POLLS: Obama’s Obvious Weakness on National Security Takes Its Toll
By Un coup de des on June 25, 2008 at 6:28 PM in Barack Obama, Electability, Electoral College, John McCain, Missouri, National Defense, National Security
The boost in the wake of the primaries about which Obama supporters have been gloating has evaporated. According to Gallup’s three day tracking poll, Obama and McCain are now tied at 45%.
Obama also trails McCain in the important state Missouri by a margin of seven points in a poll Survey USA released today. McCain has already consolidated the support of a slim majority, or 50%, of Missourians, while Obama underperforms at 43%. Consider Missouri a red state in 2008 now that superdelegates selected Obama as the Democratic nominee.
Perhaps PUMA, Just Say No Deal and I Own My Vote are finally affecting polling data.
[youtube]http://youtube.com/watch?v=i9dVfylr5bg[/youtube]
Another explanation is Obama’s obvious weaknesses on issues of national security. According to another poll Gallup released today, Obama trails McCain by a staggering 25 points on this important aspect of the Presidency.

And while Obama has attempted to neutralize these concerns in his recent advertisement entitled “Country I Love,” he exacerbated this problem by taking credit for extending health care benefits for veterans when he in fact did not even vote on the bill he cites in the commercial. This, I believe, will not resonate well with voters who are preoccupied with national security, and I imagine it will have electoral effects.
Continue to support PUMA, Just Say No Deal and I Own My Vote, for our votes will decide the outcome of the election in November.









































The GOP 527’s have it easy this year! So many exaggerations and lies, so little time.
Where are they? I haven’t seen or heard from one yet?
waiting for him to seal the nomination … they don’t want to take a chance that Hillary could make a come back
You definitely won’t hear from them till after August.
Whatever happend to BO’s 15 point lead as reported by Newsweek. This is the kind of BS you don’t find at http://www.obama-wire.com
The Newsweek Poll was skewed to favor Obama.
They only polled 23% Republicans, and raised the number of Dems and African Americans to pump his “winning” numbers.
NEVER trust a poll from Newsweek or MSNBC.
Apparently, the Bloomberg poll yesterday had the same flaw.
The GOP doesn’t need 527-s this year McCain can be the most gallant candidate of the history of presidential campaings.
Don’t bet on it.
I have a house 1 mile from the MO line in AR.
I was astounded that he won the primary. he will not win MO in the fall. I would bet my next paycheck on it.
I was also stunned. But I knew Claire McCaskill and the corrupt St. Louis County machine was stuffing the ballots for Obama when they had not reported at 11pm. Notice he won by a mere 10,000, and those votes were from inner city St. Louis and St. Louis County.
I hope Claire is given her walking papers when she comes up for reelection. I’m also hoping Blanche Lincoln has an opponent I can vote for.
PUMA’s should run against unopposed candidates that need to be unseated (kind of like delegates?) and PUMA can help build them up! I think PUMA is going to be huge! Move on? Move over!
Also notice how Gallup downplays anything that’s positive for McCain. His lead is insignificant, it’s unclear how it will help McCain, the Gallup pollster’s must be besides themselves trying to spin this as a positive for Obama.
When well the 527’s finally come out against Obama??? And where were they when Hillary was running against BO??? And are we sure they well ever come out agianst BO???
The won’t come out until they have to. Most likely, after both conventions in Sept/Oct. Why waste their money now? Polls are a tad meaningless right now, until the VP’s are chosen or a candidate makes a huge gaffe.
After the convention IMO – they probably don’t want to take a chance on the democrats having time to nominate a stronger candidate. They are probably jumping for joy with the chance to run against Obama.
they are ecstatic, they have made that known for quite some time. they are not going to risk anything until he formally takes the nomination from the convention.
They probably still can’t believe they are this lucky.
Why would they have come out for Hillary? They wanted Obama.
gabriel the repubs have always wanted obama and they aren’t going to blow it now before he is the nominee. Bur when it happens, because we know the stupid SD wont get balls ad vote for the real winner of the will of the people, I am going to sit back with popcorn and enjoy the HELL out of the show.
Does this poll include all the dead Cook County voters?
Ha.. Just the ones on the left side of the cemetery.
Well, my grandparents will probably turn over in their graves if their votes are cast for that crook. My grandpa was a precinct captain on the north side, and he hated corrupt politicians. He had to have a body guard, because of the threats against him.
That is a very funny line.
