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Who will win the 2012 presidency? The definitive answer

* Bumped Up *

Editor’s Note: We welcome SeattleGonz’s first post at NoQuarterUSA.net. Tomorrow, look for her next post.

———————————

Palin will win. No, I mean Hillary will be the next president. Uh, no, Obama has it locked up. Well, I should say, Obama will win unless he’s running against Romney. Romney is the only gop’er who can beat Obama.

I’ve been reading comments and posts for months now that declare, with certainty, who the candidates will be, and the victor of the 2012 presidential election. Sometimes I wish I had such conviction and clarity, other times I know it’s my meditation practice that keeps me from such certainty. It reminds me of the changeability and impermanence of all things, including opinions.
\

What I do know, based on experience, is that Obama and the Obama press and pollsters are exceptional at creating a narrative and making it appear to come from us, the people at large. As a writer, it’s the Obama narrative that worries me the most. Stories can be powerful manipulators of emotion and ideology.

If you can bear to watch it, here is a video clip of MSNBC’s Domenic Montanaro declaring with emphasis that Palin can win the republican nomination. But, of course the general election, he kindly reminds us, is different from the primary. And, it’s in the general that Palin has a problem with independents and the general public. Here’s where I go, WTF? Sarah’s popularity is with the independents and general public; it’s certainly not with the traditional republican party.

I grind my teeth listening to so-called journalists using descriptors like “hypothetical” and “whopping” as in, “Obama has 48% of the hypothetical support to Palin’s whopping 40%.” Well, at least the bias is out in the open, sort of. Also, lines like, “When putting Obama against an actual candidate he wins against most and is tied with Mitch Romney.” Oh really? I’d like to know the names of those hypothetical candidates that he’s already losing to. The fictional polls and narrative building is well under way.

Researching some of the prognosticators, I came upon a few unusual sites. Here’s this bit from the Magazine of Improbable Research:

“Our 2003 algorithm for determining the winners of United States presidential elections correctly ascertained the winner of each of the 56 U.S. presidential elections between 1789 and 2000 and correctly predicted the winners of the 2004 and 2008 U.S. presidential elections. In this paper we apply the algorithm to 18 potential Republican candidates for the 2012 U.S. presidential election and find that seven have presidential electabilities greater than the Obama/Biden ticket will have in 2012: Michael D. Huckabee, Timothy J. Pawlenty, David H. Petraeus, Marshall C. Sanford, Haley R. Barbour, Sarah L. H. Palin, and Pyush Jindal. If the Republican Party nominates any of these candiates then they will win the 2012 U.S. Presidential election. An additional two potential Republican candidates (Ronald E. Paul and Paul D. Ryan Jr.) could have electabilities greater than the Obama/Biden ticket if they choose the appropriate vice predidential candidate. Barack H. Obama II and Joseph R. Biden Jr. will be re-elected in 2012 if the Republican party instead nominates a ticket with an electability of 35 or less.”

Wow, according to this particular polling algorithm there are seven candidates that can beat Obama. Interesting. I wonder what the polling results would be if Hillary Clinton was the democratic nominee. ( I know, I know, some of you want to scream, “She won’t run. She said so herself.” Maybe, I’ll write my next post on Hillary predictions since she inspires the strongest of statements about what she will and will not do, and whether or not she will or will not win.)

Since predictions at this point in the campaign (we haven’t really started, yet.) are nothing more than hopes, bets, predictions, I decided to check out the line on presidential candidates. It’s very interesting.

The text above the line reads this way:

“The obvious early favorite is Barack Obama at -140 odds. Mitt Romney is next with +1600 odds and Governor Sarah Palin along with Hillary Clinton are close behind with excellent odds at +2000. A couple of the long shorts at +10000 are Al Gore and the World Wide Web’s favorite candidate Congressman Ron Paul. Despite his age you might think Ron Paul is a good bet since he is a true Constitutionalist candidate and if there is ever a revolution in the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA he could be the strong favorite to win. All of this might be true, but there is a good chance no one would want to get paid in American Dollars! Never the less….take a look at the Presidential Betting Odds listed below, place your wagers and enjoy the exciting 2012 Presidential race!”

However, somewhere between the time that paragraph was written and posted the betting line changed. Both Hillary Clinton and Sarah Palin are now tied for second at +1000 and Obama has dropped from -140 to -130. Can you imagine the election horserace if the fight ends up being between Clinton and Palin? Wow, wow.

And then, for a laugh, I need to add the poll result from Alan Colmes blog page stating that only 28% (it doesn’t specify 28% of who or what) think that Palin could win the presidency. Maybe that’s because the remaining 72% think she will win the presidency. We just don’t know what the real meaning is of poll results like these.

So, I know you’re all dying to jump in and declare the winners for the 2012 election…or at least who you think will win. My wish is that people will watch and read the words actually said by candidates, not press-edited versions, and that no one will believe the pollsters and public opinion prognosticators because they proved in the dem primaries of 2008 that they, alone with the press, are biased and are nothing more, nothing less than great writers of fiction.

Check out the pdf, Why do election polls vary? (PDF) at AAPOR. It has been made available to AAPOR staff to help them explain why polls are faulty. You might as well read it beforehand because I promise leading up to 2012 there will be many erroneous polls, although any respectable pollster will try to correct the lie in the last days before voting so they don’t come off as complicit in some political lie.

  • donjo

    Whoever wins, I hope they’re neither republican nor democratic. 

  • JohnWSmart

    Predicting 2012 results is on hard. It is sort of pointless at this point however. Any number of GOP candidates can beat Obama in 2012. The reason is simple: the electoral college. A handful of states Obama won in 2008 will most likely go back to the GOP in ’12. They’ve already shown a willingness to vote GOP in a big way. I have a map up here
    http://johnwsmart.wordpress.com/2010/12/21/1958/

  • seattlegonz

    Wouldn’t that be sweet. I’m beginning to think that the republicans made a gamble that pushing Obama ahead of Hillary and getting Obama the presidency would be their ticket to recovering from Bush and winning the reapportionment battle.

    What we see of the dirty thing called politics really is only the tip of the iceberg.

  • tango

    Wow, cool.

    So what happens if Palin has as her VP running mate Paul Ryan or Pawlenty or Jindal?  Does that even increase her odds of winning even more?

  • tango

    Wow, cool.  
     
    So what happens if Palin has as her VP running mate Paul Ryan or Pawlenty or Jindal?  Does that even increase her odds of winning even more?  I love the idea of Paul Ryan as her VP of those listed.

    You can tell that algorithm is from 2008. I don’t think Mark Sanford or Haley Barbours chances are as good any longer.

  • Breeze

    -

    E.L.I.G.I.B.I.L.I.T.Y.

    -  Bobby Jindal’s parents were NOT citizens of the U.S. at the time of
       his birth.

    -  Barak Obama:  is Pelosi going to lie for him again?  All 50 States must
       approve.  One already has passed a law that they demand PROOF  of
       proper eligibility.  Other States are thinking of doing same.

    It is my understanding that if ONE states disapproves, the bid is null and void.

  • seattlegonz

    JohnW, do you think the map would look the same if Hillary is the dem candidate?

    With regard to your census observations isn’t the biggest conscension to the GOP that the southern states gain representatives and reapportionment, under their control, means they get to figure out how best to divide the state so that the democrat that moved from NY is included in a district withm more than enough long-time gopers to offset his/her vote?

  • TeakWoodKite

    Bravo SeattleGonz…great topic and a well written post.

    The house wins unless it’s Oceans11 again…

    Could Obama, U.S. Latinos, be at a disadvantage because of new census numbers?

    “Federal law requires that there not be discrimination against Latinos and other under-represented groups during the re-districting process,” Rosalind Gold of the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials told CNN. “So what that means is, no matter who draws the lines, they have to ensure that Latinos have an opportunity to elect their represented leaders.”

    I wish this country would stop using affirmitive action to elect its officials…
    I dunno who’s gonna be at 1600 after checkout time comes and goes, but who ever it is, I could give a darn what the “skin color” was just so long as they have leadership skills and don’t resemble a telepromter.

  • seattlegonz

    Well I think they developed the algorithm in 2008, but applied it more recently. It just may not be working in this new, post recession, post racial, post class, post wealth America that we live in.

    What do you like about Ryan?

  • seattlegonz

    Thanks Teak. A few typos here and there…but, it was my first go. Hopefully I’ll improve over time. (Not having a teleprompter to rely on actually helps one to develop skills.)

    I agree about the focus on skin color or racial affiliation in re-districting. I remember when Reagan used to talk about a colorless society. I agree with the idea, but I want a colorful society, just not one where we dividing on the basis of color.

  • yttik

    Congratulations on your article, SeattleGonz.

  • seattlegonz

    Thanks yttik.  :-D

  • margaret

    Great article, SeattleGonz.  Thanks for reminding us to question where our stories come from.  We can get indoctrinated just from hearing the same message over and over and over.  Eventually we may take it as truth.  The left and the right are terrified of Palin’s power and following, so I’ll ignore all partisan analysis of her.  Meaning, I will think for myself and make my own judgments.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    So, I know you’re all dying to jump in and declare the winners for the 2012 election
    =======================
    Anyone but Obama and those associated with him.  Truly, we need serious-minded people who aren’t being employed by the White House to further some god-forsaken agenda, people who under stand proces and flow and who also undestand that if something doesn’t work, you shitcan it.  There are any number of government agencies that could be summarily disbanded and no one would even notice a diference, except the bureaucrats that formerly populated them. The list goes on and on. The electorate needs to get down to business and demand more for less–less money and less red tape.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    So, I know you’re all dying to jump in and declare the winners for the 2012 election  
    =======================  
    Anyone but Obama and those associated with him.  Truly, we need serious-minded people who aren’t being employed by the White House to further some god-forsaken agenda, people who understand proces and flow and who also understand that if something doesn’t work, you shitcan it.  There are any number of government agencies that could be summarily disbanded and no one would even notice a diference, except the bureaucrats that formerly populated them. The list goes on and on. The electorate needs to get down to business and demand more for less–less money and less red tape.

