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May 2009 Market Review »

Welcome to the Brave New World of the Uncle Sam economy! Let’s review the price action across the market, add some analysis as we look behind the numbers, contrast these returns with developments in the economy, and chart our path forward as we navigate the economic landscape!!

In 15 Minutes, Join NoQuarter Radio’s “Sense on Cents with Larry Doyle” »

PROGRAM CONCLUDED . POST BUMPED DOWN . LISTEN to the ARCHIVED SHOW!
(Editor’s Note: Paulie Abeles is taking Monday night, April 13th, off to be with family.)
Join me from 8:00 to 9:00 p.m. ET on NoQuarter Radio for Sense on Cents with Larry Doyle. These are truly historic times in the global economy. Let’s “navigate the [...]

G-20: Commitments, Comments, Questions!! »

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown just delivered a statement highlighting the results of the G-20 conference in London. There must have been a lot of work done behind the scenes over the last few months because it’s hard to imagine there was a lot of debate over issues within a 36 hour time frame [...]

AIG and LTCM »

***Cross-posted from my blog, Sense on Cents. Come by and visit!
A precursor to the turmoil roiling our economy and markets today occurred on a smaller, but certainly very dramatic, scale in 1998. The meltdown of the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management brought the market to its knees at the time. LTCM was effectively taken [...]

The Global Economic Horizon »

While there is nothing like a nice 10% rally in equity markets to salve a wounded soul, let’s not get overly ebullient. The global economy is facing a host of issues the likes of which it has not seen in a long time, if ever.
I truly relish the honest perspectives offered by a number of [...]

How Do We Track Housing? »

***Cross-posted from my blog, Sense on Cents. Come by and visit!
At the core of most, if not all, of our economic problems lies housing. I do not need to replay the tape of low rates, shoddy underwriting, and Wall Street securitizations that all played a dramatic role in creating a bubble the likes of which [...]

Charlie Rose Speaks to Tim Geithner »

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***Cross-posted from my blog, Sense on Cents. Come by and visit!
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I will provide my insights and perspectives on Charlie Rose’s interview of Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner last evening. The interview has been broken down into 6 separate clips, with my commentary preceding each clip.

The Truth May Hurt »

I very much appreciate reading material written by people whom I perceive as having no agenda. I have tried to bring people like this (including Ray Dalio, Paul Keating, Bob Rodriguez, Steve Rehm, Kevin Doyle, Vaclav Klaus, and many others) to Sense on Cents because I firmly believe we all become more educated and informed [...]

How Wall Street Bought Washington »

A great American and loyal reader (thanks FL) shared a report recently produced by not-for-profits Essential Information and The Consumer Education Foundation. This report, Sold Out: How Wall Street and Washington Betrayed America, has gotten little to no attention in the general media. What a shame.

Unemployment Report 3-6-09 »

The highly anticipated monthly unemployment report was just released. On the surface, the numbers may appear to be in line with expectations, but looking deeper into the numbers the report is actually worse than expected. Let’s dive into the numbers and comment on what they mean for our economy and markets.
The Unemployment Rate jumped from [...]

How Wall Street and Washington Betrayed America!! »

While politicians, bankers, regulators, and commentators can and will point fingers as to where and how our system of financial oversight broke down, make no mistake it was due to too many people making and taking too much money!! I have highlighted the grotesque system of lobbying that has developed and corrupted our society in [...]

Why is George Soros Short the Euro? MUST READ! »

In very short order, I have gained a deep respect and regard for our Economic All-Star, John Mauldin. I have come to appreciate that Mauldin and I view the market through the same lens focused on the global economy. While many media outlets focus on the day to day, if not hour to hour [...]

The Weakest Link is Weakening »

The other day I highlighted the fact that 12 eastern European countries would solicit a bailout from the European Union over the weekend in Brussels. I defined this bloc of eastern European countries as currently the Weakest Link in the global economy. Well, if they were the weakest link then they just got weaker as [...]

When the Oracle of Omaha Speaks . . . »

Warren Buffett’s annual letter to shareholders is always a highly anticipated event by market participants. Given the fact that Berkshire is effectively a diversified holdings company, Buffett has a unique perspective into a wide array of businesses. He also has the wisdom of investing over many years and through many challenging markets.
Well, if misery loves [...]

February 2009 Market Review »

Prior to going to the comments section of my son’s report card, human nature dictates that I first look at the grades. In that same vein, let’s see how the markets performed for the month of February:

Let’s review my specific projections from the January 2009 Recap:

Mortgage Deduction…Crossing the Rubicon »

The mortgage interest deduction has been a cornerstone of American tax and housing policy. In fact, I can’t count the number of times I conversed with my accountant about maintaining mortgage debt based upon the feeling it was the one deduction the government would never touch. Well, never just pulled into the driveway!
For clarification [...]

Ceteris Paribus »

Economic and budgetary analysis by their very nature often employ a “ceteris paribus” approach or similarly base line assumptions. Ceteris paribus, translated as “all other things being equal,” or base line assumptions are necessary given the fact that economic analysis has so many variables. Well, let me share with you that ceteris are NEVER paribus [...]