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NBC: Chuck Todd Re the POTUS “Glimmers”

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President Obama’s lengthy remarks at Georgetown University were not to move the story but rather to frame the story. Confident but cautious. Hopeful but hesitant.

“There is no doubt that times are still tough. By no means are we out of the woods just yet.  But from where we stand, for the very first time, we are beginning to see glimmers of hope. “ 

initialclaimsrecessions.jpg

Chuck Todd correctly remarked before the speech that it may be too early to see “glimmers of hope.”   Way too early.

Calculated Risk observes that the dreary bottom of a recession is reached after the four week average of initial unemployment claims peak.  Still no peak in sight (left) as the number keeps climbing. Now at 657,250.   And once the trough is identified, there can be another twelve months of grim tidings before the markets turn up.  Also, employment recovery can be sluggish to the point of invisible.  And property values can be soft for six years after recovery.  The “glimmers of hope” speech may become an annual event.

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Comment by margaret | 2009-04-15 15:23:42

perhaps it is Obama’s ego that he sees glimmering

Comment by margaret | 2009-04-15 15:27:15

Or the shimmer of his narcissism

 
 

Comment by Diana L. C. | 2009-04-15 15:28:00

O’s the Messiah–Doesn’t His Word make it so?

(Don’t jump on me–I am just kidding. :-) )

 

Comment by felizarte | 2009-04-15 15:33:17

It is just meant to take away attention from the tea parties. No matter what he says people are going to spend some time talking about it lessening any time to talk about the others to keep them from snowballing.

 

Comment by Arabella Trefoil | 2009-04-15 15:40:31

I’m surprised that Obama didn’t see pennies from heaven for you and me!

 

Comment by Paul | 2009-04-15 17:12:25

Glimmering?? Don’t they know that BS is always shiny when it first comes out?? Sheesh!

 

Comment by arran | 2009-04-15 18:06:38

0’s continues that hopey, dopey crap from the campaign.

My state’s historic unemployment rate was 10.7 in February, the 4th highest in the country. We’re not casting off any glimmers of hope here.

0 may be having the time of his life, but we certainly aren’t.

 

Comment by Ellen D | 2009-04-15 18:34:46

Oh, the old light at the end of the tunnel – of an oncoming train.
BTW – this page is coming up strangely disjointed on my beta Firefox.

 

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