  • seattlegonz

    Hey, Margaret,…don’t I know it. That was the lesson for me, of 2008, I can’t trust anyone to investigate or present the truth. I’m a Democrat and I went into 2008 not being sure if I wanted Hillary or not because of all the… All the what I don’t even know. It was verbatim lines from the media that I just repeated like I knew what I was talking about. And, boy was I inspired by Obama when he spoke at the 2004 convention. I sat down with a friend of mine to talk politics and when I started to talk about my concerns about Hillary she stopped me and said, “There’s nothing that you can say that will dissuade me from supporting her.”

    That got me to sit up straight. We talked about something else. But her conviction stuck with me and I wanted to know what she saw in Hillary…so I started to read and listern to Hillary in her own words. OMG. She’s brilliant. She’s perhaps the only feminist voice who has been consistent and vocal over her entire life. She’s funny, and personable. I slapped my head, and thought, holy crap this woman is better than Bill.

    From then on I compared the coverage of Hillary with what she actually said, and how she actually performed and it blew my mind. Since NH the press said she didn’t have a chance to win…and no one in the press recognizes that she actually won, or that it was those damn representatives that effed up the democratic primary. I wish the voters understood…reid would never  have won re-election.

  • seattlegonz

    Ferd — is Palin your best guess at a candidate that can do that? It’s so hard, they require so much money and infrastructure to pull the election off that they become beholden to all sorts. She would smile and make nice and then toss em out when in office, I think. : )

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    Yeah, Teak, affirmative action is neither. Either one is competent or one isn’t. No other irrelevant characteristics need be examined. Frankly, I like to surround myself with the best people and I don’t care about other attributes that might be associated with them.

  • TeakWoodKite

    The link I cited goes on to say that the “Latino” community will eventually numerically wipe out any advantage that rebuplican redistricting creates in the short term…

    Still Onofre’s point about the Uncertianty Principle can make for 2011 being one of those “be careful what you wish for” years..never mind 2012….
    ;)

    on the typos…

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    She has potential but I’m not jumping on any bandwagons, yet. I want specifics and not soundbites and repetetive phrases. We’ll see.

  • seattlegonz

    well, I’m an American Irish Gonzalez…I’m not sure how much that influences my outlook. I’ve definitely experienced discrimination…but, my guess is, so have we all. We’re just descriminated against for different reasons — too young, too old, to heavy, too illl, too female, too male…on and on. I just want to celebrate that we’re all unique and awesome.

  • seattlegonz

    I honestly don’t know what to make of the natural born citizenship issue. I do think it’s being used to make those opposed to Obama look crazed and it’s effective because all the media and congress just laugh and say of course he’s eligible.

    I can’t tell if they’re just afraid of what it means if it were to be determined that all the legislation, continuing  resolutions and everything signed by Obama was null and void. It wouldn’t be good for economic stability that’s for sure.

    Once Obama is out of office a bill should be introduced requiring all president-elects to make their proof of natural born citizenship available to the public as part of public disclosure.

  • Tricia

    Go Mike Bloomberg!

    (I know–he’s got some problems, but at least he is experienced and independent.)

    Welcome Seattle Gonz,  Great piece.

  • donjo

    Ryan want to privatize social security. 

  • Rabble Rouser Rev. Amy

    Great piece, Seattlegonz – and welcome aboard!  Great to have you (and I have always enjoyed your thoughtful comments).

  • Breeze

    -

    SG,

    I am quite serious here.

    All aspirants are supposed to prove their eligibility, don’t they? 

    Therefore,  if would-be Candidate X will supply all needed documents etc., 
    so will Candidate Obama. 

    The law applies to ALL, no?

  • donjo

    See what’s been running for president lately, I think they should reverse the rule and only allow NON U.S. Citizens to run.

  • Breeze

    -  
     
    THEY SHOULD BE CALLED  
     
    P.I.G.S.T.Y  

    Salon Publishes Call for  
    Torture, Murder of Sarah Palin
     
     
    Big Journalism,  
    by Kristinn Taylor &  
    Andrea Shea King     
     
    Original Article  
     
    12/21/2010  
     
    Liberal online political magazine Salon.com published a letter to the editor Friday that called for the murder of 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.  
     
    The letter was written in response to a mocking article at Salon titled, Good Morning America’s painfully friendly interview with Sarah Palin by Alex Pareene. Pareene snarkily sums up the GMA interview: “The interview was basically split into a couple of distinct sections: How awesome is your family, how bad is Barack …..

  • Breeze

    -

    Be sure to read the accompanying comments.

  • FrenchNail

    LOL!!! I’m in!!!! FrenchNail for President!!!

  • seattlegonz

    Hey, Breeze, I understand what you’re saying and know that it’s a serious issue. The hiccup is that primary elections are party business and aren’t governed in the same way by federal election regulation. In WA state for example, we had a caucus and a primary in 2008. Why? Because the state needed to have an election and ruled that they would time special election issues to be in accord with primary election calendars. Now Democrats, surprise, surprise, wanted to have a caucus because Obama had this army of caucus bullies going from state to state creating a narrative of his immense popularity. Neither the states or the feds get to influence that…it’s a party matter. (and the parties have to pay for it.)

    Here’s where we’re in new territory. Because no one has considered a situation when a person wins the party primary without being eligible. The assumption is that the party validates eligibility. So, the Dem party said he was legitimate, he won the nomination (they said) and, as of right now, I don’t think anything as personal as a birth certificate has been considered public domain.

    And, going even further, at this point if Obama were to be determined to be inelgible for the presidency…then every law, treaty, budget, everything he signed would be null and void and that would create chaos. I’m not sure I really want that to happen.

  • seattlegonz

    Well, once I found out I had to work to get on that list…  :)

  • IaDK3SLt

    LOL Yep, 2 years out, you don’t want to be the front runner.  They don’t win.  The underdog does.  Where was Barry in 2006?  He was far behind John Edwards and Hillary.

    Obama was the laughable candidate who has no experiece and just arrived i the Senate.  Then it became a surreal election, nothing on experience and qualifications.  It was the “black thing” or the “white thing”  as in “typical whie Grandmother” and ” you are racists”.

    This time around folks hopefully will choose experience and someone WHO WALKS THE TALK.

    Romeny as in MAOcare, stick finger in wind , all for special interests-like Democrats,is the Democrats dream.  Just like McCain was.  They freaked when he chose Sarah.

    I think Tammy Bruce’s little fun on Twitter said it well.

    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as Milli Vanilli is to the Beatles
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as the Coffee Party is to the Tea Party
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as cubic zirconia is to diamonds
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as Tina Fey is to Palin
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as polyester is to cashmere
    HeyTammyBruce Tomney is to Palin as Democrats are to Republicans
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as Quick Draw McGraw is to Seabiscuit
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as Yugo is to Mustang
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as Barney Fife is to Dirty Harry
    HeyTammyBruce Romney is to Palin as hmmm…Romney is to Palin
     

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  • TeakWoodKite

    I get the visual of the Obama Presidency and all those signed pieces of paper..(if it can call it that) being tossed out, like the sound and visual a mac makes when the trash is emptied….all gone….

    Hate to have the Mac sanitation worker come back and say it couldn’t do it because the “file” is in use”…which would suck. In that case I would want to flush ‘em like a toilet bowl.

  • donjo

    Seeing….

  • seattlegonz

    Teak, on my first mac which was a luggable…those early laptops that were really suitcase typewriters with little screens (sort of)… I had a little app that a guy wrote and whenever you emptied the trash the Oscar would come out of the trash and say, “I love trash.” It was cute. He had a caution with it, though. He said that his daughter loved it so much that she proceded to throw out every file on his computer one by one. “I love trash!”

  • greenlantern

    Breeze, my reaction to all this negative press for Palin is–are they f-ing trying to get her elected by acclamation, skipping the need for an election–the woman gains strength with every take-down. Have they not figured that out yet? Not to diminish the shame of it all. Now hit-pieces are becoming just that. 

  • makeji

    If Jindal was born in the United States, I don’t think it matters whether or not his parents were. He would be a natural born citizen.

  • greenlantern

    Great post, Seattlegonz! It is so important to be wise to the methodology of polls. I’m glad you included that primer. Polls can be tailored to any desired outcome. The zeitgheist is the thing that is so dificult to sus out but is the big clue to who will succeed. I think right now the prez race is shaping up like the 2008 one for the Dems, only this time, whoever wins the Repub nom will carry the day. Can’t wait for your post on Hillary as I have already read some interesting comments from you on her.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    You are absolutely correct makeji. Natural born citizen is English common law language and phraseology that was used at the time the Constitution was written and was understood to apply to place of birth (jus soli) and not through blood line (jus sanguinis), meaning that a child born within US boundaries or in any US territory, is granted citizenship as a natural BIRTHRIGHT, regardless of the citizenship of his parents at the time, unless they were in the US in some official capacity from their country, like diplomats. If anyone wants to argue the point further, let’s do it on the Tues. open thread, and not pollute Seattlegonz’s first thread (YAY) any more.

