Rube Goldberg Does Intelligence
By Larry Johnson on July 20, 2010 at 5:00 PM in Current Affairs
Bumped up . The WaPo series continues. Today’s installment: “National Security Inc..”
Kudos to the Washington Post for making the attempt to pull the curtains back on a monster that is one source of Government waste–the behemoth commonly referred to as the “intelligence community.” The story and details in Top Secret America, will certainly give Congress ample ammunition to get out the carving knife and start cutting excess spending. Let me first disclose that I do some contracting work for one of the companies listed in the Washington Post database (but most of my income is earned from work in the private sector).
Dana Priest and Bill Arkin appropriately nail the National Counter Terrorism Center (aka “NCTC”). It is a useless bureaucratic mess. During the course of my work supporting US military special operations training I have read the NCTC product. It is pathetic. The NCTC puts out a daily product filled with analysis that is shallow, unfocused and, oft-times, alarmist. Last week while working on an upcoming counter terrorism exercise the question of NCTC’s role came up. I said, “NCTC is a four letter acronym for irrelevant.” That snark sparked belly laughs among the assembled group.
NCTC was a reaction to 9-11. It’s creation was premised on the specious notion that the failure of the CIA’s Counter Terrorism Center (aka CTC) to share information could only be corrected by creating a new clearinghouse for information outside the control of the CIA. While NCTC in theory was to be the focus of counter terrorism analysis, it wound up as the red-headed stepchild of the intelligence community. Other agencies, like CIA and DIA, were asked to supply analysts. They did so, sending personnel who were not their top analysts. NCTC became a dumping ground for bad analysts. It also was staffed with very junior, inexperienced analysts. The problem with that is they were not being mentored by talented, skilled analysts. If you are taught to pitch by Nolan Ryan or Sandy Koufax you know you are being trained by an expert. If you are taught to pitch by Ronald McDonald then you wonder if you’ll know anything about baseball. NCTC’s senior staff, by and large, are the Ronald McDonald’s of the counter terrorism community.
What should have happened after 9-11 with respect to the failures of CTC is that folks should have been fired and those in charge of supervising CTC should have demanded the sharing of information. Let’s recall that CIA’s CTC did received information that two Al Qaeda operatives were in the United States. Even though the FBI had personnel assigned to work at CTC they were not allowed to share that information with FBI Headquarters. Within the intelligence world this is known as “rice bowl” politics. Each agency seeks to feather its nest at the expense of the other. Sharing is not rewarded or encouraged. Up to this point there has been no sanction or cost or punishment for not sharing. You want to start fixing the mess in the intelligence community? Then force the various collectors of intelligence and information to share. It is doable (hard, but doable).
Nobody wants to deal with the uncomfortable truth–terrorism is not the greatest threat we face. I am not saying that terrorism is not a threat. I am not saying that we should not try to trackdown and kill or capture terrorists. But I am saying that we have too many agencies and too many people chasing a relatively small target and that we are wasting valuable government resources and tax payer dollars. That’s an uncomfortable truth few politicians have the stomach to tackle.


















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