There are a number of new polls out today. I’ll report those to you below the fold. First, please take this poll:

As of today, who will you vote for in your state's primary?

View Results

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(And I am embarrassed. I was adding names and trying to put them in alphabetical order, and somehow Rick Perry got left out. He is added now, but I couldn’t put him in alphabetical order. Let’s see … for those of you who have already voted, feel free to vote again. I am changing the poll so that you can vote for TWO candidates…. but, unless you need to, try to vote for just one.)

Between now and November 2012, I sure hope that the American people keep their wits about them, and don’t get bamboozled by the ONE BILLION DOLLARS that the Obama campaign is going to spend on — all analysts predict — the nastiest campaign ever run in the nation’s history. Whoever the GOP candidate is, Obama’s thugs will stop at nothing to try to destroy him/her. It ain’t gonna be pretty.

CNN has posted very interesting polls results and analysis, worth a close read — CNN Poll: Perry still at top but Romney stronger vs. Obama“:

Despite his performances in the two most recent Republican presidential debates, a new national survey indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry remains on top of the field in the race for the GOP nomination.

But a CNN/ORC International Poll also indicates that former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney does better than Perry in hypothetical 2012 general election matchups against President Barack Obama and matches evenly with the president on the issues and on personal characteristics.

According to the survey, which was released Monday, 28 percent of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say they support Perry as their party’s presidential nominee, with Romney at 21 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is at ten percent, with Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who’s making his third bid for the White House, former Godfather’s Pizza CEO and radio talk show host Herman Cain, and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, all at seven percent. The poll indicates that Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota is at four percent, with former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at three percent and former Utah Gov. and ambassador to China Jon Huntsman at one percent. …

[…]

The poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, after last Thursday’s debate in Orlando, Florida. Pundits and analysts rate Perry’s performance in that debate, and in a debate one a week and a half earlier in Tampa, Florida, as uneven. Perry’s distant second showing at a much-watched straw poll of Florida GOP activists this past weekend may be a reflection of his debate performances, and his stance on illegal immigration and border security, which were spotlighted in both debates.

“[…] If the debates have had an effect, it may be mostly in favor of Gingrich, whose support went from 5 percent in mid-September to 10 percent now.”

According to the poll, the president’s overall approval rating, at 45 percent, is essentially unchanged since July. Fifty-two percent of all Americans disapprove of his job performance to date.

The 2012 election will not be an up-or-down vote on Obama, but rather a choice between the president and another candidate, so head-to-head match-ups against the top GOP candidates are a better test of Obama’s electoral strength.

The survey indicates that Romney fares best against Obama. It’s basically all tied up with 49 percent for Obama and 48 percent for Romney in a hypothetical two-way match-up. According to the poll, Obama holds a five point margin over Perry, 51 percent to 46 percent.

In a hypothetical matchup between Paul and Obama, the president holds a four point margin, 51 percent to 47 percent. Obama handily beats Bachmann and Palin in two-way match-ups. But keep in mind, as always, that polls taken more than a year before the election have little or no predictive value.

Obama’s ace-in-the-hole remains the fact that he is personally more popular than his policies. … Fifty-two percent of all Americans disagree with him on issues, but 58 percent believe he has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have. And by a 49 to 43 percent margin, Americans say that personal qualities are more important than issues to their vote for president.

Only Romney matches up well with Obama on both of those measures. Six in ten Americans say Romney has the personal qualities a president should have, compared to only 45 percent who feel that way about Perry.

Forty-six percent of Americans agree with Romney on issues. “That doesn’t sound like much, but it’s far better than the 39 percent who say they agree with Perry. That 46 percent is also ten points higher than the number who agreed with Romney in his first run for the White House in 2008,” adds Holland. …

Read all.

The Roanoke College (Virginia) poll is described in RC Poll: Obama trails Republican front runners; Allen and Kaine in dead heat in Va poll“:

With 14 months remaining until the 2012 election, Virginia’s U.S. Senate race is a statistical dead heat. Republican George Allen leads Democrat Tim Kaine 42% to 39% with 19% undecided.

President Obama trails some potential Republican opponents, but he leads others. The generic (unnamed) Republican leads Obama 41% to 33%; Mitt Romney leads 45% to 37%; and Rick Perry leads by an statistically insignificant 42% to 40%. At the same time, Obama leads potential opponents Michele Bachmann (46% to 35%), Ron Paul (43% to 33%), and Sarah Palin (50% to 31%). Looking only at registered voters, none of those margins change by more than 1 percent and several do not change at all. Within two key groups, Kaine leads among Moderates (52%-30%), but Allen leads among Independents (42%-33%). Obama also performs better among Moderates and not as well with Independents.*

Check out other polling results via Memeorandum.

As the Roanoke polls points out, the Senate races are also going to be crucial, and I predict that voters will probably vote for the senate candidate in the same party as their presidential pick. If voters remain furious with Obama and the Democrats, the Dems are going to lose several Senate seats. We shall see.

One more thing: The CNN article does a great job of describing what moves voters to pick a candidate. But, can YOU help me with this? How is it possible that Americans LIKE Obama? How is that remotely possible? What is it about him that I do not see? Here’s the paragraph that has me baffled:

Obama’s ace-in-the-hole remains the fact that he is personally more popular than his policies. … Fifty-two percent of all Americans disagree with him on issues, but 58 percent believe he has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have. And by a 49 to 43 percent margin, Americans say that personal qualities are more important than issues to their vote for president.

Someone, please explain to me what people see in Obama that gives him that ace-in-the-hole personal popularity. I am dumbfounded.