  • seattlegonz

    Hi, greenlantern…you helped me have the confidence to try my hand at article writing. I’d really like to do more on interpreting polls. I’m not a great numbers person but it’s just so telling the difference between what the articles say, and what the actual poll numbers are. And who really goes and reads the effing poll anyway. As far as I’m concerned polls are just campaign propoganda.

    Right now the polls are all portraying Obama as the comeback kid and rising in the polls. And, every article I’ve read talks about how obstructionist the GOP has been in the last few weeks. They have virtually no power in this lameduck congress so the fact that they’ve already been portrayed as having all the power and Obama and the democrats successfully brokering deals with the “majority” GOP is great fiction, but has nothing to do with reality.

    The GOP shouldn’t have fallen into the trap of negotiating anything with Obama. Let him propose a tax hike on the wealthy…let the next congress undo it. Let it be his undoing.

  • Docelder

    We need Newt. I like Palin, Christie, Rubio, Jindal etc. But Newt saved us from the last experiment with progressivism and he can do it again. Rather we saved ourselves last time with stern leadership from Newt and we can do it again. It is going to be a long hard road this time around.

  • TeakWoodKite

    Unique, perhaps; but awesome?

    “Obama had this army of caucus bullies going from state to state”.

    I agree that life is F’in awesome….it’s just some of the examples of it, I take issue with.

    I’m kidding with ya mostly. 

  • Docelder

    Regular people need to show their long form birth certificates all the time and routinely. Enrolling in school, little league, getting a first drivers license etc. I don’t see the problem with people wondering aloud why this isn’t a requirement to be POTUS… or why people have a problem with the wondering aloud part. It isn’t asking a lot. Nothing we don’t ask of sixteen year olds before we et them drive on the streets.

  • Docelder

    Regular people need to show their long form birth certificates all the time and routinely. Enrolling in school, little league, getting a first drivers license etc. I don’t see the problem with people wondering aloud why this isn’t a requirement to be POTUS… or why people have a problem with the wondering aloud part. It isn’t asking a lot. Nothing we don’t ask of sixteen year olds before we let them drive on the streets.

  • Docelder

    Ahh, but remember Clinton’s Social Security scam?

    http://www.dollarsandsense.org/archives/1999/0599clintonbox.html

  • seattlegonz

    I got you, I overstated it a bit. :-[

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Doc, it’s OK for Democrats to take our money and cheerfully tell us that “It’s for your own good”, but it’s not OK for Republicans to let us keep our money and maliciously sneer, “It’s for your own good”!

    Get with the program Doc, jeeze.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Newt would demolish Boy Barky in a debate on ANY subject! Unfortunately, the intensity of such an intellectually gifted man can intimidate and turn of the growing superficially educated rabble that were the bulk of Obama’s support. Newt is the stern, oncool Father figure in a culture that increasingly wants their flashy BFF at the helm.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Newt would demolish Boy Barky in a debate on ANY subject! Unfortunately, the intensity of such an intellectually gifted man can intimidate and turn off the growing superficially educated rabble that were the bulk of Obama’s support. Newt is the stern, oncool Father figure in a culture that increasingly wants their flashy BFF at the helm.

  • EllenD

    so that the democrat that moved from NY is included in a district withm more than enough long-time gopers to offset his/her vote?
    Good point Seattlegonz. I wondered myself if all the people who left California for economic reasons were taking blueness with them.
    I know that right now Austin might as well be attached to California.

    But isn’t it weird that with all the people who apparently left California plus the illegals who went home and lowered the numbers coming in, that California didn’t lose one seat.

  • EllenD

    And, going even further, at this point if Obama were to be determined to be inelgible for the presidency…then every law, treaty, budget, everything he signed would be null and void and that would create chaos. I’m not sure I really want that to happen.
    Yes, I have been thinking of that too. However, I have come to the conclusion that the truth would ultimately be of greater good for the country, if that were the case.

  • EllenD

    I remember that app.

  • seattlegonz

    Hey Ellen, did I see a wink and a nod at the end of that post?

    I sure as heck can’t imagine anyone moving to CA right now…at least not of their own free will.

  • EllenD

    let’s do it on the Tues. open thread, and not pollute Seattlegonz’s first thread (YAY) any more.
    Quite right OA. Cheers for Seattlegonz.

  • TeakWoodKite

    No you had it on the money….even the maker can’t keep her eyes open for ever…Cheers.

  • Justine

    Although I sometimes enjoy listening to Newt, something about him just turns me off.  I can’t explain it, but I just don’t like him.
    .

  • Justine

    Although I sometimes enjoy listening to Newt, something about him just turns me off.  I can’t explain it, but I just don’t like him.
    .

  • getfitnow

    One of the ignored stories by the msm is how deep and wide the GOP won. I’m talking about the govs/state houses.

  • getfitnow

    CA population is over 38 million.

  • getfitnow

    He does not want to “privatize” it.

  • getfitnow

    Ferd, you speak for me! :-D

  • getfitnow

    Speaking of Salon, has anyone read anything by Camille Paglia lately? Last I read, That One had disappointed her greatly.

  • getfitnow

    I certainly agree with Newt’s brain power. But his personal indiscretions will be his undoing, imo. I would like to see that debate !

    Is the video of the debate between That One and Bobby Rush available. I hear Rush wiped the floor with him. On second thought, it’s probably secreted with the rest of his documents.

  • kenoshamarge

    Disgusting letter and a repulsive lack of response to it. I’ve come to expect such outrageous behavior from the left. I cannot believe that I ever thought they were good, decent people.

    When you accept such foul letters, when you do not express your outrage that someone posted it and that Salon left it in place, you are part of that pattern of behavior.

  • kenoshamarge

    I haven’t a clue who the GOP candidate will be and in spite of all the blather about it from the Pundidiots, neither do they.

    What I do have is a very long list of those I do not want to see run. Starting with Newt, Romney, Barbour, Huckabee, Petraeus, Guilianni, Jeb Bush, Bobby Jindal, Crist, and Chris Christie. (Christie simply because he said he wasn’t running and if he broke his word I would lose respect for him. I am so damn sick of these pols that say, “no, no, I’m not running” just before they throw their hat in the ring. Out here in the real world we used to call it lying. And that goes for Hillary too.)

    Ones I would be able to vote for without Angst: Palin, Daniels, and Pawlenty.

  • wodiej crackerdawg

    get your facts straight and quit posting blanket statements with no details.  Ryan’s plan wants to give an OPTION to privatize about a 1/3 of a person’s social security contributions if you are LESS THAN 55 years old.  Those older will not be affected. This is a choice.  The nice thing about the plan is it is mine if something happens to me.  If the gov’t controls it and I die, they keep everything I put in it.  Now which do you think is the better option? If you say gov’t, then you don’t have much business sense.

  • wodiej crackerdawg

    very good question.  In fact some states are introducing legislation that in order for a candidate to get on the their ballot they must show absolute proof of citizenship.  It may be in our best interest to not revert what he has already signed in the middle of his presidency.  But if he were prevented from being on the ballot for 2012 and not re-elected, it likely would have a minimal effect and I doubt Congress would try to pursue it.

  • wodiej crackerdawg

    “Palin holds out her sword and liberals impale themselves on it.” Author unknown

  • wodiej crackerdawg

    I totally agree on all.

  • wodiej crackerdawg

    It’s too early.  I like Palin alot.  Daniels would be good as well.  And even though he initially was adamant about not running, I have since heard talk around our state that he may be considering it.  I think Pawlenty would be good as well.

    Palin said if she runs she will be in it to win it and will not be going the conventional route.  I don’t think she will ever be bought off or compromise just to win.  She said she would gladly endorse a candidate who showed they truly are committed to getting back to our consitutional foundation.  She said she knows several that would fit the bill but has not shared their names. 

    I think Palin would do a great job and put the best and brightest in her cabinet. However, I don’t believe her aspiration is to be president for the sake of it.  She said it would be for the good of the country. It’s obvious she would be making some great sacrifices because she loves Alaska and the life she has now.  But her record of executive experience and accomplishments is exemplary. 

    As for the others, I am not hearing nary a peep from most about what is being done to our country. Huckabee is too politically correct. Romney is a flip flopper.

  • FED-Up

    In America, there are only two types of citizens. One type is a naturalized citizen which the Constitution, treaties, and Congressional Acts call a “citizen of the United States.” The other type is a natural born citizen which Article II calls a “natural born Citizen.” “The Constitution of the United States recognizes the division of the people into the two classes named by Blackstone – natural born and naturalized citizens.”  Rep. Wilson Cong. Globe, 39th Cong., 1st Sess. 1116 (1866). Only a “natural born Citizen” is eligible to be President under Article II, Section 1, Clause 5. A naturalized citizen, whether naturalized at birth or after birth, is not so eligible. The “natural born Citizen” clause is nothing more than the people of the United States expressing their power of self-preservation. 

    A naturalized citizen, whether at birth or after birth, is made by positive law, to wit, the 14th Amendment which makes born naturalized citizens and treaties or acts made by Congress, which makes both born and after-born naturalized citizens under its Article I, Section 8, Clause 4 power to make uniform the laws of naturalization.

    A natural born citizen is made by nature and not by any positive law such as the 14th Amendment, treaties, or Congressional acts. The overwhelming majority of citizens are natural born citizens. If a person needs the 14th Amendment, a treaty, or Congressional act to make him or her a citizen, then that person cannot be a natural born citizen. Also, Congress or a court could for some social or political reason enact some law denying a natural born citizen that very status but to do so would be contrary to the law of nature and also unconstitutional.

  • donjo

    He told a constituent that the first thing he wants to do when the repubs take over the House is to begin to privatize social security. Is that good enough for ya? In any case, it would be  GIANT mistake.

