Obama Finally Did One Right Thing
By Larry Johnson on December 3, 2009 at 3:11 PM in Current Affairs
I intended to comment sooner on Barack Obama’s decision to send more troops to Afghanistan but the travel back to the United States kept me busy. Here’s the bottom line–this is one decision that will fall in Obama’s favor with the passage of time. I am not surprised by the angst of so many surrender monkeys (mostly Democrats but some Republicans sprinkled in) who are convinced we are losing in Afghanistan and that all hope is lost. But the handwringers are dead wrong. This is very likely going to turn out okay and Barack Obama will deserve the credit.
Let me start my explanation of why this policy will probably pay dividends by using Joe Scarborough’s discussion on Wednesday morning as a springboard:
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Jane Mayer made a very important point–intelligence collected on the ground, in part by soldiers, is an essential ingredient in the success of Predator drone strikes.
Over the last eight months there has been a dramatic shift in the resources and strategy applied in Afghanistan, especially along the border with Pakistan. We now have a comprehensive, coordinated campaign to kill and capture Al Qaeda operatives and their enablers. This is not a huge number. We are talking about fewer than 200 people. The targeting is precise and the results are significant.
McChrystal’s vision, as laid out in the paper sent to the White House the first of August, emphasizes that he is not going to engage in full bore combat with the Taliban. He understands that a military victory in Afghanistan makes no sense–there is no well-defined enemy, no significant infrastructure to attack and no firmly established alliances other than tribal and ethnic loyalties. The increased number of troops will play an important role in training local Afghan forces and in securing the key population centers. The era of scattered fire bases and outposts is coming to an end. We also are correctly trying to negotiate with various tribal leaders and warlords that control specific areas throughout Afghanistan.
This strategy is likely to pay positive dividends as long as we don’t insist on trying to set up a “democracy” or to impose a puritanical anti-corruption campaign.
What is shocking is how long it took Obama to decide to do what he said he wanted to do back in March. Nothing has changed during that period except that Obama exposed himself as a weak, vacillating decisionmaker. If he had announced on Wednesday a dramatic change in policy then all of the deliberations over the last four months might have made sense. But the Wednesday speech at West Point simply re-emphasized the position he staked out last March.
I have a couple of bold predictions for you. Sometime in the next 16 months U.S. military/intelligence forces will succeed in finding and killing Bin Laden. Why? Because for the first time in eight years we are finally pursuing a coordinated strategy with significant intelligence assets. Bush and Rummy certainly did not do this.
Obama also was right to call out the failure of the Bush Administration to employ sufficient forces to deal with the threat in Afghanistan. Afghanistan was always treated by Bush as the “redheaded step child.” Rumsfeld is being too cute by half–claiming he never received such a request. When you make it clear to your subordinates that you do not even want to entertain a request for more troops in theater are you shocked that the subordinates never submit such a request? The deterioration we have seen in Afghanistan was a direct consequence of the Bush Administration’s failure to make it a priority. The proof is in the number of troops deployed or, rather, that were not deployed. Then you had the lack of a single chain of command. People like Dick Cheney, who helped create the mess in Afghanistan and diverted significant military and intelligence resources to Iraq, need to shut the fuck up. Talk about audacity.
Barack Obama does not know a thing about how to fix the economy, which will be his ultimate undoing. But on the Afghanistan front he finally got it right, inspite of his waffling and vacillation. Stan McChrystal will end up saving Obama’s bacon. That’s my prediction.






















