axelass thinks we’ll be stuck with obaby? axelass can kiss my ass. i’ll vote mccain without a second’s hesitation if obaby’s the dem nominee.

hillary or mccain. no other option.

McCain has 229.

Obama has 217.

The SD and delegates are going to have a tough nut to crack to override this!

Obama is a dangerous person who should not be allowed in the highest position of our nation. Hopefully, you can share your encounters with the caucuses.

we arent all brilliant analysts, and i wish people would write these for the ‘common folk’.

WHAT THE HELL DOES WEIGHTED MEAN?

‘weighted’ (actually ‘weighed’) data shows what the support numbers mean as a percentage of the electorate. For instance, in part 3 of the series, I’ll be discussing how Obama is tanking in all the major religious demographics. But in the March through May primaries, Obama has a huge lead in the “something else” (non-Judeo/Christian religion) category (BHO 67.0%, HRC 32.5%). But the “something else” category comprised only 7.7% of the Democratic primary electorate…so that huge lead represents only 2.4% of voters.

Looking at “unweighed” percentages can give a false picture of what is happening in the overall electorate — which is why its necessary to consider not just how candidates do within a demographic category, but what those results mean in terms of the overall electorate.

As to writing stuff for “common folk” — the problem isn’t that I’m a “brilliant analyst” (I’m not — anyone can do what I did, its just that it takes a lot of time to get all the data together, and put it into a spreadsheet format). The big problem is that I suck as a writer.

The other problem is that unless I’m absolutely precise in what I write, it leaves a huge opening for anyone who doesn’t want to believe what the data shows — so when describing the data, I can’t discuss it terms of its meaning, I can only describe it in terms of the numbers themselves.

(of course, being precise and intellectually honest doesn’t prevent criticism — I get accused of ‘cherry picking’ the data, when I’m using all the data that is available, and there is enormous diversity in both the “February” and “March-May” primary states).

It is hilarious except it would be a DISASTER were he POTUS.

2008 is the third presidential election in a row that is being stolen. This is a friggin banana republic.

This young AA woman has the most incredible video on You Tube–it’s called the Strategy of Desperation and it is aimed at Obama supporters.

Please rate it up. Only 331 views as of now.

It is very well done and very clear,