Comments on: September 26, 2009: Month-to-Date Review of the Markets http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/ Sun, 27 May 2012 07:03:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.4 By: Larry Doyle http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1261360 Larry Doyle Fri, 02 Oct 2009 10:04:11 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1261360 Elaine, I actually wrote about this topic here at NQ on January 4th in writing: <a href="http://www.senseoncents.com/2009/01/wall-streets-next-big-trade/" rel="nofollow">"Wall Street's Next Big Trade"</a> Sorry I didn't see your question until today. Elaine,

I actually wrote about this topic here at NQ on January 4th in writing:

“Wall Street’s Next Big Trade”

Sorry I didn’t see your question until today.

]]> By: elaine http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1261223 elaine Thu, 01 Oct 2009 19:36:50 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1261223 Larry D, looks like very low payouts on CDs until 2012. I base this on a Bloomberg.com story "Major U.S. Banks' FDIC premiums May Top 10 Billion" by David Mildenberg Oct 1-09 Larry D, looks like very low payouts on CDs until 2012. I base this on a Bloomberg.com story “Major U.S. Banks’ FDIC premiums May Top 10 Billion” by David Mildenberg Oct 1-09

]]> By: elaine http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260941 elaine Wed, 30 Sep 2009 16:51:26 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260941 Larry, Thanks. I ran across an interesting FDIC story on an off the beaten path blog that was a real eye opener for me. Google: The FDIC Gums Up Housing Market+Lew Rockwell. Make sure to click onto the links inside the story to see how Soros, et al benefit again. There's even a link to the FDIC site, so I suspect the story is probably true. I must be very naive, as this story shocked me. FDIC is squeezing the banks to ante up for the depositor fund but they have money for this??? Larry, Thanks. I ran across an interesting FDIC story on an off the beaten path blog that was a real eye opener for me. Google: The FDIC Gums Up Housing Market+Lew Rockwell. Make sure to click onto the links inside the story to see how Soros, et al benefit again. There’s even a link to the FDIC site, so I suspect the story is probably true. I must be very naive, as this story shocked me. FDIC is squeezing the banks to ante up for the depositor fund but they have money for this???

]]> By: Chicago http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260856 Chicago Wed, 30 Sep 2009 12:18:05 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260856 nice article. not much to add or comment about. the markets are staring to lose steam going into triple witching in October. watch for any weakness, the market would use any excuse to go down during the October expirations. in addition to watching the dollar index, include the VIX to your list of must watch indexes. I've also read somewhere that the Fed is going to stop buying dollar debt from the open market (it's about freakin time) which is causing the dollar to gain some strength. if that is true, a dollar bounce in October would bring on a market correction. on a Technical analysis standpoint, a golden cross occurred on the dollar index a few weeks back. many traders view it as long term buy signal, but until I see any solid evidence that the bottom has been reached by the dollar, I'd be a short term trader for it. nice article. not much to add or comment about. the markets are staring to lose steam going into triple witching in October.

watch for any weakness, the market would use any excuse to go down during the October expirations.

in addition to watching the dollar index, include the VIX to your list of must watch indexes.

I’ve also read somewhere that the Fed is going to stop buying dollar debt from the open market (it’s about freakin time) which is causing the dollar to gain some strength. if that is true, a dollar bounce in October would bring on a market correction.

on a Technical analysis standpoint, a golden cross occurred on the dollar index a few weeks back. many traders view it as long term buy signal, but until I see any solid evidence that the bottom has been reached by the dollar, I’d be a short term trader for it.

]]> By: foxyladi14 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260328 foxyladi14 Mon, 28 Sep 2009 19:29:36 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260328 not good news for us. not good news for us.

]]> By: Larry Doyle http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260302 Larry Doyle Mon, 28 Sep 2009 17:35:11 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260302 The rates on CDs and Money Market funds are very closely tied to the Fed Funds rtae which is not likely to move higher for an 'extended period'. What is extended? Likely at least the middle of 2010 and potentially longer. I believe the next fed meeting will be in November. The rates on CDs and Money Market funds are very closely tied to the Fed Funds rtae which is not likely to move higher for an ‘extended period’. What is extended? Likely at least the middle of 2010 and potentially longer.

I believe the next fed meeting will be in November.