Are you kidding? They are the reason “Absentee” voting was created.
And just think, on Nov. 4th there won’t be any stinkin’ caucases to deal with…no busloads of intimidating obamathugs bussed in from Chicago…
There won’t be any caucuses, but I wouldn’t put it past them to send out the thug squads to try to intimidate voters.
The 527’s don’t have to come out against Obama…They simply need to tell thetruth. I don’t believe it, but I think we will get an honest campaign from the Republicans. However, Obama’s 527’s willprioabably smear John McCain.
It is going to be an interesting election…get the popcorn ready
They won’t need to smear him, they will need to tell the truth about him, and his business and lobbyist dealings, that’s all.
Both candidates are inferior, I dont know what’s worse, republican kool aide, or democratic kool aide, and yes, the republican trolls appear to drink it, too.
rope-a-dope
I’d like to see them try to smear McCain as racist since they adopted a girl from Bangladesh.
With $4.00 gas how many small donors are going to keep giving. There is something wrong with Obama money he collected.
A lot of his “small donors” may actually be foreign contributors, giving $ in violation of the law. Others have blogged on this issue — basically, there is no way of knowing whether he is taking money from Libya or countries in Africa and the Middle East, or Europe for that matter. There are a lot of outside parties willing to finance him.
Needs to be an FEC investigateion it will be easy to tell where the donations came from.
There is already a movement afoot to look into these possible shenanigans:
http://blog.sunlightfoundation.com/2008/06/25/groups-demand-more-transparency-in-fundraising-from-mccain-and-obama/
Plenty of “Students” and “unemployed” gave the limit in one shot.
I wonder what Daddy Warbucks gave them the money to donate.
Suck it, LA Times and Newsweek.
Also, Obama astrotrolls, Shaq asked me to question you about how McCain’s rear end tastes (for those who don’t know, Shaq just dissed Kobe in a freestyle rap with the chorus being: “Kobe, tell me how my ass tastes”).
I know, SoCalAnnie, I know: Your son went into a coma when he heard this latest O’Neal salvo. I am sorry about that but can assure you it will have no affect whatsoever on what I choose to write here. That is, about the same effect your attempts to play editor with me will.
I will write what I want to write. And as long as that doesn’t run afoul of the No Quarter guidelines, I won’t be changing it for you or anyone else.
Me, too.
Wish we had more of the truth about both candidates, though.
Amen, Peter.
Newsweek just wrote up a good piece on Odinga and his cuz.
Where was that piece during the primaries?
F_ck unity. This is war.
A war we did not start but one which we will fight rather than be run over during.
I missed the Missouri part. Wow. It looks like the electoral vote landslide some have predicted for McCain could be in the works after all.
Looks like if the Dem coupists decide to back Mr. Illegitimate we could be looking at a Johnny Mac destruction of BaJoke Ofraudma in November.
And further destruction of the US, given McCain’s statements and connections.
You’re celebrating this?
Don’t even dream of trying to mess around with me. I can and will carve you up into rhetorical pieces. It’ll be like Hussein’s knife to a gunfight scenario and you’re stuck with the shiv while I have the 44.
The Manchurian Candidate named Barack Hussein Obama will destroy our country if he is elected. That is a certainty, like the sun rising in the east or Jeremiah Wright hatin’ on white folks.
The man who embraces and is embraced by terrorists is ready to throw open the doors to our nation’s borders for his fellow travelers to come on in and destroy from without while he destroys from within.
Michelle hates America. So does Wright, and Ayers. Dorhn despises this land. Farrakhan dreams of segregation.
Barack loves and is loved by these people. He married one of the most ungrateful yet privileged women this country has likely ever produced. That is not an accident.
Sorry, “Che” is not going to destroy my country, our great Republic.
John McCain did 5 years in Hanoi so you could bow down to a crack-smoking joke who plays the race card. He earned my respect, while you and your golden calf have earned nothing.
NoBama. Not now, not ever. This is not Red China and we don’t want any.
BRAVO!
MO has been in McCains column for a few months right after Rev. Wright. Hillary was ahead of McCain.
Hi dead-enders!!
Way to cherry-pick polls!
BTW–you’re welcome for us paying off your deadbeat ex-candidate’s campaign debt.
I know you meant to thank us.
And in return, thank you folks for all the laughs. This site is hilarious!!!
He’s highly impressed.
LOL
Troll is a stinking MORON, this is why republicans can’t win, ever.
This is why republicans can’t win??? Where ya been for the past 40 years kids? Oh yea, in utero.