  • seattlegonz

    Kenoshamarge — isn’t it funny or sad that our bottom line is people we can vote for without angst. In today’s polictical climate being able to vote without angst is a miracle. (Maybe it has always been that way…I think voting for Bill Clinton was my only angst-free vote.)

  • seattlegonz

    Donjo — he may have meant begin to implement his plan for privatize 1/3 of one’s soc. sec savings.

    Why do you think it would be a mistake? The problem, it seems to me, is that people are paying into social security and there’s little chance that any of that money will be available for them in their retirement years. Having some control over some of the money means that, at the very least, if the federal social security coffers go bare that people will have some money to live off of. And, on the flip side, if the stock market crashes there will still be some federal “entitlement” to security in one’s old age.

    Didn’t Social Security come about because after the stock market crash and depression people lost all their savings and earnings and many people who had worked hard for years and years became homeless and indigant? What do we do if the federal social security program is insolvent? Don’t we have to make sure that people have some “security” available to them?

  • seattlegonz

    Just to  be clear wodiej, I think those rules established by the states only apply to general election ballots. I don’t think the state has say over who is on the primary ballot.

    I agree the congress wouldn’t want to pursue overturning obama’s fraudulent presidency (if that is how it played out) however, if anyone or several people filed suits against any of the legislation he signed it would be a problem that we’ve never faced before.

  • seattlegonz

    OMG…I can’t believe I started a post here with “Let me be clear…” I should be banned.

  • BIINKY

    Representative Posey (FL) had such a bill in Congress but could not get enough representatives to co-sponsor to bring it up for a vote.  Perhaps he will try again with the change in Congress coming up in 2011.

  • BIINKY

    “Once Obama is out of office a bill should be introduced requiring all president-elects to make their proof of natural born citizenship available to the public as part of public disclosure.”
    ————————————————————-

    Representative Posey (FL) had such a bill in Congress but could not get enough representatives to co-sponsor to bring it up for a vote.  Perhaps he will try again with the change in Congress coming up in 2011.

  • PssttCmere

    Whomever is elected, I pray it is the electorate who are the winners!  It is tiring being on the short end of the stick over and over again….we need a new America we can be proud of…

    Note to Seattlegonz….if you ever would like to write a piece for my site, I would be honored.

    “Say What You Will…It Feels So Good”

    http://www.saywhatyouwill.proboards.com

  • FLDemFem

    Ellen, about this….“I don’t think anything as personal as a birth certificate has been considered public domain.”     Birth certificates are a matter of public record, and therefore should be accessible to anyone who wants to see them. All pubkic records should be available to anyone who wants to see them.

  • FLDemFem

    That would be “public” not “pubkic” :-P

  • seattlegonz

    BIINKY, I think the problem is bringing it up while Obama is in office. I do believe that congress is terrified of the constitutional chaos that would ensue if obama were found to be a fraudulent president. However, you may be right that it’ll be brought up again in the next congress.

  • greenlantern

    Let’s keep this thread going until they bring us more SeattleG! Whooo!

    As far as the Repub primary candidates, I have to agree with the boys at Hillbuzz: Please, no more dull mayonnaise on whitebread (I’m talking personality, not race). Tim Pawlenty was the gov of my state and I fall asleep just looking at him.

  • felizarte

    seattlegonz:  It’s the quality and honesty of your thinking that surfaces in your writing.  Keep on thinking well and writing your thoughts; a good heart will make sure those thoughts are honest.

  • seattlegonz

    That’s sweet. You guys have inspired me to keep going…the press and polls will be exposed, even if it means delaying my shower for another hour.

    I know it’s not proper to drink before noon, when should one be out of one’s pajamas?

  • seattlegonz

    psst, I joined saywhatyouwill. I just love the tagline. And thanks for the offer.

  • seattlegonz

    FLDem are you sure that the “record of birth” isn’t the matter of public record. That the certificate itself is personal? I don’t know.

  • greenlantern

    Blogging in one’s jammies is one of the sweetest of life’s pleasures!

  • donjo

    You’ve been reading too much right wing crapola.  The SS is NOT insolvent and will not even reach a point where an adjustment in income will have to be made for about 30 or 40 years,  Eliminating any future problems can be fixed by simply raising the “break point” for FICA.

    It’s been the right wing’s wet dream to get their hands on that money; they want to establish a private system where the wealthy, i.e. Pete Peterson, can establish accounts and get their hands on enormous commissions.  It’s all about $$ and the repubs and libertarians ever-increasing greed fetish.  Think what would have happened to SS IF a private system would have been in place during the latest stock market crash.  ZERO funds to make promised payments.  Also, look at how many PRIVATE pension funds went down the tubes over the past few years. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it – and don’t mess with it, either.

    NOTHING is to stop you or anyone else from investing in their own private pension plans – if one can afford it. In fact, it would be a very wise thing to do.  Maybe.  I have friends who lost $60,000 overnight during the first crash and were dumb enough to reinvest their funds and lost another giant chunk just a few months ago.

    SS was NEVER intended to be a retirement income – just a bit to help people who really needed it.  Unfortunately with times such as they are, too many people actually need this money in order to keep on living.

  • PssttCmere

    I saw that you joined and was pleased….looking forward to you sharing your insights.  If you decide to post something, I will list it under “Members Mouth Off”…lol

    “Say What You Will…It Feels So Good”

  • FLDemFem

    The births are not only recorded at the courthouse, but are published in newspapers, etc. Ask any bunco cop how easy it is to get the birth certificate of a dead person and use their identity. All you have to do is write in and ask for a copy. Some states require that you turn up in person, but most do not. It seems that the only birth certificate that is not available for copies is Barack Obama’s. I was born overseas, to diplomatic parents, and every time I have to have a birth certificate, I have to get the State Department to write a letter to the relevant person or agency stating that I was born an American citizen, albeit overseas, and with all the other info, date of birth, place, parents, etc. It would be so much easier to be able to just write in and get a copy..sigh. I used to have a plate, blue on white porcelain, issued to me when I was born with the name of the hospital, my stats, etc. on it, but it got broken in one of our many moves. My sister still has hers, and takes it in when asked for a birth certificate. You can imagine the reactions. Heh.

  • FLDemFem

    wodiej, even if he were to be found ineligible, reverting the legislation would be problematic. Since laws are legislated by Congress and only signed by the President, the active part in that transaction is Congress, not the President. Laws are passed without his signing them, he can not sign within ten days and that is called a “pocket veto”. This is what the Article 1, Section 7 of the Constitution says….     

    “If any Bill shall not be returned by the President within ten days (Sundays excepted) after it shall have been presented to him, the same shall be a Law, in like manner as if he had signed it, unless the Congress by their Adjournment prevent its return, in which case it shall not be a Law.”

    So not signing the laws is not important, unless Congress adjourned shortly thereafter, and even then it would only be a couple of them, if Congress decided to revert anything.

  • Murray

    Daniels is the governor of my state.  He has strong Republican Party credentials, and I expect him to run.

    He’s been on the news every day for years, and I am starting to get the creeps just looking at him.

  • FLDemFem

    Robert A. Heinlein had a great idea for who should be president. Someone who doesn’t want the job…seriously. In one of his books, the presidency was filled by someone chosen by a computer on the basis of qualifications, no one asked the person if he wanted the job. If he was happy to get it they chose someone else, figuring the first person had a personal/political agenda to foist on the rest of the people. The president was then installed in office and given all the tools he needed to do the job, and it was considered a public duty to accept even if it was the last thing on earth, or any other planet, that you wanted to do. Sounds like a plan to me!!

  • seattlegonz

    Well, it would be a mistake to suggest I’ve been reading too much right wing crapola. I’m a democrat after all, and while I try to read various viewpoints I have become completely distrustful of journalism. Basically, I’m skeptical of everything I read.

    While I agree that SS was designed as a mandated lowest level of “insurance” against catastrophe in the event one is unable to work due to age, or illness, the reality is that everyone is entitled to receive their social security checks regardless of their income. Wealthy receive them just the same as the poor…only the wealthy, typically, would be larger since they usually paid more into the program.

    Pension programs are all designed (at least every one that I know of) to subtract the social security disbursement from the pension payment. Meaning, whatever you are getting from Social Security is paid first, then the pension supplements that up to the pension promise.

    I agree with you that privatizing social security completely would be a very bad idea. I mean, ultimately, if economic times are bad then the elderly are going to become “our” problem, concern, responsibility…however you want to say it. I don’t want to live in a world where elderly moms and dads are living in the street, or where elderly patients, without a home, are dumped off at the skid row shelters like they are in CA. If it’s going to be the governments reponsibility to make sure that all citizens are ensured the basics of life then the Govt needs money for that. Soc Security is that money.

    But, I completely disagree with you about its solvency. I’m approaching retirment and every administration — democrat, republican — everyone has been pointing to a problem of baby boomers, extended life expectancy, inflation, insufficient fund growth, etc. as a marker that the numbers are upside down. At the time that Soc Sec was implemented it wasn’t expected that people would live for 25 years post retirement.

    We’re now looking at the second wave of “boomers” because the number of people having families, and families of 2 or more, is considerably higher over the past 10 years than it was 10 years before that.

    Anyway…we just see it differently.

  • seattlegonz

    FLDem — sorry that it’s such a pain. How special though to have had a birth certificate that could be broken. Mine is folded up like I carried it in my wallet for awhile. I remember finding it as a kid and learning that my mother had my birthday wrong.

    For all those real housewife watchers…I wasn’t exactly an alien, but close.

