An Afghan Hail Mary
By Larry Johnson on May 12, 2009 at 11:25 AM in AfPak Border, Afghanistan, Current Affairs, Pakistan
(Bumped up from Monday night.)
So, what does Barack Obama do with the military commander running the show on the ground in Afghanistan who asks for 30,000 troops but is only provided 21,000 (courtesy of Barack of course)? You fire his ass and replace him with a hard charging officer with extensive experience in military special operations.
Stanley McChrystal was named today by Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates, as the Commander, International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) and Commander, U.S. Forces Afghanistan (USFOR-A). So what does this mean?
Stan McChrystal is an excellent tactical commander. He is not a desk jockey keen on sitting back at headquarters and politicking for a better job. But in terms of a strategic visionary, he’s not very good. He has no more clue about what to do in Afghanistan than McKiernan, the General he has replaced.
I heard some news report claiming McChrystal is an “expert in counter insurgency.” That is a load of horseshit. I had a conversation in Iraq (I was on the ground with the force commanded by McChrystal) and asked one of the troopers about the counter insurgency effort. During this period the level of attacks against American forces was spiraling ever higher. The troop looked at me and simply stated, “We don’t do counter insurgency, we do counter terrorism.”
And he was right. The forces under McChrystal’s command have NONE, ZERO experience with counter insurgency ops. That requires building links to local forces, employing local personnel in your operations, and supplementing military ops with civil affair ops. Counter terrorism is more raw–find the bad guys and kill them.
If we look to what happened in Iraq for guidance we will see that the worm turned when we really did focus on counter insurgency ops backed by money to pay tribal leaders to keep their teenage and young adult males gainfully employed in activities that did not entail building and planting roadside bombs.
I am sure General McChrystal will work hard. But he does not know Afghanistan and certainly has limited experience with counter insurgency ops. I am not sure that General David Petraeus, a West Point classmate of Mcchrystal, is thrilled with this. Will be interesting to watch.






