Note re: history: Bill Clinton was the only 2 term Dem president in 40 years. If you can read, check a history book.
Maroons.
And I’m glad you are loving the oh-so-reliable Newsweek and LA Times polls. LOL! Yea, they have been so accurate all along. This is going to be fun.
Well, with the billions of dollars Obama’s friends stole from the Iraqi government, I’m sure he was plenty of money to go around.
“dead enders” is soooooooo last week! You need to pick up new stuff over at the mothership. And don’t forget to take out the garbage. Your parents are sick of supporting you.
I guess you didn’t get the part where Hillary is turning over her Rich Donors tomorrow all writing him a check for $2300 and willing to bundle millions more for him.
By the way, PUMA is paying our debt, she was working for US.
So, F*ck Off. Or meet up with you buddy BO, and he will do it for you.
FYI: Hillary’s many of Hillary’s big donors are refusing to bundle for the Prince. They are giving the $2,300 as a courtesy to Hillary, because she asked them, but stonewalling on the big money.
My sister lives in Boston, and she is called regularly by the BO campaign. They harass and harass, “JOIN OBAMA FOR AMERICA!” She debated and informed them the first few times, now she just cuts them short and says, “I’m voting McCain.” That gets rid of them quickly.
Sorry about the Hillary repetition. I guess I just like writing her name…miss her
ditto gf :-[
Where’s your Messiah’s birth certificate, the original one?
You’re welcome, “Eric” dear. Maybe you can answer this:
Q. If Larry Sinclair gave Sen. Numbnutz a BJ in the back seat of the limo, does that make Barack a c*cksuckEE, as opposed to c*cksuckER?
Just asking, since you seem to have all the inside information.
I think this is my favorite.
Yea, our “deadbeat” who won MORE VOTES THAN ANY CANDIDATE IN EITHER PARTY IN PRIMARY HISTORY!
You little p*ss ants’ lives can’t hold a candle to her accomplishments. But she doesn’t care anyway, so spend your life making inane comments–it’s your waste.
Hi brain dead punk and you haven’t paid off shit, so I don’t know what your bragging about, oh thats right arrogance comes from the “one” doesn’t it, how does it feel to be a sheep mentally?
Not baaaaaaaaaad.
When did Obama pay off Clinton’s debt? He asked her to introduce him to her top 300 fundraisers, and he asked some of his donors to help pay off her debt.
Gallup and SUSA are well-respected polls, too. You can cherry pick the toilet paper lint from my asshole.
Thank you all. These responses are more than I ever hoped for.
Please, keep ‘em coming.
The rhetorical skills of you dead-enders are breathtaking. And not a single baseless assumption!!
OK. I answered you again in a different way. Since you’re so impressed by rhetoric.
Everyone else in the Democratic party got paid off, and there are no members more valuable than Bill and Hillary Clinton. So, tell Barky cash or bank checks only… and really. Thank you!
Wow. And you’re really trying here, aren’t you.
Maybe one more try. A linear, coherent paragraph. Just one. You can do it!! Yes you can!!
Here’s some inspiration for you:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=knBNX_evIOo&NR=1
Barry should be leading by double digits. OMG snicker.
Lmao this made my day.
Remember when starlet Scarlett Johansson said she had an e-mail relationship with Obama, which raised eyebrows and brought criticism? He denies it and in a rather rude way:
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/06/24/obamas_emails_with_scarlett_jo.html
Now I can see some B-list actress making up a story for publicity, but Johansson is about the hottest actress in Hollywood (both physically and star-wise). So I take Obama’s explanation with a grain of — make that a pillar of salt. And that’s a Lot of salt.
(Hey, at least I didn’t steal the National Review line about him having denied he had a textual relationship with her.)
Maybe this is just an indicator of the extent to which Scarlet was brainwashed. Having delusions of a relationship with your messiah/idol sounds about right for the Barcky cult.
Well at least the two Rev’s will have somethin’ pretty to look at while they’re stuck unner dat bus.
Oh, snap — and Michelle thought she only had to worry about ‘bama girl and Larry Sinclair.
Hey, Scarlett: If what Larry Sinclair said about Stick Man’s hardware is correct I think the email fling is about as far as you’ll want to take things.
Paul,
Are you saying that Sen. Numbnutz came up [gasp!] “short” in this would-be relationship?
Are you saying that when Woodward & Bernstein write all this up in ‘09, one of the main players will be a shady character named “Shallow Throat?”
What’s wrong with a 47 year old man emailing, at all hours, a 23 young woman… … … … ..?
