Strange bedfellows indeed. Bibi Netanyahu, with the full throated backing of the American Israeli Political Action Committee, and the Saudis have mounted an impressive, coordinated effort to push the United States into moving against Syria as a means of weakening Iran. Important to note, key Israeli intelligence and military leaders are against this.
Netanyahu, as the representative of the Likud faction in Israel, and the Saudis are terrified of Iran. They are not concerned at all about the fact that the U.S. policy in Iraq, specifically the dismantling of the Saddam Hussein regime, created the opening for the expansion of Iranian influence in the region. Netanyahu worries that Hezbollah, a key ally of Iran, sits to its immediate north and has developed a formidable military force. This is not the Hezbollah of 1980. They are strong, popular and demonstrate the organizational prowess of a nation state. In many respects, they are a state within the confines of Lebanon.
Despite Iran’s sometimes heated, bellicose rhetorical jabs at Israel, it is not in a position to invade. And it is not in a position to launch an effective strategic missile strike on Israel. If Tehran and its mullahs attempted such a foolhardy strike much of Iran would be immolated by Israeli nuclear weapons.
And the Saudis?
They have a big internal problem. Their leaders are old and increasingly out of touch. There is not clear path for passing power to a new generation. And there is a sizable Shia population, albeit a minority (15% of the population) in Saudi Arabia, but they are concentrated in the Eastern provinces. Having had to quell a Shia uprising in 1987 during the Haj, the Saudis are worried that Iran could stir up further mischief and destabilize their Kingdom.
Then there is the matter of oil. With Iran now effectively in control of Iraq and its alliances in Syria and Lebanon, it is in a position to shift a substantial flow of oil away from the Persian Gulf through an overland pipeline that will make its way to the Mediterranean. The Saudis have a major financial interest in containing and weakening Iran.
Watching the propaganda effort underway in the West, especially the United States, it is Deja vu all over again. Following the Bush blueprint of repeating the mantra of Saddam, WMDs and 9-11 to justify going to war against Iraq, the Obama playbook is using the specter of dead children, WMDS in the hands of terrorists and Iran run amuck to try to scare the American public into doing the same stupid thing.
The Saudis and the Netanyahu crowd are pushing this desperate line and the Obama Administration is going along with the charade. Obama repeats this nonsense without pausing to acknowledge the absurd inconsistencies in his position. Take the WMD issue. At present, Syria’s military retains tight control over the stockpiles of Chemical weapons. The rebels fighting the Syria Government have been kept at bay, so far. And Obama’s solution? Degrade the Syrian military, which means a higher likelihood that those chemical weapons depots would fall into the hands of the Syria Islamic jihadists eager to oust Bashir Assad and create their own version Sharia rule. Yeah, that’s a great plan.
The newest phase of the propaganda effort was unveiled on Saturday–awful films of writhing bodies. But film does not tell you what the chemical agent was and it certainly does not show that it was the result of an attack by the Syrian Army. But that’s what Obama and his team are wanting you to believe. They are banking on the American public being moved by scenes of gore and dire warnings in order to garner enough support to carryout the attack that Netanyahu and the Saudis so desperately want.
It is up to the American public to say no and reject this effort. We do not need our military to die for the fears of Bibi Netanyahu and the Saudi sultans.
NOTE–There is a comment below that needs to be explained. I received a link to a video late Saturday claiming to be John Kerry admitting to a crime in Vietnam. I put that up and then, thanks to an astute reader, learned it was a doctored tape. I will not knowingly put anything up on this blog that is untrue. That’s why the piece that some of you saw is no longer there. Lesson learned.