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The GM Payback Magic

If you want to make millions the easy way, this would seem the way to go:


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But if you want to make billions the easy way, I suggest you use GM’s easy payback magic:

First, get a government bailout.

From Forbes:

Uncle Sam gave GM $49.5 billion last summer in aid to finance its bankruptcy. (If it hadn’t, the company, which couldn’t raise this kind of money from private lenders, would have been forced into liquidation, its assets sold for scrap.) …

Because a loan of such a huge amount would have been politically controversial, the Obama administration handed GM only $6.7 billion as a pure loan. (It asked for only a 7% interest rate–a very sweet deal considering that GM bonds at that time were trading below junk level.) The vast bulk of the bailout money was transferred to GM through the purchase of 60.8% equity stake in the company

Then, pay back just the TARP loan (taxpayer money) minus the interest portion of the bailout using the escrowed TARP equity money (the part of the taxpayer money that made taxpayers shareholders in GM).

From TARP watchdog Neil Barofsky, Special Treasury Department Inspector General to oversee the Troubled Assets Relief Program:

“It’s good news in that they’re reducing their debt,” Barofsky said of the accelerated GM payments, “but they’re doing it by taking other available TARP money.”

“It sounds like it’s kind of like taking money out of one pocket and putting in the other,” said Carper [Sen. Tom Carper (D-DE)], who got a nod of agreement from Barofsky.

“The way that payment is going to be made is by drawing down on an equity facility of other TARP money.”

Now ask the federal government for another bigger loan but with a lower interest rate.

More from Forbes:

Sean McAlinden, chief economist at the Ann Arbor-based Center for Automotive Research, points out that the company has applied to the Department of Energy for $10 billion in low (5%) interest loan to retool its plants to meet the government’s tougher new CAFÉ (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) standards. However, giving GM more taxpayer money on top of the existing bailout would have been a political disaster for the Obama administration and a PR debacle for the company. Paying back the small bailout loan makes the new–and bigger–DOE loan much more feasible.

Finally, to make sure everyone knows how successful you’ve been at making money, you have to run an ad touting how you’ve paid back your loan in full and ahead of schedule. The GM’s ad can be seen here.

Now wasn’t that an amazing trick? A payback that wasn’t a payback at all, but more a loan trade-up. And all with the taxpayer’s money. But of course we didn’t get a bigger stake in GM from it. We didn’t even get a thank you.

And just in case you were wondering if we would see a payback of the rest of the $49.6 billion TARP investment anytime soon?

Forbes Again:

No. That goal has been pushed back, as it turns out.

In order to recover that investment, the government has to sell its equity. It plans to do that only when GM becomes a publicly traded company once again. GM was hoping to turn a profit by the end of 2010 and float an initial public offering this winter. However, GM Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell, when queried about that timeline a few days ago, demurred. The offering will be made, he said, “when the markets and the company are ready.”

The General Accountability Office, on the other hand, remains deeply pessimistic. It concluded in a December report (which a more recent April report has said nothing to contradict, despite media spin to the contrary) that: “The Treasury is unlikely to recover the entirety of its investment in Chrysler or GM, given that the companies’ values would have to grow substantially more than they have in the past.”

More from TARP watchdog Neil Barofsky.

“When do you think we’ll have really good news from GM?” Carper asked.

“I don’t have a crystal ball on that Senator,” Barofsky replied.

Don’t you just love these bailouts!

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  • Diana L. C.

    Linda A.,

    Thanks for summarizing this for us.  Not being a financial whiz, I was wondering about that ad when I saw it and marveled that they had done what they claimed they had done.  I should have known it was not really true.

    So, in answer to your question:  “Don’t you just love these bailouts!” I would have to say, “NO!”

  • HARP

    GM must have gone to the head of the line.

  • sybilll

    What a cunning plan.  I’ll just start paying my Visa with my Mastercard. 

  • Zombiehero

    What do you expect. You don’t think anyone in Government is going to let GM or Chrysler go belly up, not when Union jobs and more importantly Union political contributions are at stake! HA!

    This kind of behavior is the by product of Big Government.

  • Tricia

    Good Lord–I saw that ad this morning and I thought, “oh cool.”  Now the truth.  UGGGGGHHHHH.
    Thanks Linda for a great clarification.

  • Linda Anselmi

    Thanks Tricia.  That was my first reaction also — while wondering how they managed to sell that many cars in this economy.

    Got to love the truth in advertising also!

  • Linda Anselmi

    Zombiehero -

    I’d suggest it is the product of bad government!  Small government isn’t necessarily better government.  I can be just as badly skewed in their actions as big government.

    In our current situation we have big, bad government.  I think smaller would be better, but it is the bad that is killing our economy.

  • Linda Anselmi

    Thanks DLC

    Me neither!