Those double digit polls are bogus. Remember the “leads” Obama presumably had in Ohio and Texas and Pennsylvania. I remember Chris Matthews reporting there was a 35,000 people rally on Independence Square and over 5,000 people waiting for Obama at one of the suburban train stops. If the people were there, they were out of staters. We all saw how the vote went.
The polls showing huge leads are skewed by over representing Dem respondents. The Gallup polls don’t show anything like that. If anything the race is neck to neck with no appreciable “bounce” for the BO campaign. It’s going to be a long, hot summer.
Obama’s people are trying to control the message and will continue to do that–faux support, bogus numbers and hysteria. The illusion is one that says the “race is over, long live the King!” And Hillary supporters? Well, we’re not suppose to count for anything.
This man “has” to be defeated!
Wake up America.
WAKE UP AMERICA!!
Yep! I agree!
Friday could be a big day for all the Hillary supporters to show that they are united, not just a bunch of poor losers. Obama wants change well show him change. He will be shocked how united the Hillary supporters really are. Now the problem, how to go about doing it. You don’t just want to hear that a few people showed up in Unity NH and made a little fuss. What good will that do.
Hillary is doing and saying all the right things that a good party person does so now her real supporters have to stand up and be here real voice. How important is it to have her 18 million supporters have a voice than win in November. McCain would love to see the dems continue to fight among themselves but he’s not setting the world on fire either. Look at the polls, he’s just hanging in there. So there is time to clean this mess up. So if your tired of being told to get over it, well speak up now when you have a chance. A perfect place to start the mission, Unity NH, what a shock that would be.
Also, McCain is looking over his shoulder watching the Ron Paul insurgents. They refuse to go away.
Are you kidding. With Bush hung like an albatross around McCain’s neck (do albatrosses hang?) he should be 25 points ahead. When Bush started out–granted Gore was no barn burner–but after Clinton’s relatively successful presidency, you wouldn’t expect Bush to be 25 points ahead of his chosen successor–but he was–he spent the next six months frittering away his lead. Obama hasn’t even started the frittering process.
frittering process? LOL obama should be at least 20 points ahead, this was suppose to be the year of the Democrat, but of course with all the corruption and the fact that people KNOW McCain is no bush, McCain will be the 44th President of the U.S. if the supers start giving a crap about the will of the poeple and nominate the rightful winner of the primaries.
The notion that the party is united is a joke.
It’s a new party, minus 25% of traditional Dems.
Have fun.
Clinton/Dodd08 (Nobama allowed)
Hillary in August. Nothing less.
DODD? I don’t think so! He endorsed Obamarrhoid! NO FREAKIN’ WAY would he get VP. WES CLARK! He would be PERFECT as Hill’s VP.
Dodd had me at FISA.
That’s when “I” switched MY support to him also, but then he lost my support FOREVER when he stabbed HILLARY in the back and endorsed the asshole. I also like Dodd’s stance on decriminalizing Marijuana, but that was then, this is now. He’s a freakin’ JERK as far as I’m concerned. A BACKSTABBING, DC ELITE JERK.
We’re a Christian nation. I’ll forgive Dodd this one time.
Hate the sin not the sinner.
Didn’t Dodd get one of those sweetheart loan deals, too?
I second Clinton / Clark 08
I don’t like Dodd.
I will take any Democrat that shows some guts on the Senate floor.
The acts on the Senate floor are noting but a dog and pony show put on for the peon masses. It’s all an act…..every freakin’ bit of it.
Most time we don’t get even that. But, I’m going to decide to believe this time that the US Constitution has to mean something to at least one member of the Upper House.
DODD?!! Are you friggin’ crazy? Not the same Dodd who was yelling for Hillary to get out from February on?!
The real issue is not how well Obama or McCain might do in the closely divided battleground states, but that we shouldn’t have battleground states and spectator states in the first place. Every vote in every state should be politically relevant in a presidential election. And, every vote should be equal. We should have a national popular vote for President in which the White House goes to the candidate who gets the most popular votes in all 50 states.
The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral vote — that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
Because of state-by-state enacted rules for winner-take-all awarding of electoral votes, recent candidates with limited funds have concentrated their attention on a handful of closely divided “battleground” states. Two-thirds of the visits and money were focused in just six states; 88% on 9 states, and 99% of the money went to just 16 states. Two-thirds of the states and people are merely spectators to the presidential election.
Another shortcoming of the current system is that a candidate can win the Presidency without winning the most popular votes nationwide.
