who just switched his support from Hillary to Obama and put out a letter stating we need stop the primaries and rally around Obama. We are flooding his email with angry letters. Please write. Thanks.
PASS AROUND JOE ANDREWS CONTACT INFORMATION FAR AND WIDE:
Phone: 202-408-5210
jandrew@sonnenschein.com
http://www.sonnenschein.com/attorney…px?aid=0004475
Next time you guys complain about flooding Michael Nutter’s inbox, maybe look to the mote in your own eye.
Am I mistaken but wasn’t Indiana used as a rubber match state? Has Obama flip-flopped on that one too????
they have been moving the goal posts since CA. Win CA, you get the nom but no no, you must win OH and TX and PA too.
I KNOW
SO UNFAIR
PASS AROUND JOE ANDREWS CONTACT INFORMATION FAR AND WIDE:
Phone: 202-408-5210
I CALLED
AND LEFT MESSAGE LIKE :HI JOE,,,,THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR SHOWING US WHAT JUDAS LOOK LIKE ,,BUT OFCOURSE YOU ARE JUDAS NO 2 ,,BILL RICHARDSON IS NO 1 ,,SO U R LOOSER ON BOTH SIDES ,,,..AND BY THE WAY ,,PRIMARIES ARE NOT OVER YET MMSO THANKS FOR THE MOTIVATION ,,,NOW WE WILL WORK EVEN HARDER AND HARDER TO SAVE OUR FUTURE FROM CULT AND JUDAS LIKE U ,,,,,,HAVE A GOOD FU**CKING DAY ,,,,
Calm down Sonia
I KNOW
BUT HE IS DISTRACTING PEOPLE FROM FOCUSING ON OBAMA,S PROBLEMS AND PUTTING NEGATIVE IMPACT ON HILLARY
please
A-fucking-mazing. Obama picks up one SD today , Hillary picks up 5 and Jack Cafferty says it’s the beginning of the end for Hillary, even though polls show Barry’s campaign is in a tailspin. Go on over to CNN caffery files and let him know how you feel.
let’s review, shall we?
since the ‘devastating’ loss in pennsylvania, she’s picked up 10 supers.
he’s picked up 15.
wow. that’s not a ‘tailspin’. that’s just spin.
i call bs.
Who cares?
certainly none of the hrc supporters. for them, reality is SUCH a distraction.
Let’s review this while we are reviewing:Superdelegates are free to vote differently at the convention. In other words, these planned “announcements” are all bullshit. Hillary is just sticking Obama’s old trick up his own nose. None of these superdelegate “endorsements” mean squat till votes are cast. Which brings us to why the party wants to shut this stupid idea of democracy down: Time is not Barack Obama’s friend.
wrong.
neither time nor the trend is clinton’s friend.
Bwaaaaannnnnaaaaa……Obama is headed for POLITICAL OBLIVION.
nuff said…..Bought your track suit yet ?
Thanks for the recent updates and polls — all good.
And thank you for including the “matching contribution drive” extension notice.
I did contribute once again, and am very heartened to know that it will be matched by some generous HRC supporter. As they say, “I gave because I can.” I urge any other folks who can to do the same. Especially at this time in the campaign, and particularly because your contribution will be matched and the benefit doubles.
Great job, as always, Susan. Kudos to you!
Maybe everybody could drop their state SD’s a friendly note inviting them back into the Clinton camp. Two that come to my mind are John Lewis and David Scott (GA) who jumped ship to Obama, but that was back in Feb. In light of what has transpired with Obama since then, maybe they could be persuaded to reconsider. Go to:
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=SourceWatch. There’s a map with each state and a list of all SD’s
Sorry, the correct link is
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Portal:Superdelegate_Transparency_Project
Has anybody noticed that Barry polls better than he actually performs? SurveyUSA has figured that out I think.
Good that the Obamabots have bad polls gives them a false sense of security.
Voter Suppression using ILLEGAL ROBO CALLS AIMED AT AA WOMEN IN
North Carolina asking women to register to vote after the date had passed.
The group is Womens Voices Womens Votes….Just heard that on NPR…
This group has one this in other states….Check it out….
Looks like another ILLEGAL TACTIC BY CAMP OBAMA…..
ROFL Andrews just said, are you ready?::: Barack Obama is the Bill Clinton of 2008. I’m cracking up here.
I don’t know whether to laugh or throw up…..Laugh….
That does not surprise me Obama studied every speech Bill Clinton ever made….That is so insulting….
Every time one of these for bambie go on The TV shows and open their mouth, I say oh THANK YOU for going to the other side! Jesus, They sound so lame because they themselves don’t believe a word of their PAC funded dribble