  • beachnan

    Thanks Linda.  I saw that ad and thought the same thing as Tricia, “how wonderful”, all the time wondering on in the hell they managed to do it.  Now of course, as you pointed out, they didn’t.  I am so sick and tired of the lies and deceit.  These guys wouldn’t know the truth if it smacked them in the face.  What news agency is fact checking this whopper?  Crickets…?

  • Patience

    Thank you for giving us the rest of the story Linda. 

    BTW I wonder if GM is having any luck renegotiating the generous retirement benefits it offers its retirees?

  • Docelder

    The first new car I ever bought was a GM product. I will never buy another GM car as long as I live. I don’t care how they spin their corprate welfare. As far as I care, they can go broke.

  • Peggy Sue

    Well, I don’t know, Linda, but I suspect most Americans would love to have that little gizmo, the Magic Moneymaker.  Is that the same one the Fed uses, I wonder. 

    It just gets better and better, doesn’t it?

  • kenoshamarge

    I was surprised when I saw that ad. How was GM able to pay back so much money when they weren’t selling all that many cars?

    When you put two lying, conniving entities together, advertising and government you are bound to get this kind of obfuscation.

    Certainly there will be fools that believe this phony ad, they probably believed the “Sham Wom” guy too, but many will refuse to believe this crap.

    I think that “Government Motors” is tainted in the minds of the American People too much for many/most to be fooled. Or perhaps many/most of those watching who are without a job themselves will be outraged that the government rushed in to “protect” all those Union jobs.

    Many of us have seen, for generations, that the Government is a whole lot more concerned about “union” jobs than other jobs. But then other jobs don’t vote in blocks and donate millions to campaigns.

  • kenoshamarge

    I was surprised when I saw that ad. WTF? How was GM able to pay back so much money when they weren’t selling all that many cars? Where was the money coming from? 
     
    When you put two lying, conniving entities together, advertising and government you are bound to get this kind of obfuscation.  
     
    Certainly there will be fools that believe this phony ad, they probably believed the “Sham Wow” guy too, but many will refuse to believe this crap. Advertise “at” a certain segment of the population and you can ”sell” them anything! 
     
    I think that “Government Motors” is tainted in the minds of the American People too much for many/most to be fooled. Or perhaps many/most of those watching who are without a job themselves will be outraged that the government rushed in to “protect” all those Union jobs.  
     
    Many of us have seen, for generations, that the Government is a whole lot more concerned about “union” jobs than other jobs. But then other jobs don’t vote in blocks and donate millions to campaigns.

  • Ferd Berfle

    I’d go even further, Linda, and say that the US government can’t be characterized as good or bad but the individuals who make up the government certainly can. I work in the environmental area and I can tell you from experience that the end result desired is a good one and in many cases, absolutely esssential (see Hanford and Oak Ridge). However, it is the bureaucrats that make this task nearly impossible because they do not want to see their fiefdoms evaporate when the job is completed so they use every excuse in the book to ensure that there are jobs into perpetuity for them, their children, and their children’s children by throwing up roadblocks or by prolonged hand-wringing or hand-holding sessions. So what if the schedule slips to the right–they’ll just say they’re ensuring the “safety” of the public.

    This is the case whether the administration is Republican or Democrat, whether POTUS takes a hands-on or hands-off approach, and whether the political tendency is towards bigger or smaller government. It is the little cogs in the government machine that cause it to grind to a state of complete inertia and ultimately to a halt.

    When Reagan said that the problem IS government, he was incorrect and I think he understood that later. The problem is comprised of thousands upon thousands of mid-level tin-horn autocrats throwing their weight around.

  • Linda Anselmi

    Ferd Berfle – excellent points.  We, the people, just can’t point fingers at the government, we have to point them at ourselves as well. I’m not sure if asked very many of us, myself included, can say we have actually done anything to make government and society better.

    That fiefdom mind is prevalent and is strong if not stronger in charity/volunteer organizations so it can’t just be about maintaining an income flow.

  • Linda C

    Hey folks if we let GM go belly-up, it is we who will loose.  We own the company.
    Stop with the union bashing.  It will accomplish absolutely nothing.  The unions already re-negotiated their contracts.  Their “generous retirement” benefits were negotiated as part of their wages.   Why would you begrudge  senior citizens of a decent pension?  The pensioners are not living high on the hog.  They are not getting golden parachutes and they don’t own yachts.  It sounds as if some of you want every American citizen to live and retire in poverty.

    Union members don’t vote in blocks either.  How do you think we have 2 terms of Ronald Reagan and 2 terms of GWB?  So when the chair of GM does a slight of hand with accounting, immediately we discuss the perceived negative influence of the union workers?

    We have just lost 29 coal workers to a explosion in a mine owned by a company that had been known to be unsafe.  The coal industry has had a long history of having government in their back pocket.  People died as a result of not being unionized to provide for a collective voice for the workers not only in wages but also in safety.  The same effects for safety and a livable wage  can also be historically traced to steelworkers and automakers.
    http://www.thenation.com/blogs/thebeat/549998/there_s_no_question_that_union_mines_are_safer

    If for “generations” we have seen the government  been more concerned about “union jobs”, then why do we have less union members and jobs covered by union representation?

