The events of the last three weeks in Europe, i.e., the collapse of the Euro and the political chaos in Greece, are but a prelude to more dramatic and consequential events. The European economy is struggling to stay afloat. Germany has been fine and is helping keep the rest of Europe above water. However, a strong swimmer cannot save a swamped boat of passengers who can’t swim in an ocean. In fact, even the strong swimmer could drown under the weight of the others.
It appears increasingly likely that Greece will leave the Euro and the future for that country is uncharted. But Greece is not the only challenge confronting the European Union–Spain, Italy and even France are facing a tsunami of debt. In Spain, for example, housing prices have crashed and unemployment is in excess of 25%. You cannot have this kind of sustained economic turmoil and pain without a political backlash. The last time the world was in this kind of situation we saw the rise of Adolf Hitler, Mussolini and the outbreak of the most horrific war in the history of this earth.
Despite what the moronic Obots, like PPAA/lola828, keep saying, the economic turmoil in Europe will have a net negative effect on our economy and make it even more difficult to revive the economy here.
Compounding these daunting problems are the latest developments in the Middle East.
Egypt, despite the naive delusions espoused by Obama, is not moving towards democracy and will either move decisively into the camp of radical Islam or see the re-emergence of Mubarak supporters. Neither outcome will produce political stability or reassure Israel that the future is bright.
Then there is Syria. World opinion seems to be on the side of the Syrian opposition. This is more naive Arab spring bullshit in my view. The Government of Bashir Assad at least understands where their interest lies. While some of the opponents are sincere, many are aligned with the radical Islamists that sympathize with and support Al Qaeda and its ilk. Unfortunately, Barack Obama and his Administration do not have a damn clue about what to do. They are currently pursuing policies and tactics that both weaken and enable the Sunni and Shia opponents in this conflict. This also is an indictment of Secretary Clinton, I’m sad to say. The U.S. efforts underway to dislodge Bashir Assad and the Syrian Ba’athists, while well-intentioned are incredibly naive. Replacing Assad is being viewed entirely through the lens of trying to contain Iran without any regard to the consequence of installing a Sunni-led regime in Syria that will in turn persecute and destroy the minority Christians and Shia who have backed Assad.
Lest you think this is all about beating up on Obama, I must point out that Romney and his crew are indulging in the same bizarre delusion. Per The Weekly Standard:
Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney called the Syrian regime’s latest atrocities “horrific.” He also said that “it is far part time for the United States … to put an end to the Assad regime. . . .
The Annan ‘peace’ plan—which President Obama still supports—has merely granted the Assad regime more time to execute its military onslaught. The United States should work with partners to organize and arm Syrian opposition groups so they can defend themselves. The bloodshed in Haoula makes clear that our goal must be a new Syrian government, one that contributes to peace and stability in the Middle East and that truly represents the brave Syrian people.”
Finally, there is Iran. Per the Financial Times:
The attempt by six world powers to persuade Iran to scale back its nuclear programme suffered a setback on Thursday when talks to defuse the crisis failed to make any progress.
After an often fraught two days of negotiations in Baghdad between the six powers and Saeed Jalili, Iran’s chief negotiator, both sides agreed to hold more talks on June 18. However, western diplomats at the Baghdad meeting conceded that the discussions had been difficult – and they only managed to extract an agreement from Iran to agree to the meeting in Moscow in the final hours of negotiations.
A failure to set a date for a new meeting would have indicated that the talks between the six powers and Iran had completely broken down.
Western diplomats appear to have spent much of Thursday putting pressuri Mr Jalili to avoid this outcome, amid fears that it would have made conflict between Israel and Iran unavoidable.
Israel wants to bomb Iran and the United States, via these talks, is trying to by time to keep it from happening. Iran will continue to try to string things out and Israel will become more impatient. Failure to make tangible progress in these talks makes an Israeli strike on Iran inevitable before our elections in November. Why should we care? Such a strike will cause a jaw breaking blow to the global economy and disrupt oil markets. It will also likely bring about a surge of terrorist activity around the world. And, depending on how China and Russia react, could provoke a global conflict. Nothing good will come of this.
Regrettably, neither Obama nor Romney nor anyone in political leadership here in the states has the balls to tell Israel to stand-down and back-off. A majority of the American public have bought into the myth that Iran must be stopped. There is no chance, in my view, for a rational debate to push the position of doing nothing.
Take all of this together and you have the ingredients for a mega-shit sandwich. Your thoughts?