    I don’t disagree with you that it’s easy to get most anyone’s birth certificate except Obama’s. But, it would still be (again this is just a guess on my part, I don’t know that actual law) an act of deceit to request a copy of someone else’s birth certificate. Meaning, that the actualy certificate is really only meant for the person or family of the person named. The record of the birth — newspaper, city hall records, are all public domain, but the signed copy of the certificate isn’t. For most of us, it would be easy to claim to be someone else and get a copy of the certificate…but, it might be tough to claim your BObama and not raise a few questions.

    Maybe if 250000 requests for a copy of my, Barack Obama’s, birth certificate come into Hawaii’s records office…one official copy will get out.

  • donjo

    I hate to see you going into retirement with uncertainty hanging over your head.  Google Social Security Trust Fund and there are others out there who explain how it NOT in any fiscal problems.  Unfortunately, the MSM is playing to the right wing crowd as well as the fools that made up the cat food commission. 

  • donjo

    As I said, we need to get rid of the US citizens only requirement. 

  • seattlegonz

    This doesn’t really address, though, what it would mean if the president did sign a bill and was found to have done so illegally or fraudulently. One couldn’t look at it as a simple failure to sign, because the failure to sign process is, as you stated, meant to acknowledge that the congress is making the law, but the fact that the bill is returned to them without the presidents signature means that they have an opportunity to act on it knowing that the president won’t sign it as it is. That’s why the bill doesn’t become law if the congress has adjourned, because they didn’t have time to act on it sans signature.

    In the case of Obama, the congress would have adjourned several times for each bill signed…so there would be no precident or constitutional or legal rule that would cover what should be done if a person has been elected and enacted laws while being an illegitimate president.

    It’s the reason why Nixon was allowed to resign without ever being tried or jailed for his crimes.

  • LibOne

    Birth Certificates are not a matter of public record.  In my state only the person can get a birth certificate for him/herself or parents, spouse, adult child, legal guardian or attorney.  Different states have different laws regarding the availability of birth records, but I know in my state we’re very stricit about birth records.

  • seattlegonz

    Well, thanks for thinking of me. I haven’t counted on soc security being there for me in a long, long time, so I’m okay.

    It’s laughable to me though that you think the MSM is playing to the right wing crowd. I’m not sure we’re occupying the same time space continuum.

    When I google soc security and look at the OASI all I see are numbers that are upside down and the boomer generation hasn’t retired yet. But, you can’t begin with a find that pays out less than one percent and is now paying out almost all of it on an annual basis and have those numbers work.

  • seattlegonz

    lol

  • foxyladi14

    specially them warm flannel ones ,on these long cold winter nights :-D

  • JohnWSmart

    The GOP certainly is the winner in this census. No doubt about it. I just don’t think it makes all that much difference in the coming presidential race. Obama is in trouble in about 9 states he won in 2008. Those 9 will make or break him in 2012. That did not change with the census report.  The GOP winning so many state houses is far more important to overall political balance than a pick up of a few electoral college votes here and there in red states. 
    and CA came within a whisker of adding a seat. Reports of CA’s demise are exaggerated though not greatly exaggerated. People confuse the demise of the state govt. and the demise of the state as a whole. CA is still vital and supremely important to this nation’s economy. Govt will be cut drastically. But the big players in tech, agriculture and media can’t or won’t be leaving. 

  • SeriouslySickOfOBama

    Breeze and FLDemFem, There is another option that just occurred to me as I was putting out our Family Bible as the centerpiece on our Christmas table which is a tradition in our family, but the POINT, LOL, Where my Mom was born the courthouse in her county burned down, she could not get a Birth Certificate when they reopened, but THEY USED OUR FAMILY BIBLE AS A LEGAL DOCUMENT TO GIVE HER ANOTHER ONE as proof of her birth, it has in our Family Bible, the date, time, place, weight, etc., this has also been used in the past for others as a LEGAL DOCUMENT, so if someone has a birth record of babyO in the family bible or whatever bible his family uses, that might solve some hidden mysteries and I am sure his Grandmother in Kenya has this recorded somewhere bc she stated she was there at his birth and he was born in Kenya.  JUST A THOUGHT!!

  • SeriouslySickOfOBama

    seattlegonz, my favorite is MARK MY WORDS and then someone always goes behind that post and says, OK, I HAVE MARKED YOUR WORDS, ROFL!!

  • Linda

    It seems the front runner, Romney has been consistently losing ground and Gov Palin has been increasing her numbers.

    Even Clarus Research Group that did their last poll in July claimed “Palin losing support” , now has Romney down 25 pts and Palin just 2 pts from Romney.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/134815-romney-huckabee-palin-lead-gop-field-for-2012-nomination

  • seattlegonz

    Okay, okay…I apologize. I’ve lived in MA, ME, WI, CA…and ultimately here in WA. I let me CA experience cloud my perception…my bad.

  • seattlegonz

    8-)

  • seattlegonz

    Well, I’m going to keep hammering on the wariness with which I view polls…all of them. In the primary Obama and his media-thug pollsters would portray him as down in the polls so that they could show him gaining momentum going into election day…that wonderful “closing the gap” argument. Also, they wanted to motivate his supporters to get out and vote, whereas if he supposedly had it locked up, then there might be a drop off in people willing to get off the couch.

    That’s why I like  the betting line and was intrigued that it showed Palin (miss supposedly can’t beat obama) in second along with Hillary. (This is a betting line of who will be the next president…lol.)

  • Jackie

    The front page of the New York Times says it all.  Here are the first 4 headlines, in order:

    Senate Passes 9/11 Health Bill as Republicans Back Down

    Senate Passes Arms Treaty With Russia

    With Obama’s Signature, “Don’t Ask” Is Repealed

    Obama’s Day Of Accomplishment


    Yes, it certainly is!

    (And Congratulations to SeattleGonz on your first NQ column.  Nicely done)

  • donjo

    Seems that we’re Not occupying the same time/space continuum.  So I won’t bother to change it.  I’ve been in enough “arguments” here with people whose mind has been made up, and by God, nothing’s going to change it.  Especially facts. 

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    I’ve been in enough “arguments” here with people whose mind has been made up, and by God, nothing’s going to change it.  Especially facts. 
    ==============
    Try a sound argument using cogent thought processes and you might change a few minds.

    Oh, there are no sound reasons for you to believe the way you do.

    Mea culpa

  • seattlegonz

    Jackie, I thought your post was a snark against Obama (I read the posts without knowing who says them) since  the first two headlines are about the Senate and the other is about Obama signing his name, followed by the day of accomplishment article.

    Sorry, I’m guessing you meant it as a salute to Obama’s role in advocating for the legislation passed today.

    I am pleased with the legislation passed.

    However, I think it’s important to remember that these bills could’ve been been passed earlier…and they weren’t for political reasons. The action has been entirely motivated by a fear that in the next congress these bills won’t pass.

    I’m grateful for their passage, and disgusted that 9/11 responders have been forced to wait for the bill to pass.

  • AbigailAdams

    As long as Gregoire is guv here in WA, nothing will change for the D’s.  WA’s a sancturary state, King Co.  and Seattle are sanctuary destinations for every free-floating Peter and Wendy and illegal who looks upon this area as a place to start over.  Just talked to a guy (late middle-aged) who moved here from MI, via CA (also lived in OH) who is house sitting for a friend’s mom’s house.  He moved here to explore the idea of what “being in community” means.   Time for this native-born Washingtonian to move to Fairbanks.  I hate what’s happened here!  This used to be a “normal”, mainstream values place where people worked hard, played hard and didn’t use terms like “being in community.”  Now we’ve got best-selling books on “How to Raise the Perfect Dog” for crying out loud.  WTH!!

    rant off.  

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Hmmmm, what are today’s actual “Accomplishments” that Obama can claim sole ownership of?

    1. He managed to sign his own name to legislation in which he had very little, if any, meaningful role in creating…………………without drooling on the document. And we thought it couldn’t be done!

    2.?

    Jackie’s absolutely right, this IS Obama’s DAY OF ACCOMPLISHMENT!!!! 

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Hmmmm, what are today’s actual “Accomplishments” that Obama can claim sole ownership of?  
     
    1. He managed to sign his own name to legislation in which he had very little, if any, meaningful role in creating…………………without drooling on the document. And we thought it couldn’t be done!  
     
    2.?  
     
    Jackie’s absolutely right, this IS Obama’s DAY OF ACCOMPLISHMENT!!!! 

    Yes, it certainly is!

  • seattlegonz

    Oh, donjo…I took your advice and I looked at the social security trust fund data. (as I’ve said I don’t trust the media.) Have you looked at it?

    http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/funds.html

    The numbers are untenable. There’s no way…

  • Jackie

    Hmmmm, what are today’s actual “Accomplishments” that Obama can claim sole ownership of?”

    Onofre,  you may not be aware of this, but his title is not “Emperor Obama”–it’s President Obama. 

    No President “can claim sole ownership of” any legislation that Congress shapes and passes, and the President signs.  But the President does and did guide and lobby for said legislation, and is ultimately responsible for whether or not it becomes law, once it reaches their desk for signature.  That is how it actually works. 

    As GWB said, it would be a lot easier if he were a dictator instead of a president.  Thankfully for all sides, the office of the president is not that of a dictator.  Only a dictator could claim “sole ownership” of legislative accomplishments.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    Nicely done, OA. Oh, and That One did stay at a Holiday Inn Express once.

  • Jackie

    New NQ Logic: Presidents do not deserve any credit for the bills they sign in to law.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    “Onofre,  you may not be aware of this,“ 

    You’re wrong if you think I’m not aware of how the process works, but you’re right that I’m not aware of his exhaustive efforts of guidance and lobbying, it’s difficult to be aware of something that doesn’t exist. And unless you consider golfing and partying as contributive to the legislative process, then you’ll have to supply details of Obama’s massive efforts, I’m sure if there were any, they’d be highly publicized. 