  • Linda Anselmi

    I don’t want GM to fail.  I want GM and our government to deal honestly with the American taxpayer.

  • Sassy

    Clearly the overall economy has been detrimental to companies, but sleight-of-hand management is a major contributor to our problems.
    We need a strong manufacturing base with job-producing suppliers, but GM’s ad is deceptive and a bad way to embark on a fresh start.

  • Sassy

    beachnan, most news print article do point out the government’s continued ownership of GM, but well below the “headlines”!

  • Ferd Berfle

     but GM’s ad is deceptive and a bad way to embark on a fresh start.
    ======================
    And that is the crux of the matter. So long as misfeasance is all gussied up as resposible corporate management, they will not have me as a customer.

  • BBF

    Saw the GM ad a few days ago on TV…and actually believed the ad.  First report I saw expalining..the “hows” of the payback was on FoxNews.  Was surprised… for about 3 minutes that GM would run such a deceptive ad.  Has the ad been pulled..or is it still running?

  • GM

    Linda,

    I am not sure what exactly you are complaining about? What was the alternative? To let GM get liquidated. That would have put millions upon millions more out of work and would have resulted in the loss of a major part of the industrial base of this country and further killed this economy.

    It is actually good news that GM is paying back its loan 5 years ahead of time. Do you disagree? As for a new $10 billion loan, as you suggest, nothing has been granted, so there is nothing to complain about. In addition, this kind of government help is nothing new and many other companies and industries do this. We also see this kind of stuff happening in countries all over the world, so to be competitive the U.S. does help out U.S. businesses all the time.

    As for the equity that the U.S. government owns, that is not a surprise. That was what was worked out in the bankrupcy plan. The whole idea of the reorganization was to decrease the amount of debt the company had, so it could not have been all debt. Nothing wrong with the U.S. government taking a big equity stake. That was smart. The Canadian government did it too. And the unions traded some of their pension liabilities for equity.

    See this article to add a little more to your fairly superficial post.

    http://online.barrons.com/article/SB126961735804067955.html

    Analysts put a $73 billion to $85 billion equity value on the company. So the 60% that GM owns could be worth as much at $44 billion to $51 billion. So at current valuations that says that out of the $42.8 billion the government put in as equity, there is a good chance they will make a lot of money, both from the loan and the equity. If GM does even better than what people are currently thinking, they the govt stands to make even more money. The government could easily make $10 billion on the equity position.

    So again what exactly are you complaining about? The government made the very smart move to save millions of jobs, keep an important part of the industrial base of this country intact and will likely eventually make a lot of money for doing it. Smart move by Obama and the adminstration. The alternative would have been a disaster.

  • Patience

    I could be wrong but why do I have the feeling some of this tremendous debt will be forgiven at some point?  The fact that GM’s borrowed so much more makes me question its wherewithal and prospects.  

    It’s well-known that overly-generous pension plans are albatrosses around the necks of large companies and governments (from local to federal).  This is a story that’s pervasive in news all across the country right now.  And because of what I’ve read, I stand by my remark about re-negotiating pension plans.  Entrepreneurs and small-business employees can’t come anywhere near parity to the kinds of benefits labor union employees generally enjoy.  Does anyone wonder why businesses want cheap illegal-alien labor?  Or why they’re farming-out blue and even white collar labor functions overseas? 

    I’ve never been anti-union before but their strength and political muscle have caused unintended consequences that are effecting our entire nation and backfiring on politicians who’ve received union campaign contribution largesse.  

  • Ferd Berfle

    I could be wrong but why do I have the feeling some of this tremendous debt will be forgiven at some point?  The fact that GM’s borrowed so much more makes me question its wherewithal and prospects.    
    =====================
    I have the same foreboding. GM was never a very smart company to begin with and hopping into bed with That One made my initial reaction to them both correct and indeed, solidified. I think at some point we will all pay for the shoddy administration, engineering, and workmanship that was rampant at GM. They should have been allowed to have a dignified demise.

  • GM

    There is no more debt. GM paid the debt down. What is left is the equity in the company. The govt owns the company. It will exit by selling its ownership in the future. There is no debt to forgive, so what you are suggesting makes no sense.

  • Patience

    Consider what the stock market has done in the last year and compare those gains to the ”return” taxpayers are getting for their $49B “investment” in GM: poor stewardship of public funds. 

  • GM

    Patience,

    I would say a pretty good return. A heck of a return. Not only is the govt going to make a significant return on their investment in terms of dollars, but add in the tax dollars they will get from saving a major company and industry, the millions of jobs they saved and the saving of a major part of the industrial base of this country.

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