The National Popular Vote bill has been approved by 19 legislative chambers (one house in Colorado, Arkansas, Maine, North Carolina, and Washington, and two houses in Maryland, Illinois, Hawaii, California, Rhode Island, and Vermont). It has been enacted into law in Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These states have 50 (19%) of the 270 electoral votes needed to bring this legislation into effect.
See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com
Wouldn’t it simply be easier (and Constitutional) to have states implement proportional representation in the distribution of state electors? Instead of the first-past-the-post system that it is now (exceptions are ME and NE).
FactCheck mentions that several of his ideas were used in this bill.
Funny how he supports those ideas so much he decides to not bother voting for it.
Obama says he passed it. He did not. He did not even vote for it. And the date he cites in his commercial is the day Bush signed it into law. It is a misrepresentation, and he should pull the ad.
That may be so, but still it shows how disingenuous he really is.
I believe in my ideas so much, I won’t vote for them.
Hardly inspires confidence.
National vote is great but to late for this season. The Dems must also change their primary system too. I can’t believe after 2000 and 2004 they would let this happen to them again. But there is still time to correct the results, the convention is still in a few weeks.
I concur. It ain’t over yet.
The real question is not can we force the roll call and allow Hillary’s growing momentum at the end of the primary season be fully counted but can we afford not to try.
Don
Was he named as a co-sponsor? Because if he wasn’t, that’s bullroar.
No, he was not.
I really don’t believe any of the polls. If you look at the poll predictions they have been a joke. Unless something odd happens, I reall believe that BO is going down in flames in Nov and I hope he takes Nancy, Harry, and Howard with him. Maybe we might get our party back.
HRC 2012
“Obama On FISA: Security Trumps Suing Phone Companies.”
OMG.
Guess who’s going to have party unity this year? It’s a huge club that starts with an “R.” They’re going to party, all right.
Ha ha ha. I’m predicting a 40 state sweep like in 1972, 1980, 1984 and 1988.
2008 – Obama wins, 2012…. – canceled
now playing on Sci-Fi Channel
Uhhh, mmm, like I’ve been saying for a couple of weeks now… ummm, uhhh… where’s the bounce?
Oh, I see! It’s going the opposite way now!!!
Yea, Baracula is going down, down, down!
Wonder if fake Prez Seals, flip-flopping, and bald-face lying has anything to do with it?
Or do people just not like his a$$???
Hillary or McCain ‘08!!!
It’s Hillary.
And, if you get a chance, listen to Chris Dodd speech last night on the floor of the Senate. It’s a little long, but, it makes you remember what a politician is suppose to think and say and feel.
Yea Dee!! Good to see you’re still out there fightin’ the good fight! One of the best Hillary supporters around!
What most Obama supporters don’t see either is that in November, it’s electoral votes that count. And to make matters worse, places like electoral-vote.com count states toward Obama even if he is leading by 1% according to some weird average. I can tell you that he is behind in the electoral vote. Most are toss-ups.
On top of this, Hillary would have had Missouri, Arkansas, Nevada and West Virginia for sure. She could have put Kentucky and Tennessee in play as well. Florida was definitely in play, but isn’t any more. Anyone that think Obama can win Florida is living in a dream world.
The signs are there for a landslide win for McCain. OR & CO are looking like they will turn red. PA & OH are now identical in the polls and McCain is making headway. That leaves GA, VA & NC for Obama to try and create something. There is no history of these going blue in recent times. They are in a dead heat, but there is no indication that Obama can realistically take any of these.
If you look at trends, Obama is not looking good. If you’re an Obama supporter, take comfort in the current numbers in those toss up states while you can.
And to think….the electoral maps were showing HILLARY kickin’ McCain’s ass in the GE and BO was losing HUGE to McCain. That was COMPLETELY IGNORED by the DNC and the DC elites. Hillary could win this election EASILY in November.
I’m just hoping that BO’s poll numbers have TANKED by August. The Super Delegates just may chicken out on voting for the loser candidate and vote for Hill.
However, I do expect the polling companies to prop up BO’s poll number until AFTER the convention.
but…but…he’s wayyyy ahead in the polls, at least by double digits right? Yea, right. It’s going to be a long summer for Barry.
Obama will not last past the FISA vote.
He only planned for winning the primary by savaging the Clinton legacy. Some Democrat. He doesn’t have a plan for the GE. He assumed Bush fatigue would allow him to coast into the Oval Office.
Yes he’s way ahead in polls conducted by news organizations that have all but endorsed him.