]]> By: elaine http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260298 elaine Mon, 28 Sep 2009 17:18:17 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260298 LD, how about earned interest on CDs & Money Markets? Higher or lower? When is the next FED meeting? Thanks LD, how about earned interest on CDs & Money Markets? Higher or lower? When is the next FED meeting? Thanks

]]> By: William L. Donlon http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260243 William L. Donlon Mon, 28 Sep 2009 14:15:09 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260243 I also find your reports informative. Three things. First: What you have seen so far is the "Overture" After the "Tech Bubble Bust" of the 90s, investors were shocked to find that when the filed their taxes, they owed on their "losses". The unemployed cashed in 401Ks and will end up owing Uncle Sam money they just don't have. That same thing is about to happen when we go to file in January on the 2009 income. People will be taxed if they cashed out with a "profit" after loosing 50 - 60% of growth. It was a shocker in the 90s and will be an even bigger shock for the losses seen in January through April of this year. Second: The "Opera"! Credit Default is starting to take a toll and the Fed can't handle it. We are headed into the second slide of a classic 'Double Dip Recession". The DJIA will fall to 5200. And then "The Fat Lady Will Sing"! The Double Dip Recession will compound interest rates on existing debt, implode the Bond Market touching off double and triple digit hyper inflation and expose our "Third World Economy" for all to see. Growing Civil unrest and open revolt will follow. I also find your reports informative.

Three things.

First: What you have seen so far is the “Overture”

After the “Tech Bubble Bust” of the 90s, investors were shocked to find that when the filed their taxes, they owed on their “losses”.

The unemployed cashed in 401Ks and will end up owing Uncle Sam money they just don’t have.

That same thing is about to happen when we go to file in January on the 2009 income.

People will be taxed if they cashed out with a “profit” after loosing 50 – 60% of growth.

It was a shocker in the 90s and will be an even bigger shock for the losses seen in January through April of this year.

Second: The “Opera”!

Credit Default is starting to take a toll and the Fed can’t handle it.

We are headed into the second slide of a classic ‘Double Dip Recession”. The DJIA will fall to 5200.

And then “The Fat Lady Will Sing”!

The Double Dip Recession will compound interest rates on existing debt, implode the Bond Market touching off double and triple digit hyper inflation and expose our “Third World Economy” for all to see.

Growing Civil unrest and open revolt will follow.

]]> By: Larry Doyle http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260229 Larry Doyle Mon, 28 Sep 2009 11:19:53 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260229 Elaine, I think interest rates will likely stay low for government bonds but will inch higher for mortgage rates and other forms of borrowing. Elaine,

I think interest rates will likely stay low for government bonds but will inch higher for mortgage rates and other forms of borrowing.

]]> By: elaine http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260223 elaine Mon, 28 Sep 2009 05:55:39 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260223 Are you predicting a rise in interest rates? Are you predicting a rise in interest rates?

]]> By: an observer http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260189 an observer Mon, 28 Sep 2009 01:24:54 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260189 Larry, you are re-arraging the deck chairs on the Titanic. 12 trillion $ is unpayable. Reorganization is required. Larry, you are re-arraging the deck chairs on the Titanic. 12 trillion $ is unpayable. Reorganization is required.

]]> By: Gabi Lange http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260171 Gabi Lange Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:44:36 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260171 Larry, your posts are very much appreciated by us too. I'm ready to mail these off to a bunch of people. Very helpful. Thank you. Larry, your posts are very much appreciated by us too. I’m ready to mail these off to a bunch of people. Very helpful. Thank you.

]]> By: txchick57 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260170 txchick57 Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:41:33 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260170 I disagree with you. For perspective, I trade for a living and have for the past 13 years. I think this is going to be more like 2003 or 2007, where despite the fact that there is nothing but hot air holding the market up, it will be held up institutionally for bonus and performance reasons. After last year, a lot of ground needs to be made up still. I'm betting on a very profitable down move but not beginning until late in the year and accelerating in early '10. My opinion and worth what you paid for it. I disagree with you. For perspective, I trade for a living and have for the past 13 years.

I think this is going to be more like 2003 or 2007, where despite the fact that there is nothing but hot air holding the market up, it will be held up institutionally for bonus and performance reasons. After last year, a lot of ground needs to be made up still. I’m betting on a very profitable down move but not beginning until late in the year and accelerating in early ’10.

My opinion and worth what you paid for it.

]]> By: Larry Doyle http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260165 Larry Doyle Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:14:37 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260165 Tricia, My pleasure. I'm glad you feel it is informative. I think if nothing else comes out of this mess, people will hopefully be more informed about money and the economy. Tricia,

My pleasure. I’m glad you feel it is informative.

I think if nothing else comes out of this mess, people will hopefully be more informed about money and the economy.

]]> By: Tricia Spiegel http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/33639/september-26-2009-month-to-date-review-of-the-markets/#comment-1260159 Tricia Spiegel Sun, 27 Sep 2009 22:12:02 +0000 http://www.noquarterusa.net/blog/?p=33639#comment-1260159 I wish I had the background to more easily absorb your terrific and informative posts, Larry. But it's worth the struggle. I learn a lot. Thanks. I wish I had the background to more easily absorb your terrific and informative posts, Larry. But it’s worth the struggle. I learn a lot. Thanks.

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