    I’m also not aware if Obama has graduated from Pampers to Pull-ups yet, but I’m sure that when it happens, he’ll receive the same accolades that he’s getting today.

  • Patience

    Congrats and thank you Seattlegonz!

    It’s too soon to tell but if I had to guess at this point I think the POTUS will be re-elected (she said, while ducking virtual flying objects).  In spite of how badly he’s done vis a vis the unpopular healthcare legislation, the ineffective and costly gift-to-public-employees stimulus bill, the chronically high unemployment rate, Afghanistan, etc, etc, his average approval rating on Real Clear Politics’ list of polls continues to hover around 45%, give or take a point or two either way.  

    Now, add to this the very large field of GOP contenders who will cannabilize each other during the primaries, PLUS the rift between conservative and moderate Republicans/Independents/Tea Partiers – unfortunately makes me think the POTUS will come out ahead.

    Romney has the huge onus of MA healthcare enacted on his watch. 

    Gingrich can be a bomb thrower and has too much old baggage.  

    Pawlenty, Jindal and Daniels seem to lack the charisma necessary to captivate a majority of voters.

    Huckabee mainly appeals to Evangelicals.   

    Christie seems to appeal to those who like to use the epithet RINO, and some others.  This is important when it comes to delegate-types.  But I honestly wonder if someone who is nearly-obese can win national office in this superficial and video-centric age? 

    As well, the lesser-knowns such as Mitch Daniels, Haley Barbour and Bobby Jindal may not be physically attractive enough to pass muster.  This seems crass, but unfortunately it’s been the case that LOOKS MATTER, especially to younger voters, at least since the Age of Television took hold.  I’ve wondered if Palin would command all of the media attention showered on her if she weren’t so beautiful?

    If Palin’s the nominee, Big Media will savage her like never before.  They simply won’t promote the narrative of First Female POTUS like they did the First AA POTUS.  And if the GOP nominates anyone that allows Palin to smell blood for any reason, I have a feeling she’ll run as a Third Party candidate and divide the Moderate/Conservative/Independent vote. 

    After having said all that, I hope I’m dead wrong.  I would be very happy if Obama were a One Termer.  I’m a Centrist and while he’s moved to the center in some ways, I simply do not like the man at all.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    OA: It’s a new twist on the story of the little red hen (fitting in more ways than one).

    That One says he takse the credit because Congress did not:

    -help him with ideas for legislation,
    -help him sharpen the pencils,
    -help him pen the legislation,
    -help him physically push the legislation through Congress in his red wagon,
    -help him throw tantrums and whine at the republicans to vote for the legislation, and

    Therefore they cannot enjoy the fruits of the labor because he did this all by himself.

    It’s going to be a long, tedious two years of teleprompter excess a-comin’.

  • seattlegonz

    It’ll be interesting to see Patience. I’m still not convinced that Obama will run. I think there might be some deal for him to not run. It seems clear to me that he doesn’t like the job very much, and I think he’d love being an ex-president, a supreme court justice, another “first”…you know something more his speed.

    I can’t imagine him running and maybe losing. It seems so much more like him to want to say he’s not running because of his family, or because he thinks justice needs him more, or something grand.

    It’ll be interesting.

  • Jackie

    “You’re wrong if you think I’m not aware of how the process works, but you’re right that I’m not aware of his exhaustive efforts of guidance and lobbying, it’s difficult to be aware of something that doesn’t exist. And unless you consider golfing and partying as contributive to the legislative process, then you’ll have to supply details of Obama’s massive efforts, I’m sure if there were any, they’d be highly publicized.” 

    I guess you didn’t read the part where Obama negotiated New Start directly with Dmitry Medvedev.  Or of his endless calls, meetings, and arm-twisting of Senators over the past several weeks (not to mention all of the bills before these, and the endless months of wrangling he coordinated with Reid and Pelosi to get all of his successful legislation through) to obtain the last necessary votes.  Or of the directions he gave the Congressional leadership on what the shape of the legislation needed to look like, broadly, by the time it reached his desk.  These stories appear in major articles all the time, and if you were paying attention, you would have read them.  I am not going to bother hunting down links and posting them for you, because clearly, you would not read those either.  I guess they aren’t recording their private conversations and then broadcasting them for your easy listening pleasure, but they are happening on a highly regular basis, as both sides attest.

    “I’m also not aware if Obama has graduated from Pampers to Pull-ups yet, but I’m sure that when it happens, he’ll receive the same accolades that he’s getting today.”

    What’s funny is the scenario you are willfully ignoring: a president who refuses to sign the legislation sent to them.  How much work do you think goes into a bill that everyone knows is going to be vetoed (and veto upheld)?  For the most part, not bloody much.  The fact that Obama signals intent on signing legislation he favors, once Congress passes the bill in both houses, enables the entire process to even begin. 

    Also, you might as well say Congresspersons also do next to nothing, since all they are doing is voting.

    Oh, I know.  You don’t really mean any of this crap.  You’re just pissed because the president had a very good day.  It wouldn’t mean anything if it wasn’t also a very good day for the American people.  Which it is.

    Although, maybe I’m wrong.  Maybe you really don’t know what is taking place in front of your eyes.  I’ll give you a hint: HISTORY.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    Huckabee mainly appeals to Evangelicals.
    =========================
    He does appeal to them. But then, after listening to him speak, I find he does have a firm grasp on many issues about which I am concerned and he isn’t way out in right field, either. Moreover, he’s no dummy.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    “Jackie’s absolutely right, this IS Obama’s DAY OF ACCOMPLISHMENT!!!!”   

    I don’t know what your problem is, (other than your congenital need to be argumentative) I was agreeing with you. This really IS a “Big Boy” day for Boo Boo Obama.

  • Jackie

    “I don’t know what your problem is, (other than your congenital need to be argumentative) I was agreeing with you”

    Right.  That’s a good one.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Jackie’s Logic: If a complete imbecile could be taught to sign his own name, he would be as qualified as Obama to be the POTUS.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    The ability to vote “present” must be another, highly-prised characteristic, OA.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    The ability to vote “present” is another, highly-prized attribute in a POTUS, OA.

  • seattlegonz

    Really, though, Jackie, those articles about how much wrangling Obama has done have only appeared recently, and as such are disingenuous. When Obama first came to office he may have wrangled democrats but his words to republicans was, “I won.” Now that he’s been shellacked, but still “presiding” over a democratic congress the idea is being touted that he’s a determined negotiator.

    The congress is majority democrats, it should’ve been easy for Obama to enact the democratic agenda.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    When Obama first came to office he may have wrangled democrats but his words to republicans was, “I won.”
    ==========================
    And he hasn’t stopped flapping his jib since. Progressives confuse words with action and because That One is a man of many, many, many words and can beat gums with the best of them, they figure he’s been doing a lot of work.

    Oh, brother.

  • Jackie

    Really, though, Jackie, those articles about how much wrangling Obama has done have only appeared recently, and as such are disingenuous.”

    That’s not the case.  There were numerous articles about this during the healthcare legislation, during the financial reform legislation, during the stimulus fight, during Sotomayor and Kagan, etc.

    “The congress is majority democrats, it should’ve been easy for Obama to enact the democratic agenda.”

    Then why wasn’t it?  Maybe is has to do with the fact that, in addition to standard-issue Democrats and progressive Democrats, the Democratic majority coalition was also composed of a large chunk of conservative Democrats from red states, who demanded an incredible amount of cover and compromise before they would even consider a liberal President’s agenda. 

    Maybe it also has to do with the fact that the U.S. Senate is no longer a body that operates on majority rule.  Just imagine how much easier these bills would have been passed if they had just required 51 votes to end debate.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    That’s right Ferd, I forgot about that. When Boo Boo became a US Senator, they installed a special lever at his desk labeled “Present”, and whenever Boo Boo pressed it, a little treat would pop up, so after several months, if finally occurred to him that he would only get his sweet treat present when he pressed the special lever. His learning curve would have been much steeper though, if his trainers had thought of using cigarettes instead of sweets.

  • seattlegonz

    Well, I’m not going to get into a “numerous” articles fight with you. If Obama has done a lot of phone calling, compromise, deal making, he’s done a terrible job in promoting it. To most people who aren’t as inclined to like the man as you are, it appears he’s been vacationing and playing golf more than anything. (And that’s a story that has also been written about numerous times.)

    Be careful though, what you’re describing is democrats as the party of no, and I don’t think that’s what the Obama campaign wants. That’s the story that’s being told about republicans.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    Stories can be powerful manipulators of emotion and ideology.
    ========================
    Especially when words are redefined as a means to fit the end desired and placed in sentences with other words not so redefined, making it seem as though the entire sentence is cogent. The silly statement, “We are the ones we’ve been waiting for”, comes immediately to mind. The “we”, normally meant to be all encompassing, is reduced to an us-them fighting word with “them” as the enemy of what is being awaited–namely the “we”.

    That One is an ass.

  • Katmoon

    ANd not to worry, every bill has to be funded through the House, the new housethe people’s house, wonder how that will go.

  • Jackie

    “To most people who aren’t as inclined to like the man as you are, it appears he’s been vacationing and playing golf more than anything.”

    If that is the case (it isn’t), then why does this president have a more productive legislative record of accomplishment than any other since the 1960′s?

