The so-called Joint Analysis Report put out on Thursday by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and the FBI is a pig dressed up to look like Madonna. But like the pig masquerading as an aging pop Icon, this report also is a misleading fraud.

Let’s start with the caveat at the top of the report:

DISCLAIMER: This report is provided “as is” for informational purposes only. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) does not provide any warranties of any kind regarding any information contained within. DHS does not endorse any commercial product or service referenced in this advisory or otherwise. This document is distributed as TLP:WHITE: Subject to standard copyright rules, TLP:WHITE information may be distributed without restriction. For more information on the Traffic Light Protocol, see https://www.us-cert.gov/tlp.

What in the hell? Stating up front that you cannot “provide any warranties of any kind regarding any information” is just an elegant way of stating, “WE DO NOT KNOW IF IT IS TRUE OR NOT.”

Contrast that weasel language with that used by DEA in a drug case (this is a DOJ approved example):

I, Chad Wilson, being duly sworn, state as follows:

1. I am a Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) Task Force Officer (TFO), and I have been a commissioned Police Officer of the Conway Police Department, in Conway, Arkansas, since September 6, 2004. As of June 9, 2009, I have been assigned to the Narcotics Division of the Conway Police Department. I have been a DEA TFO since January 16, 2013. Prior to being a TFO, I participated in several federal narcotics investigations, including being the local case agent in a long term methamphetamine conspiracy investigation called “Pied Piper.” I have attended training at the Criminal Justice Institute (CJI) in Little Rock in warrantless search and seizure, street narcotics, ecstasy, raves and club drugs. I have completed a 48 hour Basic Narcotics Investigation class through the Regional Counterdrug Training Academy and Drug Enforcement Administration Task Force Officer Training in New Orleans, Louisiana. I am a certified law enforcement instructor and field training officer. In connection with my official duties, I investigate criminal violations of federal and state drug laws. I have been involved in numerous aspects of narcotics investigations, including, among other things, debriefing defendants, witnesses, and informants; conducting surveillance and undercover operations; executing search warrants; and analyzing documentary and physical evidence.

PURPOSE OF AFFIDAVIT

2. This Affidavit is made in support of a criminal Complaint against BURNETT SMITH for the offense of Possession With Intent to Distribute Oxymorphone aka Opana and Hydromorphone aka Dilaudid, Schedule II controlled substances, in violation of Title 21 United States Code § 841(a)(1).

3. The information contained in this affidavit is based upon information provided by other DEA special agents, other federal, state and local law enforcement officers, public source documents, and my own personal investigation.

4. The information contained in this affidavit is submitted for the sole purpose of establishing probable cause for the Complaint mentioned herein. As a result, it does not contain every fact known to me concerning this investigation.

Homeland Security and the FBI normally are not in the habit of doing “ANALYTICAL” reports. Why? Because by virtue of being staffed primarily with 1811 personnel, they are supposed to deal with evidence and fact, not supposition. Please recall the definition of an “1811:”

An 1811 is the federal criminal investigator classification series established by the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM). OPM has defined this series to include positions that involve planning and conducting investigations relating to alleged or suspected violations of criminal laws.

Whenever a Law Enforcement Organization reverts to the cover of “analysis,” that is your first important tell that something fishy is up. So, where is the proof. Here is what the JAR offers:

However, public attribution of these activities to RIS is supported by technical indicators from the U.S. Intelligence Community, DHS, FBI, the private sector, and other entities.

But I defer to a real expert on this, Bill Binney. Bill, if you check Wikipedia, “was  a Russia specialist and worked in the operations sde of intelligence, starting as an analyst and ending as a Technical Director [of NSA] prior to becoming a geopolitical world Technical Director.” In other words, he knows the kind of evidence/proof one would expect to see. So I asked him what he thought about the JAR:

Gee, I expected to see the IP’s or other signatures of APT’s 28/29 and where they were located and how/when the data got transferred to them from DNC/HRC/etc. They seem to have been following APT 28/29 since at least 2015, so, where are they? Further, once we see the data being transferred to them, when and how did they transfer that data to Wikileaks? This would be evidence of trying to influence our election by getting the truth of our corrupt system out. And, as Edward Snowden said, once they have the IP’s and/or other signatures of 28/29 and DNC/HRC/etc., NSA would use Xkeyscore to help trace data passing across the network and show where it went.

In addition, since Wikileaks is (and has been) a cast iron target for NSA/GCHQ/etc for a number of years there should be no excuse for them missing data going to any one associated with Wikileaks.

In other words, NO HARD EVIDENCE. Just speculative analysis based largely on electronic signatures that can easily be forged or spoofed. This is disgraceful and is a stain on the honor of all who have participated in this campaign of disinformation and deception.

P.S., “Trace route” and “Trace watch” are two free programs on the web that can help individuals see who comes into their computer or who is sending data to them and from where.  Just google these programs and readabout them.  NSA and GCHQ have more advanced version.
UDATE–Just want to wish all a very Happy New Year. I’ll get something new posted this evening.
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Larry C. Johnson is a former analyst at the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, who moved subsequently in 1989 to the U.S. Department of State, where he served four years as the deputy director for transportation security, antiterrorism assistance training, and special operations in the State Department's Office of Counterterrorism. He left government service in October 1993 and set up a consulting business. He currently is the co-owner and CEO of BERG Associates, LLC (Business Exposure Reduction Group) and is an expert in the fields of terrorism, aviation security, and crisis and risk management, and money laundering investigations. Johnson is the founder and main author of No Quarter, a weblog that addresses issues of terrorism and intelligence and politics. NoQuarterUSA was nominated as Best Political Blog of 2008.