They’ve written Op-Eds in his favor and run him on the cover as the nominee long before the end of the primaries. They ran headlines and stories for weeks asking why Hillary wouldn’t drop out.
Now the media is totally unbiased and telling the truth. So they’re no longer corporate owned and operated. Oh wait, they are. But that’s okay. As long as they support Obama.
Where’s Zogby? I’ve received several Zogby polls over the last few weeks. There has been no mention of the outcomes in the media.
Funny that. When the Zogby polls were trending for Obama during the primaries they put them out on a regular basis. They were wrong on several state outcomes but they were published.
The Gallup and Rasmussen daily and weekly tracking polls are the most accurate, and unlike polls sponsored by news organizations like the LA Times and Newsweek, they don’t have an agenda to promote. I think that Obama has a lead right now, but it’s a pretty narrow one, somewhere around 3-4 points nationally.
Also, when you consider that there are probably a lot of consarvative and moderate white Dmocrats out there who are telling the pollsters that they prefer Obama but who will really vote for McCain when the curtain to the voting booth closes, this race could very well be dead even right now.
But what McCain needs to do is get voters to pay attention to Obama’s specific economic proposals. They are truly frightening. The word “socialistic” is a very accurate description. They would stifle economic growth big-time.
There is nothing wrong with “socialism”. The scary part is that Pelosi and Reid would have to implement any Obama policy.
That’s the scary part.
I should have added that if Obama was the big, bad, scary socialist, he wouldn’t be kowtowing to Wall Street nor would he be pushing a Republican Lite health care solution.
Obama isn’t a socialist. He’s a fraud.
He’s a corporatist fascist like the old nazis in WWII. “Nationalized socialism” for his corporate friends.
It doesn’t matter.
The Newsweek poll was bias for Obama.
Newsweek(a.k.a, the Washingtonpost and NBC)
want Obama to be the President.
Reality is, Obama is a weak GE candidate.
Gallup/Ras/SurveyUSA are far more accurate than NewsWEAK.
http://www.obama-wire.com/
You all need to give yourselves a mental shower.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com
Yeah – why worry about the empty hole where Obama’s character used to be when you can sit on your butts watching Obama’s Greatest Flip-Flops on Youtube, fantasizing about Saint Obama’s Glorious Capitulation on FISA, playing with your teeny weeny polls?
The sad thing is, if Obama wins, you’d still have nothing but an Eddie Haskell in the Oval Office.
The MSM keep citing the Newsweek poll — Obama ahead 15 points — it is maddening — When I watch TV, which is not too often anymore — I truly feel like I live in a parallel universe. They want him to win sooo badly and it is sooo obvious. As far as I am concerned, we have already lost our democracy and it is the fault of the media.
Nice job citing the handful of polls where McCain isn’t getting crushed, including state polls.
New polls from Quinnipiac University, The Washington Post and The Wall St. Journal.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/battleground-polls/index.html
Colorado (1351 LVs, June 17-24, MOE +/- 2.7%)
Obama 49
McCain 44
Michigan (1411 LVs, June 17-24, MOE +/- 2.6%)
Obama 48
McCain 42
Minnesota (1572 LVs, June 17-24, MOE +/- 2.5%)
Obama 54
McCain 37
Wisconsin (1537 LVs, June 17-24, MOE +/- 2.5%)
Obama 52
McCain 39
I’ll wait to hear you guys tell me how these polls are flawed because McCain is losing. Of course, we all know the WSJ is TOTALLY in the tank for Obama LOL
Here’s where Electoral-Vote.com projects the election, based on an average of all the state polls:
Obama 317 McCain 194 Ties 27
Here’s where RealClearPolitics projects things:
Barack Obama 317 John McCain 221
Yep, that McCain landslide sure looks likely! The fact that you can only cite ONE state poll where McCain is ahead in an unexpected state shows how sad his campaign has become.
RCP has Obama at 238, McCain at 163 and 137 toss up states. The “toss up states” include AK, TX, LA, GA, NC, VA, MS, FL, MI, OH, IN, NH, MO, CO, NM, NV and MT.
I’m gonna take a wild guess that in a few months those states will be as red as they’ve been for the past 40 years. Obama says he can win without FL and OH anyway, and MI voters don’t count.
Just want to add that you included, for example, NC where McCain leads 46.0 to 41.8 right now. In MO, the latest SUSA poll has McCain ahead by 7 pts. The latest Rasmussen poll has McCain ahead in FL by 8 pts. What I like about the RCP electoral map is you can update it according to the latest polls.