    “Be careful though, what you’re describing is democrats as the party of no, and I don’t think that’s what the Obama campaign wants. “

    That isn’t what I described.  I described one piece–one piece–of the Democratic coalition as conservative to the point of requiring an awful lot of placating from the more liberal pieces of that coalition, including Obama.  The people who have just said “no” are, obviously, the Republicans.  I don’t believe anyone–even Republicans–thinks the Democrats have been the “the party of no”.

  • Ferd Not-My-Site-(click to edit) Berfle

    LMAO

  • Katmoon

    Poor Boo-Boo thought Pavlov was A russian spy; didn’t catch on to the red lights and whistles.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    The Democrats ARE the party of “YES”. I’m agreeing with Jackie on this one. 

    YES! To monster, 2000 page bills that they’ve never read, or have a clue about their contents or eventual effects.

    YES! To unprecedented record deficits far into the future.

    YES! To Keynesian economic idiocy.

    YES! To screwing GM stockholders and rewarding unions.

    YES! To paying billions of borrowed money to pay off political supporters.

    YES! To ignoring the overwhelming public sentiment on multiple issues.

    YES! To draconian EPA intrusiveness, from light bulbs to home remodels to CO2 hysteria.

    YES! To trashing our allies and praising our enemies.

    YES! To killing our lucrative and job creating offshore oil drilling industry.

    YES! To major strides that will bring this country ruins.

    YES Jackie, you and I agree about more than you thought. 

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    The Democrats ARE the party of “YES”. I’m agreeing with Jackie on this one.   
     
    YES! To monster, 2000 page bills that they’ve never read, or have a clue about their contents or eventual effects.  
     
    YES! To unprecedented record deficits far into the future.  
     
    YES! To Keynesian economic idiocy.  
     
    YES! To screwing GM stockholders and rewarding unions.  
     
    YES! To paying billions of borrowed money to pay off political supporters.  
     
    YES! To ignoring the overwhelming public sentiment on multiple issues.  
     
    YES! To draconian EPA intrusiveness, from light bulbs to home remodels to CO2 hysteria.  
     
    YES! To trashing our allies and praising our enemies.  
     
    YES! To killing our lucrative and job creating offshore oil drilling industry.  
     
    YES! To major strides that will bring this country to ruins.  
     
    YES Jackie, you and I agree about more than you thought. 

  • TeakWoodKite

    Facts ? Here is the thing, donjo…When you take the position without citing any piticular reference and base your position on asking someelse to “Google Social Security Trust Fund “, you
    1) do yourself a disservice by attempting to make a specific point using a generality.
    2) do yourself a disservice by asking others to grant you passage based on your word, as an act of faith, instead of the citation of specific facts you say are out there.
    3)  do yourself a disservice by asking others to keep an open mind and then be a whiny absolutist, in coloring your fellow human as being rigid in their views.

    for example…today i had an exchange with a co-worker, who said that “one more and Obama has a trifecta”, we were discussing the ratification of the “NEW START” treaty. He used the same arguement as you, in that he said, others have said it is a good treaty.
    I asked him if he had read the treaty, as I asked for who or what source that he had informed himself to arrive at his position.
    He had not read the treaty, instead leaving it to the say so of others, that it was worthy of encumbering our soverignty.

    So as I wish you and yours a very Merry Chistmas, I would ask, Why, when there is the document itself all of 17 pages, would one leave it to others to inform oneself?
    But please do not assume everyone else is inflexible if they choose to disagree when they have read the dam thing.

    Senate gave consent as is and to my knowledge it did not go through any markup or revision in committee in the Senate, yet both house of the Russian parlimentust ratify it as well. Will they seek changes?

    Will a “signing statement/memo” from the POTUS assuage the the VALID concerns of the Senators we elected? who after classified briefings do not want to give away any advancements in missle defense?

    Just saying.

  • Docelder

    I think “norming” that concept is already in the works.

  • Docelder

    Watch if Obama doesn’t suddenly “accomplish” a lot more with a republican led house. It worked for Clinton. Actually it saved his presidency. Neither of these two “great” democrat leaders could stand up to their own parties… even to save their own presidencies… let alone their own country.

  • Docelder

    Like a tic-tac-toe playing chicken at the state fair. Exactly right. he pecks at the corn every time making it look like he understands the game. He doesn’t necessarily. He just likes corn.

  • TeakWoodKite

    Thankfully for all sides, the office of the president is not that of a dictator.  Only a dictator could claim “sole ownership” of legislative accomplishments.

    Wrap it up and put a bow on it. It’s the fruitcake assertion again.

  • seattlegonz

    Huckabee scares me because he is so well spoken. I could be wrong because I didn’t follow his campaign that closely, and I know the left made a big deal of his allegedly wanting to rework the constitution so it isn’t a secular work, but one that is unequivocal about such things as a right to life and marriage being between a man and a woman.

    I don’t want constitutional christianity, judaism, sharia, or any religion. I believe it would be a mistake for republicans to hammer the social issues. That’s what is great, to me, about Sarah…she doesn’t talk about them hardly at all. Obama is meddling more in our private lives than republicans…which typically isn’t the way it goes. Democrats are known to meddle with our wallets, and Republicans with our personal lives…it just proves, nothing is permanent.

  • Docelder

    I think we might be looking at a future Clinton II. No, not Hillary but Obama. The republican house will temper him and everything the republicans do to help right the economy will be credited to Obama in the media. Newt saved Clinton from failure and the republicans in the house will save Obama from becoming Jimmy Carter II. Maybe it will be fine for us in the end however… Obama becoming the republicans puppet instead of the democrats puppet. He will take the path of least resistence… always has and always will. So long as he gets the credit he will do the bidding of whoever… i don’t think he cares one way or the other.

  • TeakWoodKite

    Obama negotiated New Start directly with Dmitry Medvedev.

    I thought you said BO could not claim “sole ownership”, you are saying literally he is not the one who SIGNED it?

  • TeakWoodKite

    Then why wasn’t it?

    No leadership coming from the office of the President.

  • seattlegonz

    There’s a big difference though, Docelder, between Obama and Clinton…Clinton won on his own. The problem for Obama is that the liberal left put Obama in office and, well, you can see how they feel about Bill Clinton (and Hillary.) So, if Obama pivots he loses his primary supporters. The middle isn’t for him, republicans aren’t for him…that’s why he had to have Bill Clinton come out and do the pivot.

    He’s in an untenable place. He’s got some shills in the republican party that will help him…but, I don’t see how it works.

  • TeakWoodKite

    Yes well done Onofre’s Arm!

    Ferd , do you think Jackie gets the reference to the Holiday Inn Express?

  • TeakWoodKite

    During the Primary, even President Clinton gave him props and said he would not underestimate him.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    Yes Ferd, he is the ass they were waiting for.

  • Guest

    She turned in a good enough performance to not look like a total fool, but that is all.I’m not a particularlly avid poll-watcher, but I do pay most attention to Rasmussen Reports. They’ve been DEAD-ON the last two presidential elections, and they predicted the results of the 2006 mid-terms very accurately. That is really the only thing any of us can measure because it produces a result in real data to use to check methodology. His issue polls are skewed conservative, though.

    Anyone who thinks a polling firm can be successful by deliberating skewing polling results must have some screws loose. Who in the world would ever pay for false data? Polling results differ because they’re based on sampling techniques and statistically they should differ within a predictable margin of error. Real Clear Politics publishes the average of all the national polls (which is a reasonable thing to do) and most reasonable media, like Fox News, typically report those averages.

    If Palin turns in a good enough performance to not look like a total fool, but that is all, as in 2008, she won’t win. The polls I think are going to have very little impact  on popular perceptions of her gravitas, competence, and presidentialness.

  • FLDemFem

    No, Nixon was “allowed” to resign because the country had just been through the Watergate hearings, all broadcast on radio which the country was glued to for the duration. The Republican leadership went to the White House and informed Nixon that impeachment papers were being drawn in the House. They told him that if he resigned he would keep his pension, etc. If he was convicted, no pension or anything else. So he resigned. An impeachment hearing and trial would have been too much for the country to endure and would have further interfered with the actual governing of the country. And it cost less to let him resign and keep his pension than it would have to impeach, convict and thereby rendering him ineligible for his pension, etc. And Nixon was born in the US, no question. He was a legitimate president. He was a paranoid person who kept an enemies list and used government resources, FBI, IRS, to harrass and intimidate them. And he also illegally taped people in the White House. There was never any question of the laws he had signed being legally signed. If you are going to make statements regarding political history, you should at least get your facts straight.

  • Jackie

    No leadership coming from the office of the President.”

    This is such a nebulous claim.  How, exactly, would you define “leadership” in this case?  I look to a herd of difficult, critical bills being passed and signed into law, more than anyone else has accomplished in a half-century. and I see “leadership”.

  • Jackie

    “I thought you said BO could not claim “sole ownership”, you are saying literally he is not the one who SIGNED it?”

    I have no idea what this question means.  Try again. 

    I’ll reiterate, Obama negotiated the terms of the New Start treaty directly with Dmitry Medvedev.  This contradicts the claims by many here that Obama did nothing on the bill beyond signing it.  It then had to be ratified in the U.S. by a 2/3rds majority of the U.S. Senate.  Which Obama lobbied very, very hard for, after 8 months of negotiations, and many close calls that almost killed the treaty.  He is now signing it into law.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    “I have no idea what this question means.  Try again.” 

    Yes, I can only imagine that the density of your skull prevents intrusion of such simple concepts. 

