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Obama, Florida, Disenfranchisement and Quicksand

florida quicksand

If Obama’s fall in poll after poll is one we liken to an erosion, we are obliged to describe the following situation in Florida as Obama’s vain attempt to plug a patch of quicksand with bags of Rezko cash. I quote the St. Petersburg Times:

Barack Obama could be on the verge of falling out of contention in Florida.

Despite spending an estimated $8-million on campaign ads in America’s biggest battleground state and putting in place the largest Democratic campaign organization ever in Florida, Obama has lost ground over the summer. Florida has moved from a toss-up state to one that clearly leans toward John McCain, fueling speculation about how much longer the Democratic nominee will continue investing so heavily in the state.

Obama can still win Florida despite the polling gains McCain has made since naming Sarah Palin his running mate, and there is no sign Obama is pulling back in Florida yet. Far from it. Obama allies say he has about 350 paid staffers in the state and about 50 field offices, including in places not known as fertile ground for Democrats, such as Sun City Center, Lake City and Sebring.

But for all the attention to Florida from the Obama campaign, there’s little tangible evidence it’s paying off.

He is farther behind in the state than John Kerry was at this point in 2004, even though McCain began buying Florida TV ads only last week. By this time in 2004, the Bush-Cheney campaign had spent $13-million on Florida TV. In the rolling average of Florida polls compiled by the Web site RealClearPolitics.com, Obama has never taken the lead over McCain in Florida, and the latest average shows him behind by 5 percentage points. They were tied in early August.

Four Florida polls came out this week, with one showing a tied race, the others showing McCain leading by 5 to 8 percentage points.

rcpflorida

Florida, in other words, will not respond to Obama’s various entreaties. And for good reason, I might add. For it was Obama, his many surrogates and the corrupt and venal DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee who disenfranchised Florida Democrats during the Democratic primary. Deb Cupples, No Quarter’s resident expert on Florida politics, described the Obama campaign’s coordinated attempts to debar the full inclusion of Florida’s delegates in the Democratic convention as a “‘Unity’ Shuck and Jive,” a “shuck and jive” that will now have electoral effects.

Allow me to direct our attention to the following data gleaned from Insider Advantage’s poll of Florida voters earlier this week:

POLITICAL PARTY McCain Obama
Democrat 24% 67%
Republican 85% 11%
Independent 37% 43%

Rasmussen Reports offers similar data.

POLITICAL PARTY McCain Obama
Democrat 18% 79%
Republican 90% 9%
Independent 37% 54%

Obama did not desire unity in May, and Florida Democrats will reciprocate by denying him unity and a Florida victory in November. He can sink millions of dollars of cash from Rezko and other questionable sources in Florida all he wants; he can build 2,000 offices and airdrop 5,000,000 staffers into the state: Florida will simply absorb these resources, for Obama, his surrogates and the DNC agitated that state’s treacherous electoral quicksand. And those who step in quicksand will experience a downward slide.