    Although Boo-Boo did next to nothing on the legislation up until the moment it appeared on his desk, when he signed his pathologically practiced signature on the document, he OWNED it. And the moment that Boo-Boo signed his accursed name to the $830 billion stimulus bill, he changed the trajectory of the economy, for better or WORSE in this case, thereby OWNING the economy from that point onward. He had essentially accepted the economy baton from Bush at that fateful point, yet to this day he still blames Bush for the economy, even though he and his bunglers have been at the controls for almost two years. He owns the massive SHIT his policies have created just as much as he owns the few minor and mostly symbolic fruits that only his ‘signature’ has bought him.

    As far as the negotiations with Medvedev are concerned, I can only imagine how THAT went. Judging by the particulars of this abyssmal START treaty, Medvedev must have kicked Obama’s scrawny ass around the room until Boo-Boo begged for mercy. Or, perhaps they put Boo-Boo in the Special Negotiation Room (the one with all the toys) where Boo-Boo happily hammered out an imaginary arms deal on a Whack-A-Mole board, while Medvedev kicked the scrawny asses of junior negotiators around the room. Yes, the new START treaty is a sterling example of what happens when our national interests are in the hands of invertebrates and snot nosed children.

    So far, all of the major legislation during Barky-Boy’s reign, has been farmed out to subcontractors to write, so much so, that neither he nor his pals in Congress knew what was in them. Remember Nazi Pelosi, “We have to pass the bill to find out what’s in it.”? Stimulus, Obamacareless, and the Financial bill were complete unknowns to the cocaine rotted brain of Mystery-Boy, and ALL he did was provide rhetorical cover for their passage. Up to this point, a well spoken 6 year old could have accomplished what Boo-Boo has. The next two years will be spent mostly undoing the damage of the last two years. 

  • seattlegonz

    I think you misunderstood me, FLDem, you and I are saying the same thing.

    I wasn’t saying Nixon wasn’t an American citizen, I was saying that impeachment and trial would be too much for the country to endure and would have interfered with the governing of America.

    If there is a question of Obama’s legitimacy as a president (hold your horses all of you who want to chime in with questions and accusations about his legitimacy…I know, I know.) then there would be impeachment, trial for treason, question of prior legislation, succession, who knew what when, how far does the cover-up go…etc. I think it would throw America into a hell of a lot more turmoil than Nixon’s crimes.

    I do know the history of watergate…too well.

  • Jackie

    Onofre, I do appreciate that in this long, rambling, embittered rant, you did at least get around to acknowledging that Obama did indeed negotiate New Start with Medvedev.  Thanks for staying on task.

    “The next two years will be spent mostly undoing the damage of the last two years.”

    Over the president’s veto pen?  With a Dem-controlled Senate?  Good luck with that.

  • FLDemFem

    The problem I have with witnesses from Kenya is that Barack Obama, Sr. returned to Kenya with a white wife, he met her while at Harvard. He did not return to Kenya between leaving Hawaii and leaving Harvard. So it is very likely that she was the wife they remember rather than Ann Dunham, who was in the US with a young BO, Jr. BO,Sr. stayed at Harvard for two years after he left Ann and his son in Hawaii. And the cost of shuttling back and forth to Africa in those days was prohibitive. Not something the Dunhams could afford. No cheap airfare in those days. And they were prop planes, mostly. Few jets in service domestically at that time. And planes were much smaller then, too. I remember, I was flying at the time, all over. And it wasn’t a trip you made when pregnant, airlines didn’t allow near-term pregnant women to fly, and travelling with a young infant was just about as difficult. So, I think Ann wasn’t Ann, she was the second wife who showed up with BO, Sr. in Africa.

  • FLDemFem

    If it were found that Obama was not eligible, he would resign, saying he didn’t know. And any bills that were signed outside of the ten day window before Congress adjourned would be law..by law. It is only if Congress adjourns before the ten days have passed after a pocket veto that the law does not go into effect. If the ten days does pass and Congress has not adjourned, the law goes into effect as if it had been signed. Congress doesn’t have to do anything except be open for business.

  • seattlegonz

    Oh, I just remembered one thing…this time in 2006…Hillary Clinton, after repeatedly answering ‘no’ to the question of whether she was going to run for the presidency in 2008, was touted by every poll, newscaster, talking head as the next president of the US. Rove came out and repeatedly said she’d be the next president. (He’s been trying to agitate his followers for a long time.)

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    “Over the president’s veto pen?  With a Dem-controlled Senate?  Good luck with that.”

    I’ll take this non-challenge to my statement regarding Obama’s extensive damage as your tacit admission to said damage. You only challenged the possibility that the damage could be undone. So, You’ve inadvertently admitted to the damage I’ve described.

    Face it Jackie, you hate this country and all that it stands for, so it only makes sense that you would be crowing about Obama’s so-called achievements. In two short years he’s done far more to drag this country down into the muck than any President in our history, Carter is off the hook for that distinction. And as far as Boo-Boo pushing through more legislation than previous Presidents, no President since FDR has had such overwhelming same party majorities in the Congress, so it would be more accurate to claim that Boo-Boo’s laziness, arrogance, and short attention span prevented him from doing even more damage. Thank God for Obama’s incompetence and sloth in this regard.

  • seattlegonz

    FLDem it isn’t that straight forward. Obama being an illegitimate president means, in effect, that his signature has no standing on any bill. Therefore, one could conclude, that no bill was ever signed by the president in the years he’s been governing, and we just don’t have any precident to say how that effects the laws, budgets, executive orders, etc.

  • Onofre’s arm (required)

    SG, while this whole ‘illegitimacy’ issue is an interesting hypothetical, it’s on par with making extensive plans for the $millions$ you MIGHT win from the Lottery.

  • seattlegonz

    I agree Onofre…I’m not advocating it as a topic of pursuit, I’m just saying that there’s a reason why no one in politics wants to pursue it.

  • guest

    And in the case of an adoption, the original birth certificate is not only sealed and filed away, not readily available again to anyone except by a court order, but probably legally null and void as well. 

  • FLDemFem

    The point I was making, seattlegonz, was that his signature is not needed on laws to make them valid. The Executive Orders would be a different matter, they would be invalid. Treaties would also not be affected since the President signs them, but the Senate approves and consents to them. So the treaties would be valid even if he was found to be ineligible. It all depends on what the process for each thing is. If the majority of the responsibility of the process is on Congress, ie. laws, treaties, etc. the signature of the president is just a formality. A formality is not necessary to the process or the legality of the law, treaty, etc. Both can go into effect without the signature of the president.

  • seattlegonz

    Got it, FL Dem.

    And, the point I was making was that formality or not, the president plays a role in the process of making a law. The argument could be made that a “legitimate” president would’ve vetoed, within 10 days, the bills that the president signed.

    But, it doesn’t stop with laws. The president presiding over a military, illegitimately, while we’re engaged in two wars…

    I guess, basically, my point is to explain why no one would want to touch this issue.

  • Erasmus

    Hillary Clinton

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/S-Travis-Sklar/100000251863894 S Travis Sklar

    I predict that Barack Obama will lose by at least 150,000 votes in Nov 2012.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/S-Travis-Sklar/100000251863894 S Travis Sklar

    I predict that Barack Obama will lose by at least 150,000 votes in Nov 2012.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/Q4BXXJBPTONDHGKGG4NSAINUWY Crisanto Cortez

    Obama should win.republicans seem idiotic.We dont want another George bush reading books while the nation is being attacked or mess up the economy.republicans are greedy.

  • http://www.facebook.com/Xanderk09 Scott Duh Collins

    Obama should win. Republicans only care about lining there pockets ad protecting the rich. Dont beleave me come to Maine our Gov is an Idiot.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/G5JOBUOZJN3UXNUFD4TOGPDI2E adelet

    Palin is an idiot!! who ever wrote this article must be a palin fan, which also makes them an idiot. OBAMA  will win in 2012, there is a lot of Obama hating going on these days, which is all b.s he is a great president, he gets ragged on by the liberals for not moving things along fast enough, he gets ragged on by the conservatives and is called a socialist. its all BS on both sides. He started his presidency with a BIG mess to clean  up as a consequence of Bush. and I think he has done beautifully. He has played the hand of cards he was  dealt very strategically to make long term changes for the betterment of us all. IF anything will screw him up in 2012 it will almost certainly be because CONGRESS has fought him tooth and nail on every single thing he has tried to accomplish. I don’t think we have ever had a president who is more conscious of how his initiatives will effect all Americans. lets put a stop to this whole notion of giving big companies and those with big pocket books free reign to do whatever they want, with the hopes that there wealth will “trickle down” it isn’t working, hasn’t worked for a long time, and is doing more harm than good. lets expects the same level of personal responsibility acrossed the board!

  • http://twitter.com/PrezCan 2012 US Election

    It’s hilarious going back and reading this. The out-of-touchness of someone who thinks Sarah Palin would be a good general election candidate is hard to measure. 

  • satwell53

    NEWS ALERT !

    The Obama Administration

    has chosen to use a foreign

    company in Spain to count

    the votes of November’s

    Presidential election results.

    There has been a news black-out of an unprecedented action taken by the President to export the voting ballots to a foreign country to be counted there during November’s Presidential elections.
    The news of this directive is being concealed and minimized by the entire news media cabal, barring the American people from realizing the dangerous and unlawful implications of this Administration’s actions.
    This sort of disregard for the Rule of Law will corrupt the United States electoral process by handing it over to a foreign national entity that has no loyalty to the Constitution, the Rule of Law or the American people.
    Need we be reminded of one in history who held no loyalties to the the law or the people?

    “Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count the votes decide everything” Joseph Stalin
    This works in his favor.

  • RetiredArmyCOL

    Obama is the worst President in the history of the Republic. He hates the military and has made our country a laughing stock in the eyes of our enemies. He needs to be tried as a traitor. I put him right along with the scumbag Jane Fonda.